Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 1, 2012

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $42.1000 (1.45%) ($41.8000 - $42.1900) on Thu. Nov. 1, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $42.1000(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(93%)    FXI(79%)    EWY(76%)    SPY(71%)    EWG(70%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-18%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(5%)    GLD(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.68(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.87(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.87(0.55%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2012	40.75		41.87	41.68			42.1(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	7	-5	18.8	67%	0.1	-13.2	1.02%	0	0.6	59	0
2	Oct_31_2012	40.71	41.87	41.88	41.54			41.5(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-7	-14	20.02	65%	0.2	-16.5	1%	0	-1	51	0
3	Oct_26_2012	40.63	41.91	41.93	41.68			41.55(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-1	13.96	72%	0.07	-5.8	1.05%	0	-1	47	0
4	Oct_25_2012	40.6	41.92	41.94	41.74			41.84(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-5	-5	11.47	72%	0.1	-14.5	1.08%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Oct_24_2012	40.56	41.92	41.94	41.86			41.43(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-9	-10000	-10	-5	11.28	72%	0.1	-11.4	1.07%	0	-1.4	41	0

6	Oct_23_2012	40.52	41.93	41.93	42.09			41.36(-2.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-5	-10000	-8	6	16.78	65%	0.1	-12.5	1.08%	0	-1.5	46	0
7	Oct_22_2012	40.48	41.94	41.96	42.27			42.24(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	3	17	15.26	71%	0.12	-15.7	1.09%	0	0.9	51	0
8	Oct_19_2012	40.43	41.93	41.92	42.2			41.81(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	4	-10000	2	8	18.7	67%	0.1	-28.6	1.1%	0	-0.3	46	0
9	Oct_18_2012	40.39	41.93	41.97	42.16			42.47(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	-10000	7	13	14.4	71%	0.12	-36.8	1.09%	0	1.3	60	0
10	Oct_17_2012	40.34	41.93	41.94	42.01			42.59(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	10	-10000	11	8	20.53	71%	0.1	-46	1.09%	0	1.5	57	0

11	Oct_16_2012	40.3	41.97	41.86	41.76			42.25(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	7	-5	24.58	71%	0.05	-48.6	1.09%	0	0.6	62	0
12	Oct_15_2012	40.28	41.99	41.84	41.76			41.88(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-10000	0	-11	12	71%	0.1	-42	1.09%	0	-0.2	55	0
13	Oct_12_2012	40.24	42.04	41.87	41.61			41.6(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-6	-13	15.73	69%	0.1	-22.2	1.11%	0	-0.8	44	0
14	Oct_11_2012	40.2	42.11	41.89	41.75			41.72(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-14	10.85	69%	0.1	-0.8	1.13%	0	-0.7	39	0
15	Oct_10_2012	40.16	42.16	41.91	41.86			41.33(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-5	-13	14.87	69%	0.07	22.7	1.12%	0	-1.5	36	0

16	Oct_9_2012	40.13	42.16	41.92	41.98			41.54(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-5	-22	15.27	69%	0.07	46	1.13%	0	-1.2	36	0
17	Oct_8_2012	40.1	42.19	41.93	42.1			41.88(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-2	-27	12.13	69%	0.1	61.5	1.13%	0	-0.5	38	0
18	Oct_5_2012	40.06	42.15	41.95	42.15			42.27(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	5	-30	26.96	65%	0.12	71	1.14%	0	0.2	41	0
19	Oct_4_2012	40.01	42.12	41.98	42.04			42.3(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	2	-45	19.16	65%	0.1	69.8	1.15%	0	0.3	37	0
20	Oct_3_2012	39.97	42.04	42	41.98			41.91(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	5	-50	13.03	67%	0.08	56.3	1.15%	0	-0.2	41	0

21	Oct_2_2012	39.94	41.94	42.08	41.86			42.13(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-46	18.5	67%	0.05	43.2	1.17%	0	0.2	57	0
22	Oct_1_2012	39.92	41.84	42.14	41.73			42.16(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	0	-43	13.7	67%	0.05	36.1	1.17%	0	0.3	59	0
23	Sep_28_2012	39.9	41.75	42.2	41.72			41.72(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-7	-25	19.06	71%	0.03	30.3	1.27%	0	-0	60	0
24	Sep_27_2012	39.89	41.66	42.35	41.91			41.97(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-5	4	16.42	71%	0.05	28.4	1.27%	0	0.3	56	0
25	Sep_26_2012	39.87	41.58	42.42	42.03			41.31(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-10000	-11	32	23.87	70%		26.6	1.26%	0	-0.2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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