Trading Signals: WMT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: WMT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Jan. 3, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Walmart )
WMT latest price $78.1728 (1.61%) ($77.3937 - $78.2803) on Tue. Feb. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $78.1728(1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   WMT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   WMT declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support WMT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(61%)    VYM(45%)    SPY(42%)    XLV(42%)    IVE(41%)
Factors Impacting WMT price   WMT will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-10%)    UUP(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    BWX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.82(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.55(0.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.99(0.23%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $222.792b

Walmart, Inc. engages in retail and wholesale business. The Company offers an assortment of merchandise and services at everyday low prices. It operates through the following business segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. The Walmart U.S. segment operates as a merchandiser of consumer products, operating under the Walmart, Wal-Mart, and Walmart Neighborhood Market brands, as well as walmart.com and other eCommerce brands. The Walmart International segment manages supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, warehouse clubs, and cash & carryl outside of the United States. The Sam's Club segment comprises membership-only warehouse clubs and samsclubs.com. The company was founded by Samuel Moore Walton and James Lawrence Walton in 1945 and is headquartered in Bentonville, AR.

$. WMT price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_10_2015	73.7	77.99	77.55	77.82			78.17(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	4	-23	5.73	62%	0.15	-47.5	1.28%	0	0.2	53	0
2	Feb_9_2015	73.59	78.1	77.56	77.62			76.94(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	1	-27	5.46	61%	0.12	-29.7	1.27%	0	-1.1	48	0
3	Feb_6_2015	73.5	78.25	77.79	77.58			78.21(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	9	-17	5.62	65%	0.14	-17.5	1.26%	0	-0	53	0
4	Feb_5_2015	73.4	78.38	77.88	77.16			78.16(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-9	-10000	-2	-31	5.09	65%	0.15	-10.5	1.26%	0	-0.2	49	0
5	Feb_4_2015	73.29	78.38	77.95	77.24			77.6(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-1	-20	8.93	66%	0.14	-3.1	1.26%	0	-0.6	51	0

6	Feb_3_2015	73.19	78.43	77.96	77.27			77.19(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-5	-34	8.28	66%	0.14	-3.7	1.26%	0	-1	38	0
7	Feb_2_2015	73.09	78.42	78.02	77.51			76.76(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-11	-45	6.93	66%	0.12	-1.8	1.26%	0	-1.3	33	0
8	Jan_30_2015	73	78.45	78.14	78.03			76.1(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-13	-42	10.28	66%	0.12	7.8	1.26%	0	-1.8	34	0
9	Jan_29_2015	72.91	78.51	78.37	78.67			78.56(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10000	-2	-34	6.52	72%	0.15	20	1.19%	0	0	37	0
10	Jan_28_2015	72.8	78.51	78.28	78.77			77.75(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-9	-10000	1	-40	5.94	72%	0.12	22.7	1.18%	0	-0.6	44	0

11	Jan_27_2015	72.71	78.47	78.49	78.74			78.39(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-4	-10000	3	-26	6.02	72%	0.15	27	1.18%	0	-0.1	56	0
12	Jan_26_2015	72.6	78.45	78.69	78.59			79.37(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	7	-8	4.67	75%	0.15	27.1	1.16%	0	0.7	62	0
13	Jan_23_2015	72.49	78.35	78.74	78.26			79.27(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	5	-3	7.57	75%	0.15	27	1.16%	0	0.7	61	0
14	Jan_22_2015	72.38	78.27	78.89	78.05			79.08(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	7	15	7.12	75%	0.17	34.3	1.16%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Jan_21_2015	72.26	78.18	78.89	77.75			77.59(-0.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-7	-10000	-11	7	8.17	74%	0.14	35.5	1.14%	0	-0.5	51	0

16	Jan_20_2015	72.16	78.13	78.91	78.23			77.64(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10000	-13	22	7.85	75%	0.15	51.2	1.15%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Jan_16_2015	72.05	78.1	78.86	78.82			77.71(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-10	40	8.41	71%	0.14	68.2	1.15%	0	-0.3	51	0
18	Jan_15_2015	71.95	78	78.81	79.29			78.25(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-12	54	9.41	65%	0.15	81.3	1.17%	0	0.2	55	0
19	Jan_14_2015	71.84	77.82	78.7	79.84			77.56(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	12	-10000	-7	69	11.95	65%	0.15	85.3	1.26%	0	-0.2	51	0
20	Jan_13_2015	71.73	77.72	78.74	80.2			79.98(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	11	96	8.22	69%	0.18	80.4	1.2%	0	1.3	65	0

21	Jan_12_2015	71.6	77.47	78.49	79.66			80.62(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	17	89	7.37	69%	0.2	71.7	1.2%	0	1.9	74	0
22	Jan_9_2015	71.46	77.19	78.19	78.88			80.02(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	13	65	8.52	69%	0.18	60	1.2%	0	1.7	66	0
23	Jan_8_2015	71.33	76.9	77.92	78.26			81.02(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	28	-10000	18	58	12.71	72%	0.2	47	1.19%	0	2.7	77	0
24	Jan_7_2015	71.19	76.58	77.54	77.44			79.35(2.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	17	-10000	7	45	8.5	70%	0.18	30.8	1.17%	0	2.1	77	0
25	Jan_6_2015	71.06	76.37	77.32	77.11			77.3(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	11	-10000	-1	46	8.21	68%		20.9	1.13%	0	0.8	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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