Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.4000 (0.75%) ($41.0200 - $41.4300) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $41.4000(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    VT(85%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(72%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    TLT(-18%)    UUP(-16%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.89(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.12(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.78(1.52%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	41.16	40.78	41.12	40.89			41.4(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4	-10000	3	5	11.22	50%	-0.07	51.2	1.23%	0	0.9	62	0
2	Feb_4_2015	41.19	40.7	41.17	40.82			41.09(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	1	22	8.68	50%	-0.1	45.2	1.23%	0	0.5	61	0
3	Feb_3_2015	41.23	40.59	41.18	40.8			41.37(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	8	-10000	-1	33	20.86	50%	-0.07	32.8	1.23%	0	0.9	62	0
4	Feb_2_2015	41.26	40.47	41.08	40.82			40.65(1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-9	39	15.94	48%	-0.07	26.3	1.21%	0	0.2	60	0
5	Jan_30_2015	41.29	40.42	41.06	41.04			39.94(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	4	-10000	-14	57	22.05	47%	-0.12	31.8	1.19%	0	-0.5	51	0

6	Jan_29_2015	41.34	40.43	41.09	41.38			41.04(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-8	85	19.1	50%	-0.12	44	1.15%	0	0.7	59	0
7	Jan_28_2015	41.39	40.37	40.99	41.58			41(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	26	-10000	-1	107	7.62	53%	-0.1	51.1	1.15%	0	0.7	65	0
8	Jan_27_2015	41.43	40.32	40.9	41.61			41.49(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	-10000	10	130	8.52	53%	-0.12	54.3	1.17%	0	1.3	76	0
9	Jan_26_2015	41.48	40.24	40.73	41.36			41.71(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	11	123	9.01	53%	-0.12	52.6	1.18%	0	1.7	75	0
10	Jan_23_2015	41.53	40.14	40.56	41.09			41.66(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	14	115	11.39	53%	-0.1	53.6	1.18%	0	2	66	0

11	Jan_22_2015	41.57	40.03	40.41	40.76			42.02(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	-10000	18	98	15.26	53%	-0.12	59.4	1.18%	0	2.8	63	0
12	Jan_21_2015	41.62	39.92	40.16	40.33			41.15(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	-10000	10	63	15.43	51%	-0.1	75.8	1.15%	0	2.4	58	0
13	Jan_20_2015	41.66	39.84	39.92	40.1			40.25(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	4	32	15.67	47%	-0.12	86.7	1.12%	0	1	53	0
14	Jan_16_2015	41.71	39.8	39.8	40			40.39(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5	-10000	3	11	14.33	49%	-0.14	85.1	1.12%	0	1.5	53	0
15	Jan_15_2015	41.77	39.73	39.71	39.94			39.99(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-3	2	16.71	47%	-0.14	75	1.12%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Jan_14_2015	41.83	39.62	39.7	40.01			39.87(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-10000	2	12	14.77	47%	-0.14	44.3	1.13%	0	0.6	52	0
17	Jan_13_2015	41.89	39.54	39.71	39.96			40.02(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	12	13	14.35	49%	-0.12	8.4	1.13%	0	0.8	49	0
18	Jan_12_2015	41.94	39.48	39.7	39.7			39.74(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-10000	7	-5	10.63	49%	-0.14	-20	1.14%	0	0.4	51	0
19	Jan_9_2015	42	39.46	39.72	39.54			40.1(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	5	-11	9.14	45%	-0.12	-40.1	1.17%	0	0.9	57	0
20	Jan_8_2015	42.05	39.44	39.68	39.43			40.3(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	2	-10	10	47%	-0.12	-57.6	1.18%	0	1.3	65	0

21	Jan_7_2015	42.1	39.43	39.62	39.38			39.63(2.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-3	7	11.57	44%	-0.14	-68.9	1.18%	0	0.3	71	0
22	Jan_6_2015	42.16	39.49	39.65	39.45			38.74(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-11	33	13.78	43%	-0.14	-67.4	1.14%	0	-1.1	61	0
23	Jan_5_2015	42.22	39.62	39.75	39.69			38.93(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-9	62	17.34	43%	-0.14	-58.8	1.16%	0	-0.9	53	0
24	Jan_2_2015	42.28	39.74	39.82	39.91			39.56(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10000	-2	84	17.84	45%	-0.19	-51.9	1.15%	0	-0.2	51	0
25	Dec_31_2014	42.36	39.84	39.77	39.95			40.02(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10000	3	81	13.16	44%		-47.4	1.15%	0	0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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