Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $68.9000 (0.23%) ($68.3300 - $68.9200) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $68.9000(0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $68.7(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.26(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.44(0.67%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.13% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2015	68.85	68.44	68.26	68.7			68.9(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	41	0.57	53%	0.01	-18.6	0.87%	0	0.6	60	0
2	Jan_23_2015	68.84	68.48	68.21	68.5			68.74(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	10	30	0.79	53%	-0.01	-13.8	0.88%	0	0.3	49	0
3	Jan_22_2015	68.85	68.52	68.23	68.19			69.31(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	12	-10000	11	16	1	53%	0.03	-7.1	0.89%	0	0.9	52	0
4	Jan_21_2015	68.83	68.51	68.07	67.86			68.4(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-10000	3	-22	0.65	50%	-0.03	-4.6	0.87%	0	-0.1	41	0
5	Jan_20_2015	68.85	68.55	67.94	67.77			68.13(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-14	-10000	0	-54	0.76	50%	-0.03	1.5	0.88%	0	-0.5	37	0

6	Jan_16_2015	68.87	68.55	67.88	67.76			67.91(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-23	-10000	-4	-78	0.67	50%	-0.03	2.9	0.89%	0	-0.7	36	0
7	Jan_15_2015	68.89	68.59	67.95	67.89			67.18(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-10000	-13	-85	0.87	46%	-0.07	4.5	0.88%	0	-1.5	32	0
8	Jan_14_2015	68.94	68.58	68.11	68.27			67.66(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-10000	-1	-69	1.11	46%	-0.06	2.4	0.88%	0	-1.1	35	0
9	Jan_13_2015	68.98	68.56	68.29	68.3			67.97(-0.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	-10000	6	-65	1.29	46%	-0.04	-9.1	0.89%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	Jan_12_2015	69.01	68.54	68.48	68.12			68.1(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-14	-10000	4	-68	0.87	46%	-0.04	-25.7	0.91%	0	-0.4	43	0

11	Jan_9_2015	69.04	68.56	68.65	68			68.55(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-1	-68	0.99	46%	-0.01	-35.3	0.92%	0	-0	48	0
12	Jan_8_2015	69.05	68.55	68.76	68.03			69.08(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-11	-10000	2	-51	1	46%	0	-42.9	0.92%	0	0.5	60	0
13	Jan_7_2015	69.05	68.56	68.81	67.97			67.81(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-12	-36	0.83	39%	-0.06	-47.4	0.87%	0	-0.7	63	0
14	Jan_6_2015	69.09	68.65	68.98	68.32			67.05(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-10000	-20	3	1.06	34%	-0.12	-39.7	0.85%	0	-1.5	56	0
15	Jan_5_2015	69.17	68.81	69.21	68.9			67.49(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	2	-10000	-16	54	1.15	34%	-0.09	-25.3	0.86%	0	-1.3	54	0

16	Jan_2_2015	69.23	68.94	69.38	69.38			68.73(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-7	96	0.67	39%	-0.03	-13.4	0.81%	0	-0.2	52	0
17	Dec_31_2014	69.25	69.01	69.31	69.58			68.75(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	21	-10000	-7	105	0.61	39%	-0.03	-6.3	0.82%	0	-0.2	54	0
18	Dec_30_2014	69.27	69.01	69.12	69.77			69.57(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	1	95	1.21	44%	0.01	-1.9	0.81%	0	0.5	49	0
19	Dec_29_2014	69.26	69.01	68.87	69.75			69.95(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	6	70	0.51	44%	0.04	0	0.82%	0	0.8	50	0
20	Dec_26_2014	69.23	69.07	68.62	69.58			69.92(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	34	0.48	44%	0.04	0	0.84%	0	0.8	46	0

21	Dec_24_2014	69.2	69.07	68.46	69.38			69.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	13	10	0.65	44%	0.04	0	0.86%	0	0.6	45	0
22	Dec_23_2014	69.17	69.08	68.31	69.01			69.69(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	21	-26	0.89	44%	0.04	0	0.88%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Dec_22_2014	69.14	69.1	68.25	68.37			69.47(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	17	-67	0.64	44%	0.01	0	0.9%	0	0.3	44	0
24	Dec_19_2014	69.13	69.1	68.24	67.85			69.12(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	11	4	0.81	44%	0	0	0.91%	0	58.6	45	0
25	Dec_18_2014	69.13	69.1	68.31	67.51			68.9(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	2	-10000	2	1	1.07	44%		0	0.93%	0	56.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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