Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $69.5900 (0.51%) ($69.0500 - $69.6500) on Wed. Apr. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $69.5900(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.35(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.27(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.73(1.25%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2015	68.81	68.73	69.27				69.59(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	59	0.58	62%	-0.01	14.7	0.76%	0	1.3	70	0
2	Apr_21_2015	68.82	68.68	69.16	69.35			69.24(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	0	61	0.53	62%	0	15.6	0.78%	0	0.9	60	0
3	Apr_20_2015	68.82	68.66	69.09	69.34			69.51(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	4	62	0.5	62%	-0.01	16.7	0.78%	0	1.4	59	0
4	Apr_17_2015	68.83	68.65	68.99	69.23			68.86(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	62	0.64	60%	0	23.6	0.77%	0	0.3	63	0
5	Apr_16_2015	68.83	68.66	68.92	69.33			69.56(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	81	0.45	65%	-0.01	33.3	0.76%	0	1.5	72	0

6	Apr_15_2015	68.84	68.64	68.75	69.18			69.6(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	9	72	0.42	65%	0	41.6	0.78%	0	1.6	69	0
7	Apr_14_2015	68.84	68.58	68.62	68.94			69.16(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	5	55	0.38	65%	-0.01	39.8	0.78%	0	1	55	0
8	Apr_13_2015	68.85	68.56	68.55	68.8			68.98(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	3	41	0.41	65%	0	33.8	0.78%	0	0.8	47	0
9	Apr_10_2015	68.85	68.51	68.43	68.72			69.35(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10000	10	22	0.39	65%	0.01	23.2	0.78%	0	1.5	46	0
10	Apr_9_2015	68.84	68.45	68.25	68.46			68.79(0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	7	-10	0.43	63%	-0.01	1.3	0.78%	0	0.6	47	0

11	Apr_8_2015	68.85	68.39	68.25	68.27			68.44(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.46	66%	0	-25.6	0.78%	0	0.1	40	0
12	Apr_7_2015	68.85	68.36	68.15	68.24			68.44(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.43	68%	0	-42.4	0.81%	0	0.1	49	0
13	Apr_6_2015	68.85	68.38	68.2	68.27			68.56(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.58	68%	-0.01	-52.9	0.83%	0	0.3	49	0
14	Apr_2_2015	68.86	68.37	68.27	68.1			68.05(0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	3	-32	0.48	63%	-0.01	-68.1	0.85%	0	-0.5	53	0
15	Apr_1_2015	68.87	68.44	68.36	68.01			67.86(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.85	63%	-0.01	-74	0.85%	0	-0.9	48	0

16	Mar_31_2015	68.88	68.53	68.52	67.99			68.3(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-18	0.48	61%	0	-73.3	0.85%	0	-0.3	57	0
17	Mar_30_2015	68.88	68.61	68.55	68.04			68.58(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.55	61%	-0.01	-67.5	0.86%	0	-0	56	0
18	Mar_27_2015	68.89	68.68	68.56	68.13			67.72(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-13	-7	0.55	59%	-0.01	-61.5	0.84%	0	-1.1	43	0
19	Mar_26_2015	68.9	68.8	68.6	68.49			67.58(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-10	8	1.13	59%	-0.03	-50	0.85%	0	-1.4	45	0
20	Mar_25_2015	68.92	68.93	68.6	68.77			67.77(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-10000	-12	12	0.64	59%	-0.01	-39.2	0.85%	0	-1.3	40	0

21	Mar_24_2015	68.93	69.06	68.68	68.77			68.53(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	0	17	0.62	61%	-0.01	-27.8	0.85%	0	-0.6	42	0
22	Mar_23_2015	68.94	69.15	68.62	69.11			69.07(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	2	-2	1.54	61%	0	-24.8	0.84%	0	-0.1	42	0
23	Mar_20_2015	68.94	69.21	68.58	69.04			69.49(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	11	-16	0.46	61%	0.01	-26	0.83%	0	0.3	43	0
24	Mar_19_2015	68.93	69.23	68.48	68.73			68.98(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	5	-51	0.43	61%	0	-34.4	0.84%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Mar_18_2015	68.93	69.28	68.52	68.59			69.46(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	14	-65	1.73	63%		-34.6	0.83%	0	0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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