Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $68.5600 (0.75%) ($67.7600 - $68.7700) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $68.5600(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-33%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.27(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.2(0.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.38(0.26%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 0.85% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	68.85	68.38	68.2	68.27			68.56(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	6	-36	0.58	68%	-0.01	-52.9	0.83%	0	0.3	49	0
2	Apr_2_2015	68.86	68.37	68.27	68.1			68.05(0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	3	-32	0.48	63%	-0.01	-68.1	0.85%	0	-0.5	53	0
3	Apr_1_2015	68.87	68.44	68.36	68.01			67.86(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.85	63%	-0.01	-74	0.85%	0	-0.9	48	0
4	Mar_31_2015	68.88	68.53	68.52	67.99			68.3(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-6	-10000	-2	-18	0.48	61%	0	-73.3	0.85%	0	-0.3	57	0
5	Mar_30_2015	68.88	68.61	68.55	68.04			68.58(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	-3	-8	0.55	61%	-0.01	-67.5	0.86%	0	-0	56	0

6	Mar_27_2015	68.89	68.68	68.56	68.13			67.72(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-13	-7	0.55	59%	-0.01	-61.5	0.84%	0	-1.1	43	0
7	Mar_26_2015	68.9	68.8	68.6	68.49			67.58(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-6	-10000	-10	8	1.13	59%	-0.03	-50	0.85%	0	-1.4	45	0
8	Mar_25_2015	68.92	68.93	68.6	68.77			67.77(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-10000	-12	12	0.64	59%	-0.01	-39.2	0.85%	0	-1.3	40	0
9	Mar_24_2015	68.93	69.06	68.68	68.77			68.53(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	0	17	0.62	61%	-0.01	-27.8	0.85%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	Mar_23_2015	68.94	69.15	68.62	69.11			69.07(-0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	2	-2	1.54	61%	0	-24.8	0.84%	0	-0.1	42	0

11	Mar_20_2015	68.94	69.21	68.58	69.04			69.49(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	11	-16	0.46	61%	0.01	-26	0.83%	0	0.3	43	0
12	Mar_19_2015	68.93	69.23	68.48	68.73			68.98(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	5	-51	0.43	61%	0	-34.4	0.84%	0	-0.3	41	0
13	Mar_18_2015	68.93	69.28	68.52	68.59			69.46(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	14	-65	1.73	63%	0.01	-34.6	0.83%	0	0.2	42	0
14	Mar_17_2015	68.92	69.3	68.51	68.2			68.57(-0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	5	-97	0.46	64%	-0.01	-41.2	0.84%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Mar_16_2015	68.93	69.38	68.64	68.05			68.72(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-28	-10000	-1	-109	0.55	64%	0	-38.5	0.88%	0	-0.7	34	0

16	Mar_13_2015	68.93	69.44	68.78	68.07			67.91(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-4	-113	0.59	61%	-0.01	-32.8	0.87%	0	-1.6	28	0
17	Mar_12_2015	68.94	69.54	68.99	68.2			68.3(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-8	-110	0.59	58%	-0.01	-27.4	0.87%	0	-1.4	31	0
18	Mar_11_2015	68.95	69.6	69.19	68.44			67.52(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-14	-96	0.71	56%	-0.03	-16.1	0.88%	0	-2.5	27	0
19	Mar_10_2015	68.97	69.69	69.47	68.87			67.79(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-29	-10000	-14	-73	0.72	53%	-0.03	2.1	0.88%	0	-2.8	27	0
20	Mar_9_2015	68.99	69.74	69.75	69.31			68.82(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-44	0.55	56%	0	29.4	0.89%	0	-1.6	34	0

21	Mar_6_2015	68.99	69.75	69.9	69.6			68.56(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-14	-10000	-9	-28	1.04	54%	-0.01	57	0.89%	0	-2	30	0
22	Mar_5_2015	69	69.78	70.08	69.89			69.52(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-5	-7	0.44	57%	0.01	84.1	0.88%	0	-0.5	47	0
23	Mar_4_2015	68.99	69.72	70.12	70.05			69.65(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.56	57%	0.01	89.2	0.88%	0	-0.1	63	0
24	Mar_3_2015	68.98	69.68	70.17	70.17			70.01(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-3	24	0.7	57%	0.03	94	0.87%	0	0.5	68	0
25	Mar_2_2015	68.96	69.57	70.18	70.27			70.25(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	11	-10000	0	45	0.65	57%		79.3	0.87%	0	0.8	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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