Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $50.2900 (-0.02%) ($50.0300 - $50.5800) on Thu. Apr. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $50.2900(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.12(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.21(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.85(5.1%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.49% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2011	47.21	47.85	49.21	50.12			50.29(-0.02%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	52	-10000	9	179	19	54%	0.08	51.9	1.21%	0	1.5	92	0
2	Apr_6_2011	47.17	47.63	48.96	49.86			50.3(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	56	-10000	12	189	25.13	54%	0.11	46.7	1.22%	0	1.7	93	0
3	Apr_5_2011	47.12	47.47	48.65	49.51			50.07(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	-10000	14	195	21.93	54%	0.06	47.2	1.22%	0	1.8	93	0
4	Apr_4_2011	47.09	47.32	48.3	49.09			50.21(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	59	-10000	18	183	14.66	54%	0.06	48	1.22%	0	2.2	79	0
5	Apr_1_2011	47.06	47.13	47.93	48.55			49.75(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	-10000	13	153	29.84	54%	0.04	44.2	1.21%	0	2.3	68	0

6	Mar_31_2011	47.04	47	47.53	48.16			48.95(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	37	-10000	8	125	22.96	51%	0	47.1	1.21%	0	2	67	0
7	Mar_30_2011	47.04	46.91	47.19	47.93			48.57(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	10	112	23.65	51%	0	56.2	1.2%	0	1.9	68	0
8	Mar_29_2011	47.04	46.8	46.84	47.66			47.98(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	10	75	14.61	50%	-0.02	59.6	1.2%	0	1.5	52	0
9	Mar_28_2011	47.05	46.69	46.63	47.38			47.51(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	7	45	21.72	50%	-0.04	56.4	1.2%	0	1.1	50	0
10	Mar_25_2011	47.07	46.64	46.54	47.19			47.79(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	21	-10000	15	37	19.65	50%	-0.04	48.4	1.19%	0	1.6	55	0

11	Mar_24_2011	47.09	46.54	46.38	46.78			47.79(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	13	-10000	16	2	20.92	50%	0	29.6	1.2%	0	1.7	51	0
12	Mar_23_2011	47.09	46.42	46.19	46.34			47.21(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	16	-38	17.45	48%	-0.02	7.7	1.2%	0	1.1	47	0
13	Mar_22_2011	47.1	46.33	46.18	45.9			46.61(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	5	-63	19.71	43%	-0.02	-13.9	1.19%	0	0.4	50	0
14	Mar_21_2011	47.11	46.27	46.24	45.77			46.56(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-17	-10000	-2	-60	13.22	46%	0	-21.9	1.2%	0	0.4	55	0
15	Mar_18_2011	47.11	46.28	46.26	45.81			45.74(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	23.69	42%	-0.02	-14.8	1.18%	0	-0.7	47	0

16	Mar_17_2011	47.12	46.32	46.42	45.93			45.6(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	19.45	42%	-0.02	-3.1	1.19%	0	-1	49	0
17	Mar_16_2011	47.13	46.37	46.6	46.02			44.99(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-17	-18	36.07	40%	-0.04	3.2	1.17%	0	-1.9	51	0
18	Mar_15_2011	47.15	46.37	46.78	46.49			45.98(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-10	27	38.74	41%	-0.04	18.3	1.15%	0	-0.7	58	0
19	Mar_14_2011	47.17	46.43	46.8	46.76			46.72(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-1	56	26.68	43%	0	22.5	1.14%	0	0.4	63	0
20	Mar_11_2011	47.17	46.39	46.77	46.78			46.37(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-8	51	18.57	43%	0	16	1.13%	0	-0	47	0

21	Mar_10_2011	47.17	46.39	46.75	46.99			46.04(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	-10000	-10	58	22.35	43%	-0.02	13.2	1.14%	0	-0.4	47	0
22	Mar_9_2011	47.18	46.35	46.7	47.27			47.35(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	6	77	21.14	48%	0.04	16.6	1.08%	0	1.4	57	0
23	Mar_8_2011	47.16	46.31	46.5	47.11			47.34(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	11	63	29.32	48%	0	6.2	1.08%	0	1.5	60	0
24	Mar_7_2011	47.16	46.31	46.5	46.83			46.82(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	3	36	18.6	46%	-0.02	-2.9	1.08%	0	0.8	58	0
25	Mar_4_2011	47.17	46.28	46.3	46.75			47.39(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	11	45	19.89	48%		0.7	1.06%	0	1.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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