Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.9100 (0.62%) ($41.4200 - $41.9400) on Mon. Jul. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $41.9100(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(81%)    EWY(80%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.16(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.7(2.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.99(4.8%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.75% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2010	40.49	39.99	40.7	41.16			41.91(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	9	50	10.06	48%	0	27.6	2.14%	0	1.7	72	0
2	Jul_23_2010	40.49	39.89	40.52	40.75			41.65(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	11	48	12.11	48%	0.05	19	2.14%	0	1.7	74	0
3	Jul_22_2010	40.47	39.78	40.39	40.29			41.32(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	4	43	10.38	48%	0.02	6.1	2.14%	0	1.7	74	0
4	Jul_21_2010	40.46	39.71	40.25	40.13			40.27(-0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-10000	-1	49	15.34	46%	0.02	2.3	2.11%	0	0.7	71	0
5	Jul_20_2010	40.45	39.71	40.2	40.13			40.63(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	0	62	15.36	46%	0.02	4.7	2.11%	0	1.1	70	0

6	Jul_19_2010	40.44	39.69	40.04	40.19			39.87(1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-1	58	7.34	46%	0.02	15.2	2.1%	0	0.2	50	0
7	Jul_16_2010	40.43	39.7	39.9	40.25			39.37(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-5	49	17.14	44%	0	23.5	2.09%	0	-0.4	45	0
8	Jul_15_2010	40.43	39.72	39.81	40.48			40.49(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	3	53	11.4	46%	0.05	37.3	2.09%	0	0.9	56	0
9	Jul_14_2010	40.41	39.69	39.57	40.37			40.59(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	36	14.35	48%	0.05	49.1	2.09%	0	1.1	51	0
10	Jul_13_2010	40.39	39.65	39.34	40.2			40.65(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	8	20	10.78	48%	0.02	57.5	2.1%	0	1.2	53	0

11	Jul_12_2010	40.38	39.56	39.23	39.86			40.17(-0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-10000	9	0	13.06	48%	0.02	58.9	2.1%	0	0.8	43	0
12	Jul_9_2010	40.37	39.5	39.2	39.49			40.48(1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	11	-14	21.34	48%	0.02	54.7	2.1%	0	1.2	51	0
13	Jul_8_2010	40.36	39.4	39.09	39.04			39.98(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	10	-35	15.4	48%	0.02	38.9	2.09%	0	0.7	50	0
14	Jul_7_2010	40.35	39.28	39.1	38.64			39.72(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-8	-10000	7	-51	13.97	48%	0	15.4	2.09%	0	0.5	48	0
15	Jul_6_2010	40.35	39.19	39.11	38.36			38.96(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-20	-10000	-4	-69	13.54	48%	0.02	7	2.08%	0	-0.2	42	0

16	Jul_2_2010	40.34	39.1	39.28	38.53			38.3(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-9	-53	22.62	48%	-0.02	5.3	2.05%	0	-0.7	49	0
17	Jul_1_2010	40.35	39.06	39.46	38.88			38.22(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-7	-31	27.29	49%	0.02	8.9	2.07%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Jun_30_2010	40.34	39.09	39.64	39.16			37.99(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-10000	-11	-13	26.32	49%	0	25	2.07%	0	-1	49	0
19	Jun_29_2010	40.34	39.14	39.85	39.6			38.31(-3.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-9	22	21.82	51%	0.02	44.7	2.07%	0	-0.7	61	0
20	Jun_28_2010	40.33	39.12	40.04	39.95			39.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-5	56	8.24	54%	0.05	55.4	2.03%	0	0.6	70	0

21	Jun_25_2010	40.31	39.04	39.95	39.95			40.05(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	0	81	12.61	54%	0.07	64.4	2.03%	0	0.9	76	0
22	Jun_24_2010	40.28	38.97	39.84	40.14			39.61(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-1	93	16.98	54%	0	77	2.03%	0	0.6	68	0
23	Jun_23_2010	40.28	38.83	39.76	40.19			40.21(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-10000	1	98	22.61	54%	0.02	67	2.03%	0	1.2	59	0
24	Jun_22_2010	40.27	38.65	39.5	40.19			40.03(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	0	88	15.84	54%	0.02	56.9	2.03%	0	1.1	57	0
25	Jun_21_2010	40.26	38.5	39.27	40.14			40.8(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	10	96	14.59	54%		48.3	2.02%	0	1.9	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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