Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $47.2100 (1.29%) ($46.6100 - $47.3300) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $47.2100(1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.34(1.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.19(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.42(1.7%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.55% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2011	47.09	46.42	46.19	46.34			47.21(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	16	-38	17.45	48%	-0.02	7.7	1.2%	0	1.1	47	0
2	Mar_22_2011	47.1	46.33	46.18	45.9			46.61(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	5	-63	19.71	43%	-0.02	-13.9	1.19%	0	0.4	50	0
3	Mar_21_2011	47.11	46.27	46.24	45.77			46.56(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-17	-10000	-2	-60	13.22	46%	0	-21.9	1.2%	0	0.4	55	0
4	Mar_18_2011	47.11	46.28	46.26	45.81			45.74(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	23.69	42%	-0.02	-14.8	1.18%	0	-0.7	47	0
5	Mar_17_2011	47.12	46.32	46.42	45.93			45.6(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-36	19.45	42%	-0.02	-3.1	1.19%	0	-1	49	0

6	Mar_16_2011	47.13	46.37	46.6	46.02			44.99(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-17	-18	36.07	40%	-0.04	3.2	1.17%	0	-1.9	51	0
7	Mar_15_2011	47.15	46.37	46.78	46.49			45.98(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-10	27	38.74	41%	-0.04	18.3	1.15%	0	-0.7	58	0
8	Mar_14_2011	47.17	46.43	46.8	46.76			46.72(0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-1	56	26.68	43%	0	22.5	1.14%	0	0.4	63	0
9	Mar_11_2011	47.17	46.39	46.77	46.78			46.37(0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-8	51	18.57	43%	0	16	1.13%	0	-0	47	0
10	Mar_10_2011	47.17	46.39	46.75	46.99			46.04(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	7	-10000	-10	58	22.35	43%	-0.02	13.2	1.14%	0	-0.4	47	0

11	Mar_9_2011	47.18	46.35	46.7	47.27			47.35(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	6	77	21.14	48%	0.04	16.6	1.08%	0	1.4	57	0
12	Mar_8_2011	47.16	46.31	46.5	47.11			47.34(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	11	63	29.32	48%	0	6.2	1.08%	0	1.5	60	0
13	Mar_7_2011	47.16	46.31	46.5	46.83			46.82(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	3	36	18.6	46%	-0.02	-2.9	1.08%	0	0.8	58	0
14	Mar_4_2011	47.17	46.28	46.3	46.75			47.39(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	11	45	19.89	48%	0	0.7	1.06%	0	1.7	62	0
15	Mar_3_2011	47.17	46.26	46.2	46.47			47.44(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	17	42	26.91	48%	0	-14	1.07%	0	1.9	66	0

16	Mar_2_2011	47.17	46.23	46.08	46.06			46.57(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	18	23.24	47%	0	-37.1	1.04%	0	0.6	56	0
17	Mar_1_2011	47.17	46.27	46.08	45.81			45.93(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-11	29.53	51%	-0.02	-43.4	1.04%	0	-0.5	42	0
18	Feb_28_2011	47.18	46.3	46.02	45.69			46.41(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-11	-10000	-4	-33	17.2	51%	-0.02	-55.2	1.09%	0	0.2	44	0
19	Feb_25_2011	47.19	46.28	45.96	45.78			46.01(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-5	-38	19.35	47%	0	-59.4	1.12%	0	-0.4	39	0
20	Feb_24_2011	47.19	46.35	45.91	45.9			45.39(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-8	-50	18.22	48%	-0.04	-53.6	1.12%	0	-1.4	33	0

21	Feb_23_2011	47.21	46.46	45.97	46.11			45.29(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-10000	-5	-48	28.05	43%	-0.02	-47.1	1.15%	0	-1.6	31	0
22	Feb_22_2011	47.22	46.56	46.12	46.25			45.33(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-4	-44	26.95	43%	0	-52.7	1.22%	0	-1.8	29	0
23	Feb_18_2011	47.22	46.67	46.12	46.36			46.9(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	7	-32	17.42	53%	0.02	-60	1.14%	0	0.4	54	0
24	Feb_17_2011	47.21	46.68	46.28	46.17			46.61(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	9	-33	18.23	53%	0.04	-73.8	1.17%	0	-0.1	57	0
25	Feb_16_2011	47.19	46.72	46.32	45.93			46.4(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-54	19.85	48%		-85.5	1.17%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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