Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 6, 2013

Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 9, 2012 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Vaxart, Inc.)
VXRT latest price $44.1100 (-3.84%) ($44.1100 - $45.9800) on Tue. Aug. 6, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $44.1100(-3.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VXRT advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VXRT advances 6.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VXRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(5%)    JNK(4%)    PEJ(4%)    XLY(4%)    EMHY(3%)
Factors Impacting VXRT price   VXRT will decline at least -1.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
GLD(-4%)    XLU(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    USO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.38% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.64(-1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.51(3.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.38(9.24%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   29.4%
Market Cap   $4.241b

Vaxart, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which engages in the development of oral recombinant vaccines. Its products include Influenza, Norovirus and Respiratory Syncytial Virus. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

The big news for Vaxart, though, came just a couple of weeks ago. The U.S. government's Operation Warp Speed selected the company's COVID-19 vaccine candidate for funding and inclusion in a non-human primate challenge study. Vaxart's vaccine candidate was the only oral COVID-19 vaccine included. Vaxart expects to initiate its own phase 1 study of its COVID-19 vaccine in the second half of 2020. The study could begin as early as this summer.

$. VXRT price fluctuates within 7.45% (three month std-dev: 2.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2013	41.12	40.38	42.51	44.64			44.11(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	47	-10000	11	154	0	49%	0.02	73.7	2.76%	0	1.2	79	0
2	Aug_5_2013	41.11	39.95	42.06	43.98			45.87(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	53	-10000	18	159	0.01	51%	0.05	66.6	2.72%	0	2	92	0
3	Aug_2_2013	41.09	39.42	41.42	42.92			44.77(2.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	49	-10000	18	143	0	48%	0	58.5	2.72%	0	2	84	0
4	Aug_1_2013	41.09	39.01	40.9	41.91			43.89(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	-10000	14	129	0	46%	0.05	57.5	2.75%	0	2	85	0
5	Jul_31_2013	41.07	38.68	40.42	41.1			44.55(9.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	45	-10000	18	126	0.01	46%	0.05	62	2.76%	0	2.7	90	0

6	Jul_30_2013	41.05	38.28	39.77	40.11			40.81(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	5	104	0	38%	-0.07	71.2	2.54%	0	1.5	68	0
7	Jul_29_2013	41.08	38.05	39.36	39.86			40.59(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	3	104	0	38%	-0.05	76.9	2.55%	0	1.6	75	0
8	Jul_26_2013	41.1	37.9	39.02	39.69			39.71(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	-0	109	0	40%	-0.1	89.8	2.54%	0	1.2	73	0
9	Jul_25_2013	41.14	37.65	38.71	39.71			39.82(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	2	111	0	39%	-0.1	82.5	2.56%	0	1.3	63	0
10	Jul_24_2013	41.18	37.38	38.33	39.62			39.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-10000	5	101	0	39%	-0.07	71.4	2.57%	0	1.3	57	0

11	Jul_23_2013	41.21	37.11	38.12	39.36			39.6(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	12	99	0	39%	-0.15	54.9	2.57%	0	1.4	60	0
12	Jul_22_2013	41.27	36.84	37.71	38.74			39.71(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	10	74	0	39%	-0.07	34.5	2.57%	0	1.7	63	0
13	Jul_19_2013	41.3	36.58	37.29	38.24			39.82(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	14	45	0	42%	-0.12	18.2	2.58%	0	2	55	0
14	Jul_18_2013	41.35	36.36	36.97	37.55			39.38(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	19	-10000	14	34	0	41%	-0.12	-0.5	2.64%	0	2.1	65	0
15	Jul_17_2013	41.4	36.22	36.77	36.87			38.28(4.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	3	26	0.1	38%	-0.14	-21.8	2.63%	0	1.6	64	0

16	Jul_16_2013	41.46	36.19	36.63	36.72			36.52(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	4	40	0	34%	-0.19	-27.3	2.56%	0	0.3	61	0
17	Jul_15_2013	41.54	36.25	36.61	36.52			37.18(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	7	48	0	34%	-0.17	-34.6	2.55%	0	0.7	62	0
18	Jul_12_2013	41.61	36.29	36.67	36.19			36.41(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-2	52	0.01	34%	-0.19	-42.6	2.54%	0	0.1	58	0
19	Jul_11_2013	41.69	36.37	36.51	36.28			35.97(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-8	47	0	34%	-0.22	-40.4	2.53%	0	-0.3	52	0
20	Jul_10_2013	41.78	36.5	36.37	36.65			37.51(5.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	2	52	0	39%	-0.19	-31.3	2.49%	0	0.7	51	0

21	Jul_9_2013	41.86	36.53	36.04	36.56			35.53(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-4	24	0	33%	-0.14	-34.9	2.43%	0	-0.6	41	0
22	Jul_8_2013	41.92	36.71	35.93	36.72			35.53(-3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-10000	-11	3	0	33%	-0.21	-32.5	2.45%	0	-0.7	41	0
23	Jul_5_2013	42.01	36.88	35.87	37.2			36.85(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	10	9	0	37%	-0.26	-26.7	2.42%	0	-0	44	0
24	Jul_3_2013	42.12	36.96	35.75	36.74			37.84(2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	16	-22	0	38%	-0.14	-35.5	2.44%	0	0.5	47	0
25	Jul_2_2013	42.18	36.99	35.62	36.04			37.07(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	14	-61	0	38%		-46.6	2.44%	0	0	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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