Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $73.2900 (0.33%) ($72.9900 - $73.3100) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $73.2900(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-16%)    IPO(-7%)    IBUY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.11(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.08(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.08(0.29%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2016	70.91		73.08	73.11			73.29(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	1	18	0.55	63%	0.06	-23.7	0.7%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Aug_17_2016	70.87	73.08	73.02	73.09			73.05(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	1	15	0.62	59%	0.06	-25	0.7%	0	-0.1	50	0
3	Aug_16_2016	70.83	73.1	72.99	73.05			72.83(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.56	61%	0.06	-22	0.72%	0	-0.9	43	0
4	Aug_15_2016	70.79	73.12	72.96	73.1			73.24(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	1	-0	0.54	61%	0.04	-12.5	0.72%	0	0.4	42	0
5	Aug_12_2016	70.76	73.13	72.96	73.06			73.12(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2	-10000	0	-9	0.52	58%	0.07	-2.4	0.73%	0	-0	40	0

6	Aug_11_2016	70.71	73.14	72.93	73.05			73.23(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-0	-10000	4	-13	0.57	58%	0.07	14.6	0.73%	0	0.3	38	0
7	Aug_10_2016	70.66	73.15	72.9	72.95			72.85(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-10000	1	-25	0.67	60%	0.06	39	0.73%	0	-1	40	0
8	Aug_9_2016	70.62	73.15	72.93	72.91			73.04(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.72	60%	0.06	58.5	0.74%	0	-0.4	39	0
9	Aug_8_2016	70.58	73.16	72.97	72.81			73.07(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	1	-36	0.79	60%	0.06	71.1	0.74%	0	-0.3	46	0
10	Aug_5_2016	70.54	73.13	73.01	72.78			73.08(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-0	-38	0.82	60%	0.07	71.7	0.75%	0	-0.1	44	0

11	Aug_4_2016	70.49	73.1	73.06	72.79			72.7(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-3	-36	0.55	60%	0.06	55.8	0.74%	0	-0.7	36	0
12	Aug_3_2016	70.45	73.03	73.13	72.86			72.64(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.61	58%	0.07	59.1	0.75%	0	-0.6	34	0
13	Aug_2_2016	70.4	72.99	73.22	72.96			72.55(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-7	-25	0.7	58%	0.07	68.9	0.76%	0	-0.6	42	0
14	Aug_1_2016	70.35	72.93	73.3	73.15			72.93(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-9	1.11	58%	0.06	91.5	0.75%	0	0	53	0
15	Jul_29_2016	70.31	72.86	73.35	73.27			73.14(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	6	0.58	58%	0.09	103.5	0.76%	0	0.3	66	0

16	Jul_28_2016	70.25	72.78	73.38	73.38			73.03(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-2	26	0.8	58%	0.07	103.3	0.76%	0	0.3	68	0
17	Jul_27_2016	70.2	72.66	73.38	73.44			73.16(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	51	1.27	58%	0.09	90.7	0.77%	0	0.5	80	0
18	Jul_26_2016	70.14	72.47	73.42	73.51			73.5(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-10000	1	74	0.55	58%	0.09	70.9	0.77%	0	0.8	80	0
19	Jul_25_2016	70.08	72.22	73.37	73.47			73.5(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	92	0.57	58%	0.09	50	0.77%	0	0.8	82	0
20	Jul_22_2016	70.02	72.01	73.27	73.45			73.7(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	3	102	0.57	58%	0.1	42.7	0.77%	0	1	76	0

21	Jul_21_2016	69.95	71.89	73.13	73.38			73.35(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-10000	-1	107	1.13	58%	0.09	45.9	0.77%	0	0.9	75	0
22	Jul_20_2016	69.89	71.74	72.93	73.4			73.52(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	33	-10000	3	121	0.52	58%	0.1	47.5	0.77%	0	1.1	84	0
23	Jul_19_2016	69.82	71.59	72.73	73.32			73.29(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	3	142	0.83	58%	0.13	48.3	0.77%	0	1.1	87	0
24	Jul_18_2016	69.73	71.47	72.52	73.25			73.37(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	-10000	6	172	0.69	58%	0.1	51	0.77%	0	1.3	90	0
25	Jul_15_2016	69.66	71.33	72.33	73.07			73.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	8	188	1.39	58%		48.7	0.78%	0	1.5	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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