Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 19, 2012

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $44.0500 (-0.14%) ($44.0300 - $44.3100) on Wed. Dec. 19, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $44.0500(-0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.85(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.6(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.81(2.9%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2012	41.74	42.81	43.6	43.85			44.05(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	4	137	24.98	42%	0.1	83.8	0.85%	0	1.4	88	0
2	Dec_18_2012	41.7	42.67	43.46	43.78			44.11(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	6	150	20.19	42%	0.1	83.9	0.84%	0	1.6	91	0
3	Dec_17_2012	41.66	42.54	43.27	43.67			43.84(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	42	-10000	5	151	22.57	42%	0.1	83.9	0.84%	0	1.5	91	0
4	Dec_14_2012	41.62	42.38	43.09	43.57			43.73(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	8	146	17.41	42%	0.12	76.2	0.85%	0	1.5	79	0
5	Dec_13_2012	41.57	42.22	42.92	43.43			43.51(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	7	136	20.02	49%	0.12	68.1	0.86%	0	1.4	78	0

6	Dec_12_2012	41.52	42.07	42.78	43.31			43.72(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	-10000	11	135	22.27	49%	0.14	57.5	0.91%	0	1.8	87	0
7	Dec_11_2012	41.46	41.93	42.59	43.09			43.55(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	15	127	18.83	49%	0.12	48.8	0.91%	0	1.9	84	0
8	Dec_10_2012	41.41	41.82	42.39	42.8			43.33(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	13	106	13.56	49%	0.1	40.6	0.92%	0	1.9	80	0
9	Dec_7_2012	41.37	41.71	42.24	42.54			43.04(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	33	-10000	10	101	15.66	54%	0.07	31.5	0.93%	0	1.9	83	0
10	Dec_6_2012	41.34	41.61	42.12	42.34			42.89(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	31	-10000	8	98	17.1	58%	0.07	19.9	0.98%	0	2	83	0

11	Dec_5_2012	41.31	41.54	41.95	42.18			42.62(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	8	95	17.53	58%	0.07	15.9	1.01%	0	2	83	0
12	Dec_4_2012	41.28	41.52	41.82	42.01			42.14(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	5	87	23.49	56%	0.07	14.1	1%	0	1.2	65	0
13	Dec_3_2012	41.25	41.5	41.74	41.9			42.03(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	1	78	25.02	56%	0.07	10.4	1%	0	1	57	0
14	Nov_30_2012	41.22	41.5	41.61	41.88			42.02(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	1	69	32.91	56%	0.1	13	1.01%	0	1	58	0
15	Nov_29_2012	41.18	41.49	41.48	41.86			42.08(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	8	63	16.23	56%	0.07	18.4	1.02%	0	1.1	61	0

16	Nov_28_2012	41.15	41.46	41.31	41.69			41.79(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	5	34	16.35	56%	0.05	2.5	1.02%	0	0.7	50	0
17	Nov_27_2012	41.13	41.44	41.23	41.59			41.59(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	2	9	10.18	56%	0.07	-4.9	1.02%	0	0.3	40	0
18	Nov_26_2012	41.1	41.45	41.21	41.55			41.94(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	12	2	11.48	56%	0.05	-12	1.02%	0	0.9	47	0
19	Nov_23_2012	41.08	41.42	41.14	41.3			41.88(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	3	-10000	12	-25	5.11	56%	0.05	-36.6	1.02%	0	0.9	49	0
20	Nov_21_2012	41.06	41.39	41.06	41.04			41.24(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	8	-62	12.25	53%	0	-61	1%	0	-0.3	39	0

21	Nov_20_2012	41.06	41.44	41.09	40.88			41.3(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-18	-10000	2	-76	17.98	53%	0.05	-67.8	1%	0	-0.3	48	0
22	Nov_19_2012	41.04	41.47	41.18	40.88			41.4(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-18	-10000	0	-73	14.64	53%	0.02	-65.6	1%	0	-0.1	48	0
23	Nov_16_2012	41.03	41.51	41.23	40.83			40.68(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-7	-75	20.79	49%	0.07	-57.8	0.98%	0	-1.6	38	0
24	Nov_15_2012	41	41.61	41.35	40.96			40.58(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-6	-60	19.74	49%	0.05	-41.7	0.99%	0	-1.9	43	0
25	Nov_14_2012	40.98	41.7	41.5	41.08			40.44(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-12	-44	21.34	49%		-30.4	0.99%	0	-2.4	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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