Trading Signals: W Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: W Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(Wayfair Inc.)
W latest price $47.5500 (-0.29%) ($46.7800 - $49.3400) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $47.5500(-0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   W advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   W advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support W advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(53%)    ARKK(52%)    IWF(52%)    VUG(52%)    IVW(51%)
Factors Impacting W price   W will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.91(3.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.41(9.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.74(13.92%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   32.8%
Market Cap   $4.52b

Wayfair, Inc. engages in an online home furnishing store. It operates through the U.S. and International segments. The U.S. segment consists of amounts earned through product sales through the Company's five distinct sites in the U.S. and through websites operated by third parties in the U.S. The International segment is composed of earnings through products sales in international sites. The company was founded by Steven K. Conine and Niraj S. Shah in May 2002 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. W price fluctuates within 6.47% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 2.12%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(52%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 3.4%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.69%(43%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 5.76%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.94%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	40.35	41.74	43.41	45.91	46.08	47.42	47.55(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	89	210	51	204	1.1	50%	0.07	68.5	2.69%	0	2.2	81	INF
2	Aug_3_2016	40.32	41.35	42.58	44.95	44.85	46.27	47.69(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	99	210	69	188	2.34	50%	0.15	69.2	2.69%	0	2.7	80	INF
3	Aug_2_2016	40.26	40.93	41.79	43.46	43.52	44.74	46.45(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	81	200	61	140	2.45	45%	0.07	67.3	2.68%	0	2.9	68	INF
4	Aug_1_2016	40.23	40.53	41.05	42.23	42.23	43.43	44.34(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	59	200	49	87	1.18	40%	-0.02	64.8	2.73%	0	2.6	59	INF
5	Jul_29_2016	40.24	40.21	40.61	41.26	41.26	42.3	43.5(1.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	48	180	45	56	0.83	40%	0	45.4	2.74%	0	2.7	60	INF

6	Jul_28_2016	40.24	39.97	40.12	40.54	40.49	41.03	42.77(6.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	30	90	33	21	1.54	40%	-0.02	19.4	2.74%	0	2.8	58	INF
7	Jul_27_2016	40.25	39.78	39.72	39.86	39.96	40.21	40.25(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	50	7	-16	0.38	31%	-0.07	-14.7	2.65%	0	0.6	50	INF
8	Jul_26_2016	40.28	39.69	39.74	39.85	39.8	39.94	40.3(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	20	8	-14	0.81	31%	-0.1	-29.7	2.65%	0	0.8	52	INF
9	Jul_25_2016	40.32	39.62	39.82	39.68	39.78	39.71	39.48(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-0	-2	-11	0.55	31%	-0.15	-43.1	2.65%	0	-0.2	54	INF
10	Jul_22_2016	40.38	39.66	39.92	39.83	39.8	39.67	39.91(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-30	1	7	0.66	31%	-0.12	-32.4	2.68%	0	0.3	61	INF

11	Jul_21_2016	40.43	39.78	39.97	39.6	39.79	39.84	39.38(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	20	1	7	0.77	31%	-0.12	-13.2	2.67%	0	-0.4	53	INF
12	Jul_20_2016	40.48	39.89	40.06	39.55	39.62	39.94	40.2(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	60	3	12	0.84	31%	0	-0.7	2.71%	0	0.3	56	INF
13	Jul_19_2016	40.48	39.93	40.03	39.61	39.6	39.74	39.43(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	20	-3	19	0.57	31%	0.02	17.1	2.71%	0	-0.4	57	INF
14	Jul_18_2016	40.47	39.97	40.01	40.01	39.91	39.3	40.22(3.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-110	-8	31	1.31	31%	-0.05	35.5	2.7%	0	0.2	58	INF
15	Jul_15_2016	40.49	39.97	39.81	40.05	40.29	39.46	38.79(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-19	-130	-30	13	0.46	25%	-0.15	41.2	2.7%	0	-1	43	INF

16	Jul_14_2016	40.55	39.92	39.85	40.39	40.67	40.52	39.09(-3.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-10	-17	10	0.68	25%	-0.02	42.5	2.72%	0	-0.7	34	INF
17	Jul_13_2016	40.56	39.89	39.87	40.61	40.83	41.11	40.51(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	60	10	16	0.47	27%	-0.02	29.6	2.69%	0	0.5	44	INF
18	Jul_12_2016	40.57	39.73	39.67	40.5	40.57	40.83	41.42(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	50	19	2	0.76	27%	0.05	8.4	2.7%	0	1.2	49	INF
19	Jul_11_2016	40.55	39.56	39.4	40.01	40.14	40.55	40.45(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	80	19	-20	0.76	27%	0.02	-11.3	2.7%	0	0.7	51	INF
20	Jul_8_2016	40.54	39.44	39.36	39.53	39.61	40.32	40.47(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	130	22	-29	0.83	27%	0.05	-33.4	2.71%	0	0.7	56	INF

21	Jul_7_2016	40.52	39.42	39.54	39.24	39.1	39.73	40.21(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	12	100	22	-17	1.06	27%	0.02	-44.3	2.76%	0	0.6	58	INF
22	Jul_6_2016	40.51	39.53	39.66	39.03	38.85	38.9	39.93(2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	-0	14	-11	0.92	27%	0.02	-36.5	2.76%	0	0.3	59	INF
23	Jul_5_2016	40.5	39.62	39.77	38.74	38.76	38.47	38.99(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-50	-7	-8	1.22	27%	0.07	-37.7	2.74%	0	-0.4	61	INF
24	Jul_1_2016	40.47	39.71	39.9	38.71	38.88	38.8	38.06(-2.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-11	-0	-14	-0	0.93	27%	0.1	-36.9	2.74%	0	-1	53	INF
25	Jun_30_2016	40.43	39.91	40.04	39.15	39	39.04	39(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	-0	-16	18	0.7	33%		-25.5	2.82%	0	-0.5	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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