Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.5300 (0.24%) ($41.1500 - $41.7900) on Fri. Sep. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $41.5300(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(94%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(78%)    EWG(73%)    SPY(73%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(2%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(17%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.5(-12.11%)
Resistance Level   $41.99
5 Day Moving Average   $41.18(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.79(-0.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.99(-1.1%)
To recent high   -16.1%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2011	46.15		41.79	41.18			41.53(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	2	-59	14.93	49%	-0.19	-36.6	2.24%	0	-0.5	52	0
2	Sep_15_2011	46.24	41.99	41.99	41.11			41.43(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-5	-50	17.35	48%	-0.19	-43.3	2.24%	0	-0.5	55	0
3	Sep_14_2011	46.33	42.07	42.23	41.35			40.89(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-11	-33	37.95	49%	-0.22	-23.6	2.24%	0	-1.1	47	0
4	Sep_13_2011	46.43	42.17	42.45	41.87			41.06(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-8	34.52	49%	-0.19	-7.4	2.25%	0	-1.1	46	0
5	Sep_12_2011	46.52	42.29	42.65	42.12			41(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-10000	-7	12	28.21	49%	-0.13	13.5	2.25%	0	-1.3	54	0

6	Sep_9_2011	46.58	42.37	42.75	42.47			41.15(-3.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-1	-10000	-11	29	34.03	47%	-0.21	18.6	2.26%	0	-1.2	55	0
7	Sep_8_2011	46.68	42.44	42.77	42.99			42.63(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-5	49	31.51	50%	-0.17	27.6	2.23%	0	0.2	57	0
8	Sep_7_2011	46.76	42.32	42.7	43.25			43.52(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	2	55	11.88	50%	-0.13	3.6	2.22%	0	1.1	50	0
9	Sep_6_2011	46.82	42.25	42.55	43.14			42.28(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-3	46	24.79	47%	-0.19	-19.3	2.19%	0	0	47	0
10	Sep_2_2011	46.91	42.15	42.41	43.28			42.79(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	5	40	20.68	47%	-0.13	-45.4	2.17%	0	0.6	46	0

11	Sep_1_2011	46.97	42.15	42.22	43.04			43.72(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	12	25	28.64	46%	-0.13	-65.9	2.16%	0	1.3	56	0
12	Aug_31_2011	47.03	42.18	41.97	42.49			43.93(2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	-10000	9	-3	23.86	47%	-0.11	-75	2.17%	0	1.2	57	0
13	Aug_30_2011	47.08	42.28	41.86	42.07			43(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	4	-2	16.79	47%	-0.15	-74.9	2.16%	0	0.4	64	0
14	Aug_29_2011	47.15	42.45	41.83	41.89			42.94(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	-10000	10	-3	13.57	47%	-0.17	-68.1	2.18%	0	0.2	52	0
15	Aug_26_2011	47.23	42.68	41.84	41.44			41.6(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	4	-3	27.27	45%	-0.19	-65.7	2.14%	0	-0.4	57	0

16	Aug_25_2011	47.32	43	41.92	41.27			40.99(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-2	-19	28.42	45%	-0.19	-63.5	2.14%	0	-0.8	43	0
17	Aug_24_2011	47.41	43.34	42.07	41.34			41.81(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-6	-28	22.08	45%	-0.19	-61.5	2.13%	0	-0.6	44	0
18	Aug_23_2011	47.5	43.64	41.92	41.62			42.1(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-4	-56	25.26	44%	-0.17	-55.9	2.13%	0	-0.5	38	0
19	Aug_22_2011	47.58	43.96	41.93	41.78			40.7(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-12	-83	17.54	41%	-0.19	-51.7	2.09%	0	-1.1	34	0
20	Aug_19_2011	47.67	44.35	41.91	42.32			40.74(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-7	-110	34.65	41%	-0.17	-45.3	2.09%	0	-1.2	31	0

21	Aug_18_2011	47.75	44.75	42.19	42.65			41.37(-4.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-4	-126	31.12	42%	-0.17	-42.1	2.09%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Aug_17_2011	47.83	45.11	42.45	42.85			43.2(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	14	-140	28.82	45%	-0.1	-40	2.04%	0	-0.6	36	0
23	Aug_16_2011	47.88	45.35	42.74	42.23			42.91(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-42	-10000	3	-176	26.01	45%	-0.08	-45.6	2.03%	0	-0.8	35	0
24	Aug_15_2011	47.92	45.6	43.1	42.1			43.39(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-36	-10000	15	-189	20.61	45%	-0.1	-47	2.03%	0	-0.7	34	0
25	Aug_12_2011	47.97	45.79	43.53	41.45			42.37(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-61	-10000	-6	-224	30.44	42%		-54.4	2.02%	0	-1.2	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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