Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VYM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $69.0200 (0.6%) ($68.4300 - $69.0300) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.6% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $69.0200(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-29%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.3% (StdDev 0.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $69.49
5 Day Moving Average   $69.09(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.01(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.49(-0.68%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2015	69.21	69.49	69.01	69.09			69.02(0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	4	-49	0.66	66%	0.01	-38.5	0.6%	0	-0.7	35	0
2	Jun_15_2015	69.2	69.56	69.06	69			68.61(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	0	-57	0.57	65%	-0.01	-38	0.62%	0	-1.5	38	0
3	Jun_12_2015	69.21	69.65	69.17	68.99			68.95(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	1	-65	0.42	67%	0	-39.3	0.62%	0	-1.1	35	0
4	Jun_11_2015	69.21	69.71	69.24	68.96			69.53(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-17	-10000	4	-78	0.53	71%	0.01	-34.1	0.62%	0	-0.3	36	0
5	Jun_10_2015	69.2	69.72	69.29	68.87			69.34(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-25	-10000	-3	-92	0.61	65%	0.01	-34.5	0.63%	0	-0.6	35	0

6	Jun_9_2015	69.19	69.74	69.36	68.93			68.59(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-9	-93	0.52	62%	0	-31.4	0.64%	0	-1.9	24	0
7	Jun_8_2015	69.19	69.8	69.47	69.13			68.52(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-31	-10000	-11	-90	0.38	62%	0	-27.3	0.64%	0	-2.4	22	0
8	Jun_5_2015	69.19	69.89	69.64	69.38			68.8(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-10000	-8	-71	0.44	58%	0.03	-15.6	0.66%	0	-2.4	26	0
9	Jun_4_2015	69.17	69.92	69.82	69.56			69.09(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-9	-56	0.7	58%	0.03	-7	0.66%	0	-2.1	31	0
10	Jun_3_2015	69.15	69.92	69.96	69.77			69.65(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-32	0.36	60%	0.01	-1.8	0.66%	0	-0.7	53	0

11	Jun_2_2015	69.14	69.93	70.03	69.77			69.61(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.51	60%	0.03	-5.1	0.66%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Jun_1_2015	69.12	69.95	70.11	69.86			69.73(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-4	-9	0.46	60%	0.01	0	0.66%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	May_29_2015	69.11	69.96	70.17	69.96			69.72(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-7	-1	0.57	60%	0.01	7	0.66%	0	-0.6	44	0
14	May_28_2015	69.1	69.95	70.23	70.12			70.12(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-3	23	0.38	60%	0.03	15.3	0.66%	0	0.4	63	0
15	May_27_2015	69.08	69.95	70.19	70.18			70.11(0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10000	-2	34	0.54	60%	0.04	23.7	0.67%	0	0.4	64	0

16	May_26_2015	69.05	69.94	70.14	70.23			69.63(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-6	40	0.59	59%	0.04	37.3	0.67%	0	-0.8	55	0
17	May_22_2015	69.02	69.95	70.14	70.38			70.21(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-10000	-1	52	0.74	62%	0.01	52.6	0.64%	0	0.6	51	0
18	May_21_2015	69.01	69.93	70.16	70.41			70.51(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	2	58	0.65	62%	0.03	66.7	0.65%	0	1.5	57	0
19	May_20_2015	68.99	69.89	70.04	70.36			70.43(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	7	55	0.55	62%	0.01	68.5	0.65%	0	1.4	61	0
20	May_19_2015	68.98	69.84	69.91	70.19			70.37(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	6	35	0.39	62%	0	57.4	0.65%	0	1.4	54	0

21	May_18_2015	68.98	69.79	69.81	70.04			70.4(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	14	0.38	62%	0.01	47.2	0.65%	0	1.6	50	0
22	May_15_2015	68.97	69.74	69.77	69.91			70.33(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-10000	1	8	0.26	62%	0.01	42.9	0.65%	0	1.5	56	0
23	May_14_2015	68.96	69.67	69.72	69.88			70.25(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	9	9	0.5	62%	0.01	38.5	0.65%	0	1.6	52	0
24	May_13_2015	68.95	69.67	69.64	69.68			69.62(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	4	-10	0.32	59%	0	36.2	0.65%	0	-0	50	0
25	May_12_2015	68.95	69.63	69.67	69.58			69.59(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	2	-15	1.02	62%		42	0.65%	0	-0.1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.