Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: VYM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 24, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF)
VYM latest price $69.7100 (0.03%) ($69.6500 - $69.8700) on Wed. Dec. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $69.7100(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VYM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VYM advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VYM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(93%)    VT(91%)    XLF(91%)    XLI(90%)    SPY(88%)
Factors Impacting VYM price   VYM will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-29%)    UUP(-11%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $69.38(0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.46(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.08(0.91%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   4.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VYM price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2014	69.2		68.46	69.38			69.71(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	13	10	0.65	44%	0.04	0	0.86%	0	0.6	45	0
2	Dec_23_2014	69.17	69.08	68.31	69.01			69.69(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	21	-26	0.89	44%	0.04	0	0.88%	0	0.5	44	0
3	Dec_22_2014	69.14	69.1	68.25	68.37			69.47(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	17	-67	0.64	44%	0.01	0	0.9%	0	0.3	44	0
4	Dec_19_2014	69.13	69.1	68.24	67.85			69.12(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	11	4	0.81	44%	0	0	0.91%	0	58.6	45	0
5	Dec_18_2014	69.13	69.1	68.31	67.51			68.9(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	2	-10000	2	1	1.07	44%	-0.01	0	0.93%	0	56.5	41	0

6	Dec_17_2014	69.14	69.1	68.42	67.44			67.85(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.91	34%	-0.12	0	0.86%	0	54.3	32	0
7	Dec_16_2014	69.22	69.1	68.65	67.53			66.51(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-22	-10000	-26	-10	0.83	14%	-0.26	0	0.67%	0	53.6	22	0
8	Dec_15_2014	69.4	69.1	69.02	68.12			66.89(-0.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-19	-10000	-22	-9	1.18	14%	-0.26	0	0.69%	0	63.1	23	0
9	Dec_12_2014	69.58	69.1	69.32	68.65			67.4(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-23	-9	0.82	16%	-0.24	0	0.7%	0	79.3	50	0
10	Dec_11_2014	69.75	69.1	69.6	69.21			68.56(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-15	-6	0.68	22%	-0.14	0	0.6%	0	110.6	50	0

11	Dec_10_2014	69.85	69.1	69.78	69.53			68.3(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-16	-10000	-19	-8	0.86	22%	-0.2	0	0.6%	0	126.5	50	0
12	Dec_9_2014	69.99	69.1	69.97	69.93			69.43(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.84	36%	-0.09	0	0.43%	0	248	50	0
13	Dec_8_2014	70.05	69.1	70.04	70.06			69.58(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.77	36%	-0.07	0	0.45%	0	302.5	50	0
14	Dec_5_2014	70.1	69.1	70.04	70.08			70.2(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	2	-10000	2	1	0.6	54%	0.01	0	0.37%	0	412.9	50	0
15	Dec_4_2014	70.09	69.1	70.04	70.06			70.16(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.83	54%	0.03	0	0.39%	0	389.8	50	0

16	Dec_3_2014	70.07	69.1	70.04	70.08			70.29(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	4	2	0.65	54%	0.04	0	0.42%	0	369.9	50	0
17	Dec_2_2014	70.04	69.1	70.04	70.02			70.06(0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	-10000	-0	0	0.52	54%	0.01	0	0.43%	0	389.2	50	0
18	Dec_1_2014	70.03	69.1	70.04	70.03			69.67(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.8	1172	-10000	1379	552	1.08	33%	-0.14	0	0.36%	0	348.4	50	0
19	Nov_28_2014	70.13	69.1	70.04	56.1			70.11(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	140.1	2023	-10000	2380	952	0.3	70%	0	0	0.28%	0	701.1	50	0
20	Nov_26_2014	70.13	69.1	70.04	42.08			70.27(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	256.3	3047	-10000	3584	1434	0.58	70%	0.1	0	0.28%	0	638.8	50	0

21	Nov_25_2014	70.06	69.1	70.04	28.02			70(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	699.7	0	-10000	0	0	0.68	0%	-0.09	0	0%	0	1166.7	50	0
22	Nov_24_2014	70.12	69.1	70.04	14.02			70.12(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.81	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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