Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $68.2600 (0.12%) ($68.0500 - $68.3200) on Fri. Nov. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $68.2600(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(92%)    IWD(92%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    SDY(90%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-15%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.2(0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.81(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.93(0.49%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_27_2015	66.21	67.93	67.81	68.2			68.26(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	1	27	0.14	62%	0	10.8	1%	0	0.5	48	0
2	Nov_25_2015	66.21	67.93	67.67	68.17			68.18(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	1	11	0.54	64%	0	14.3	1.12%	0	0.4	46	0
3	Nov_24_2015	66.21	67.92	67.62	68.12			68.31(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	6	5	0.5	56%	0.02	27.5	1.13%	0	0.6	44	0
4	Nov_23_2015	66.2	67.88	67.56	67.89			68.08(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	-10000	4	-12	0.6	56%	0.03	25.3	1.28%	0	0.3	41	0
5	Nov_20_2015	66.18	67.87	67.56	67.73			68.16(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	8	-22	0.46	51%	0	28.6	1.33%	0	0.5	44	0

6	Nov_19_2015	66.18	67.86	67.51	67.36			68.11(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-4	-10000	6	-34	0.86	50%	0	22	1.34%	0	0.4	51	0
7	Nov_18_2015	66.18	67.83	67.53	67.09			67.96(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	1	-44	0.54	50%	0.02	17.1	1.35%	0	0.2	49	0
8	Nov_17_2015	66.17	67.75	67.59	67.06			67.12(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-46	0.46	50%	0	19.3	1.34%	0	-0.8	40	0
9	Nov_16_2015	66.17	67.73	67.76	67.2			67.31(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-1	-34	0.52	50%	-0.03	28.8	1.34%	0	-0.5	50	0
10	Nov_13_2015	66.19	67.69	67.89	67.27			66.29(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-9	-30	0.64	48%	-0.05	33.3	1.33%	0	-1.7	38	0

11	Nov_12_2015	66.22	67.73	68.07	67.68			66.79(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-10	-10000	-8	-16	0.59	48%	-0.03	51.2	1.32%	0	-1.1	39	0
12	Nov_11_2015	66.24	67.71	68.22	68.02			67.77(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10000	-4	2	0.4	48%	-0.03	55.7	1.31%	0	0.1	55	0
13	Nov_10_2015	66.26	67.6	68.28	68.2			67.82(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-5	21	0.53	50%	-0.03	55.8	1.31%	0	0.2	67	0
14	Nov_9_2015	66.28	67.5	68.26	68.41			67.67(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-4	37	0.81	50%	-0.03	63.1	1.32%	0	0.2	63	0
15	Nov_6_2015	66.3	67.42	68.29	68.6			68.35(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	56	0.5	50%	-0.03	71.5	1.32%	0	0.8	68	0

16	Nov_5_2015	66.32	67.3	68.26	68.52			68.47(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	17	-10000	2	63	0.53	50%	-0.02	80.6	1.32%	0	1.1	68	0
17	Nov_4_2015	66.33	67.19	68.17	68.44			68.68(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	2	69	0.63	50%	0	92.9	1.32%	0	1.3	72	0
18	Nov_3_2015	66.33	67.03	67.93	68.37			68.86(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	-10000	6	74	0.86	50%	0	100.6	1.32%	0	1.6	79	0
19	Nov_2_2015	66.33	66.83	67.69	68.1			68.66(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	4	71	0.53	50%	0	109.3	1.32%	0	1.6	75	0
20	Oct_30_2015	66.33	66.64	67.47	67.94			67.92(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-10000	-1	68	0.54	50%	-0.03	110.6	1.31%	0	1	67	0

21	Oct_29_2015	66.35	66.42	67.34	67.97			68.1(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	3	76	0.43	51%	-0.02	100.5	1.31%	0	1.2	67	0
22	Oct_28_2015	66.36	66.15	67.16	67.84			68.29(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	10	76	0.66	52%	0	92.4	1.32%	0	1.4	67	0
23	Oct_27_2015	66.36	65.88	66.87	67.41			67.55(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	5	58	0.51	52%	-0.02	78.5	1.32%	0	1	68	0
24	Oct_26_2015	66.37	65.59	66.67	67.19			67.82(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	6	56	0.67	52%	-0.02	65.6	1.32%	0	1.2	75	0
25	Oct_23_2015	66.38	65.28	66.48	66.92			68.07(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	18	-10000	6	54	0.72	51%		56.3	1.32%	0	1.5	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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