Trading Signals: W Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: W Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 26, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 23, 2020)

(Wayfair Inc.)
W latest price $48.7700 (1.77%) ($47.0300 - $49.7000) on Mon. Dec. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.1% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $48.7700(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   W advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   W advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support W advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SKYY(52%)    ARKK(51%)    IWF(51%)    IWO(51%)    VUG(51%)
Factors Impacting W price   W will decline at least -2.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.05% (StdDev 4.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.54(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.78(2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.5(7.19%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   37.3%
Market Cap   $4.636b

Wayfair, Inc. engages in an online home furnishing store. It operates through the U.S. and International segments. The U.S. segment consists of amounts earned through product sales through the Company's five distinct sites in the U.S. and through websites operated by third parties in the U.S. The International segment is composed of earnings through products sales in international sites. The company was founded by Steven K. Conine and Niraj S. Shah in May 2002 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. W price fluctuates within 7.34% (three month std-dev: 4.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(29%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(71%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 3.36%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.76%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.03%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.96%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_28_2015	42.63	45.5	47.78	48.54	48.63	48.53	48.77(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10	-5	45	0.48	59%	0.33	80.4	4.1%	0	1	64	0
2	Dec_24_2015	42.49	44.99	47.4	48.46	48.55	49.05	47.92(-3.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	80	8	57	0.23	59%	0.31	79	4.14%	0	0.8	68	0
3	Dec_23_2015	42.36	44.51	47.32	48.25	48.35	48.72	49.57(2.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	33	60	18	77	0.63	59%	0.43	76.9	4.15%	0	1.3	77	0
4	Dec_22_2015	42.18	43.94	46.87	47.76	47.69	48.05	48.45(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	10	76	0.52	59%	0.38	76.5	4.19%	0	1.2	71	0
5	Dec_21_2015	42.02	43.5	46.61	47.26	47.16	47.97	47.98(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	110	14	94	1	59%	0.36	77.8	4.24%	0	1.2	78	0

6	Dec_18_2015	41.87	42.97	46.29	46.91	46.73	47.33	48.38(3.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	80	23	114	1.49	59%	0.41	75.8	4.29%	0	1.4	79	0
7	Dec_17_2015	41.7	42.33	45.71	46.18	46.11	46.34	46.87(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	30	4	108	0.48	59%	0.34	64.7	4.33%	0	1.2	76	0
8	Dec_16_2015	41.56	41.78	45.15	46.25	45.8	46.13	47.12(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	20	6	123	1.07	59%	0.39	57.6	4.38%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Dec_15_2015	41.4	41.21	44.63	45.87	45.84	45.88	45.95(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	0	5	130	0.76	59%	0.31	51.1	4.43%	0	1.2	76	0
10	Dec_14_2015	41.27	40.77	43.88	45.85	45.75	45.47	46.25(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	-50	0	126	0.72	59%	0.34	41.9	4.49%	0	1.4	68	0

11	Dec_11_2015	41.13	40.27	43.07	45.55	45.63	45.8	44.73(-5.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	30	5	128	0.47	59%	0.27	31.7	4.53%	0	1.2	72	0
12	Dec_10_2015	41.02	39.96	42.44	45.1	45.1	46.03	47.2(4.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	55	140	26	142	0.69	63%	0.47	23.7	4.49%	0	2.1	82	0
13	Dec_9_2015	40.83	39.62	41.5	43.87	44.04	45.45	45.2(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	240	28	130	1.34	63%	0.34	11.3	4.51%	0	1.8	79	0
14	Dec_8_2015	40.69	39.3	40.78	43.2	42.91	44.18	45.89(2.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	63	190	40	132	0.76	63%	0.44	-3.2	4.57%	0	2.3	81	0
15	Dec_7_2015	40.51	39.23	40.11	41.6	42.04	42.63	44.75(5.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	53	130	35	108	1.53	63%	0.35	-15.4	4.63%	0	2	71	0

16	Dec_4_2015	40.37	39.23	39.33	40.24	40.53	41.64	42.48(3.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	210	17	79	0.54	60%	0.2	-26.4	4.62%	0	1.2	69	0
17	Dec_3_2015	40.29	39.14	38.63	39.37	39.65	41.44	41.03(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	340	34	59	0.94	60%	0.07	-33.7	4.66%	0	0.7	56	0
18	Dec_2_2015	40.26	39.27	38.1	38.78	38.8	39.43	41.83(10.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	120	30	28	3.16	60%	0.15	-35.1	4.73%	0	0.8	49	0
19	Dec_1_2015	40.2	39.4	37.48	38.03	38.01	37.86	37.93(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-10	-13	1.41	53%	-0.22	-34.7	4.36%	0	-0.5	46	0
20	Nov_30_2015	40.29	39.67	37.41	38.39	38.27	37.86	37.91(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-30	1	-29	1.36	53%	-0.25	-27.7	4.45%	0	-0.5	33	0

21	Nov_27_2015	40.39	39.88	37.27	38.26	38.38	38.17	38.16(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-30	6	-52	0.39	53%	-0.25	0	4.55%	0	-0.5	38	0
22	Nov_25_2015	40.49	40.12	37.32	37.73	38.04	38.37	38.05(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	90	7	-73	0.35	53%	-0.27	0	4.65%	0	-0.6	40	0
23	Nov_24_2015	40.6	40.37	37.62	37.28	37.38	38.6	38.12(-3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	240	20	-83	0.84	53%	-0.29	0	4.76%	0	-0.7	38	0
24	Nov_23_2015	40.72	40.55	37.72	36.81	36.6	37.71	39.69(6.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	200	25	-103	1.3	53%	-0.12	0	4.8%	0	-0.3	39	0
25	Nov_20_2015	40.77	40.62	38.24	36.33	36.09	36.16	37.28(4.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-10	9	-116	0.94	48%		0	4.68%	0	-1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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