Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $48.6400 (1.4%) ($48.0800 - $48.7500) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $48.6400(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(79%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(10%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.88(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.85(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48(1.33%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.75% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2011	48.16	48	47.85	47.88			48.64(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	9	-56	12.28	46%	0.04	30.9	1.15%	0	0.8	50	0
2	Jul_20_2011	48.14	47.92	47.92	47.64			47.97(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	0	-62	13.65	48%	0.04	22.9	1.14%	0	0.1	50	0
3	Jul_19_2011	48.12	47.88	48	47.63			47.87(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	5	-48	14.88	50%	0.04	19.8	1.18%	0	-0	53	0
4	Jul_18_2011	48.1	47.82	48.11	47.49			47.19(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-3	-41	17.94	45%	0.02	11.5	1.18%	0	-0.7	54	0
5	Jul_15_2011	48.09	47.8	48.31	47.57			47.73(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-9	-16	23.97	45%	0.04	10.6	1.21%	0	-0.1	61	0

6	Jul_14_2011	48.07	47.74	48.4	47.83			47.46(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-10000	-14	16	26.89	45%	0.06	9.7	1.21%	0	-0.3	59	0
7	Jul_13_2011	48.04	47.72	48.48	48.24			47.89(1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-7	55	22.93	45%	0.04	16	1.2%	0	0.2	60	0
8	Jul_12_2011	48.02	47.71	48.47	48.44			47.18(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	8	-10000	-13	70	15.2	41%	-0.02	19.8	1.19%	0	-0.5	52	0
9	Jul_11_2011	48.03	47.72	48.49	48.82			47.6(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	18	-10000	-10	100	29.41	41%	0.02	27.4	1.21%	0	-0.1	62	0
10	Jul_8_2011	48.02	47.7	48.42	49.13			49(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	2	133	16.99	44%	0.06	30.2	1.16%	0	1.3	73	0

11	Jul_7_2011	47.99	47.65	48.2	49.06			49.51(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	10	138	13.86	44%	0.06	27	1.15%	0	1.9	79	0
12	Jul_6_2011	47.96	47.56	47.93	48.77			48.92(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	9	124	17.96	42%	0.06	18.4	1.14%	0	1.5	70	0
13	Jul_5_2011	47.93	47.51	47.76	48.52			49.05(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	38	-10000	15	107	15.21	42%	0.1	6.3	1.14%	0	1.9	58	0
14	Jul_1_2011	47.88	47.44	47.49	48.12			49.18(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	-10000	19	79	14.64	45%	0.08	-9.8	1.14%	0	2.2	64	0
15	Jun_30_2011	47.84	47.44	47.22	47.61			48.62(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	14	40	24.35	45%	0.06	-25.6	1.15%	0	1.7	60	0

16	Jun_29_2011	47.81	47.39	47	47.22			48.07(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	9	-4	21.79	45%	0.02	-31.8	1.15%	0	0.9	46	0
17	Jun_28_2011	47.8	47.4	47	46.98			47.67(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	-10000	3	-32	14.2	45%	0.02	-30.2	1.15%	0	0.3	46	0
18	Jun_27_2011	47.79	47.46	47	46.89			47.06(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	5	-42	14.58	43%	0	-19.7	1.14%	0	-0.5	39	0
19	Jun_24_2011	47.79	47.52	46.86	46.77			46.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-10000	0	-61	12.7	45%	-0.02	-20.6	1.13%	0	-1.1	39	0
20	Jun_23_2011	47.8	47.58	46.92	46.76			46.64(-0.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	-10000	1	-75	19.65	47%	0	-23.8	1.14%	0	-1.2	35	0

21	Jun_22_2011	47.8	47.62	47.06	46.73			46.88(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-21	-10000	0	-83	19.45	47%	-0.02	-31.7	1.15%	0	-0.9	34	0
22	Jun_21_2011	47.81	47.64	47.16	46.72			47.25(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-4	-91	17.2	49%	0.02	-35.2	1.15%	0	-0.5	41	0
23	Jun_20_2011	47.8	47.62	47.25	46.83			46.44(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-28	-10000	-5	-95	12.11	47%	0	-34.9	1.15%	0	-1.5	29	0
24	Jun_17_2011	47.8	47.69	47.4	46.97			46.57(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-5	-93	27.24	49%	-0.02	-30.3	1.15%	0	-1.5	39	0
25	Jun_16_2011	47.81	47.77	47.59	47.1			46.49(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-12	-82	17.62	46%		-29.9	1.16%	0	-1.9	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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