Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VXRT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: VXRT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Nov. 9, 2012 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Vaxart, Inc.)
VXRT latest price $45.7600 (4%) ($43.4500 - $48.4000) on Fri. Jan. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $45.7600(4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VXRT advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VXRT declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VXRT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(4%)    IWM(4%)    JNK(4%)    PEJ(4%)    XLY(4%)
Factors Impacting VXRT price   VXRT will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-3%)    XLU(-2%)    USO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.13(3.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.84(4.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.69(2.39%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $4.399b

Vaxart, Inc. operates as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, which engages in the development of oral recombinant vaccines. Its products include Influenza, Norovirus and Respiratory Syncytial Virus. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, CA.

The big news for Vaxart, though, came just a couple of weeks ago. The U.S. government's Operation Warp Speed selected the company's COVID-19 vaccine candidate for funding and inclusion in a non-human primate challenge study. Vaxart's vaccine candidate was the only oral COVID-19 vaccine included. Vaxart expects to initiate its own phase 1 study of its COVID-19 vaccine in the second half of 2020. The study could begin as early as this summer.

$. VXRT price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2013	45.84	44.69	43.84	44.13			45.76(4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	-10000	15	-13	0.02	52%	0	-62.1	1.7%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Jan_3_2013	45.84	44.74	43.64	43.56			44(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	6	-64	0	44%	-0.11	-73	1.59%	0	-0.6	31	0
3	Jan_2_2013	45.89	44.89	43.7	43.34			43.45(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	-10000	2	-91	0	44%	-0.15	-74.8	1.6%	0	-1	24	0
4	Dec_31_2012	45.96	45.08	43.81	43.27			43.89(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-30	-10000	-3	-112	0	44%	-0.13	-72.8	1.62%	0	-0.8	25	0
5	Dec_28_2012	46.02	45.29	43.93	43.38			43.56(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-4	-119	0	44%	-0.17	-60.3	1.63%	0	-1.1	23	0

6	Dec_27_2012	46.1	45.49	44.08	43.52			42.9(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-36	-10000	-6	-127	0	44%	-0.22	-55.6	1.63%	0	-1.6	15	0
7	Dec_26_2012	46.2	45.72	44.42	43.74			42.9(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-10000	-10	-124	0	44%	-0.22	-53.4	1.66%	0	-1.8	13	0
8	Dec_24_2012	46.3	45.96	44.8	44.11			43.12(-2.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-34	-10000	-8	-110	0	44%	-0.24	-46.6	1.68%	0	-2	14	0
9	Dec_21_2012	46.41	46.19	45.16	44.4			44.44(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10000	-4	-104	0.01	50%	-0.15	-48.4	1.63%	0	-1.4	17	0
10	Dec_20_2012	46.48	46.29	45.38	44.55			44.22(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	-10000	-5	-110	0	50%	-0.17	-53	1.65%	0	-1.7	10	0

11	Dec_19_2012	46.56	46.41	45.62	44.75			44(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-37	-10000	-12	-111	0	50%	-0.19	-62.1	1.68%	0	-2.1	22	0
12	Dec_18_2012	46.65	46.56	45.94	45.21			44.77(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-10	-94	0	54%	-0.15	-61.4	1.68%	0	-1.8	28	0
13	Dec_17_2012	46.72	46.64	46.17	45.61			44.55(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0	54%	-0.19	-48.2	1.71%	0	-2.3	23	0
14	Dec_14_2012	46.81	46.81	46.46	46.05			45.21(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-21	-10000	-7	-64	0	54%	-0.15	-26.8	1.72%	0	-2.1	31	0
15	Dec_13_2012	46.88	46.96	46.77	46.33			45.21(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-7	-39	0	54%	-0.15	0	1.76%	0	-2.4	45	0

16	Dec_12_2012	46.95	47.12	47.02	46.62			46.31(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-4	-19	0	62%	-0.06	0	1.72%	0	-1.2	53	0
17	Dec_11_2012	46.98	47.16	47.12	46.77			46.75(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	-10000	-2	-8	0.01	62%	-0.02	0	1.75%	0	-0.6	53	0
18	Dec_10_2012	46.99	47.08	47.22	46.84			46.75(0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10000	-3	3	0	62%	-0.02	0	1.79%	0	-0.4	56	0
19	Dec_7_2012	47	47.02	47.29	46.95			46.64(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-10000	-8	4	0	62%	-0.04	0	1.84%	0	-0.4	42	0
20	Dec_6_2012	47.02	47.02	47.28	47.3			46.64(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0	62%	-0.04	0	1.89%	0	50.2	40	0

21	Dec_5_2012	47.04	47.02	47.26	47.48			47.08(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0	62%	0	0	1.92%	0	49	39	0
22	Dec_4_2012	47.04	47.02	47.22	47.52			47.08(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0	62%	0	0	1.98%	0	48	52	0
23	Dec_3_2012	47.04	47.02	47.16	47.65			47.3(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	-0	0	0	62%	0.04	0	2.03%	0	46.8	64	0
24	Nov_30_2012	47.02	47.02	47.19	47.67			48.4(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	9	4	0.01	72%	0.21	0	1.98%	0	46.5	66	0
25	Nov_29_2012	46.92	47.02	47.14	47.26			47.52(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	5	2	0	72%		0	2.02%	0	47	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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