Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VYM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $67.8100 (1.13%) ($67.3100 - $67.9200) on Wed. Jan. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $67.8100(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-28%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $68.56
5 Day Moving Average   $67.97(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.81(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.56(-1.09%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_7_2015	69.05	68.56	68.81	67.97			67.81(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-12	-36	0.83	39%	-0.06	-47.4	0.87%	0	-0.7	63	0
2	Jan_6_2015	69.09	68.65	68.98	68.32			67.05(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-10000	-20	3	1.06	34%	-0.12	-39.7	0.85%	0	-1.5	56	0
3	Jan_5_2015	69.17	68.81	69.21	68.9			67.49(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	2	-10000	-16	54	1.15	34%	-0.09	-25.3	0.86%	0	-1.3	54	0
4	Jan_2_2015	69.23	68.94	69.38	69.38			68.73(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	19	-10000	-7	96	0.67	39%	-0.03	-13.4	0.81%	0	-0.2	52	0
5	Dec_31_2014	69.25	69.01	69.31	69.58			68.75(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	21	-10000	-7	105	0.61	39%	-0.03	-6.3	0.82%	0	-0.2	54	0

6	Dec_30_2014	69.27	69.01	69.12	69.77			69.57(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	1	95	1.21	44%	0.01	-1.9	0.81%	0	0.5	49	0
7	Dec_29_2014	69.26	69.01	68.87	69.75			69.95(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	6	70	0.51	44%	0.04	0	0.82%	0	0.8	50	0
8	Dec_26_2014	69.23	69.07	68.62	69.58			69.92(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	7	34	0.48	44%	0.04	0	0.84%	0	0.8	46	0
9	Dec_24_2014	69.2	69.07	68.46	69.38			69.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	13	10	0.65	44%	0.04	0	0.86%	0	0.6	45	0
10	Dec_23_2014	69.17	69.08	68.31	69.01			69.69(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	21	-26	0.89	44%	0.04	0	0.88%	0	0.5	44	0

11	Dec_22_2014	69.14	69.1	68.25	68.37			69.47(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	17	-67	0.64	44%	0.01	0	0.9%	0	0.3	44	0
12	Dec_19_2014	69.13	69.1	68.24	67.85			69.12(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	11	4	0.81	44%	0	0	0.91%	0	58.6	45	0
13	Dec_18_2014	69.13	69.1	68.31	67.51			68.9(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	2	-10000	2	1	1.07	44%	-0.01	0	0.93%	0	56.5	41	0
14	Dec_17_2014	69.14	69.1	68.42	67.44			67.85(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.91	34%	-0.12	0	0.86%	0	54.3	32	0
15	Dec_16_2014	69.22	69.1	68.65	67.53			66.51(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-22	-10000	-26	-10	0.83	14%	-0.26	0	0.67%	0	53.6	22	0

16	Dec_15_2014	69.4	69.1	69.02	68.12			66.89(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-19	-10000	-22	-9	1.18	14%	-0.26	0	0.69%	0	63.1	23	0
17	Dec_12_2014	69.58	69.1	69.32	68.65			67.4(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-23	-9	0.82	16%	-0.24	0	0.7%	0	79.3	50	0
18	Dec_11_2014	69.75	69.1	69.6	69.21			68.56(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-15	-6	0.68	22%	-0.14	0	0.6%	0	110.6	50	0
19	Dec_10_2014	69.85	69.1	69.78	69.53			68.3(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-16	-10000	-19	-8	0.86	22%	-0.2	0	0.6%	0	126.5	50	0
20	Dec_9_2014	69.99	69.1	69.97	69.93			69.43(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.84	36%	-0.09	0	0.43%	0	248	50	0

21	Dec_8_2014	70.05	69.1	70.04	70.06			69.58(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.77	36%	-0.07	0	0.45%	0	302.5	50	0
22	Dec_5_2014	70.1	69.1	70.04	70.08			70.2(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	2	1	0.6	54%	0.01	0	0.37%	0	412.9	50	0
23	Dec_4_2014	70.09	69.1	70.04	70.06			70.16(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.83	54%	0.03	0	0.39%	0	389.8	50	0
24	Dec_3_2014	70.07	69.1	70.04	70.08			70.29(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	4	2	0.65	54%	0.04	0	0.42%	0	369.9	50	0
25	Dec_2_2014	70.04	69.1	70.04	70.02			70.06(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	-0	0	0.52	54%		0	0.43%	0	389.2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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