Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 30, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $42.1300 (0.33%) ($41.8400 - $42.2100) on Tue. Mar. 30, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $42.1300(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.49(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.56(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.3(2.01%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   14.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_30_2010	40.55	41.3	41.56	41.49			42.13(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4	-10000	3	8	5.69	55%	0.02	92.9	1.48%	0	1.4	59	0
2	Mar_29_2010	40.54	41.2	41.49	41.41			41.99(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	4	7	8.97	55%	0.05	92.9	1.48%	0	1.2	58	0
3	Mar_26_2010	40.52	41.09	41.4	41.29			41.24(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	9.03	53%	0.05	77	1.46%	0	0.2	54	0
4	Mar_25_2010	40.5	40.98	41.41	41.3			40.95(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	0	21.33	53%	0.05	63.6	1.47%	0	-0	50	0
5	Mar_24_2010	40.48	40.88	41.47	41.45			41.16(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-5	22	7.01	53%	0.1	58.3	1.48%	0	0.3	67	0

6	Mar_23_2010	40.44	40.78	41.49	41.61			41.72(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	1	45	9.37	53%	0.07	55.8	1.47%	0	0.9	70	0
7	Mar_22_2010	40.41	40.62	41.44	41.58			41.39(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	55	14.96	53%	0.1	50.9	1.47%	0	0.7	69	0
8	Mar_19_2010	40.37	40.52	41.41	41.52			41.29(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	-0	66	20.52	53%	0.05	53.6	1.46%	0	0.7	72	0
9	Mar_18_2010	40.35	40.42	41.39	41.53			41.7(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	2	88	7.43	53%	0.1	57	1.46%	0	1.2	82	0
10	Mar_17_2010	40.31	40.31	41.22	41.48			41.97(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	4	101	6.94	50%	0.07	65.7	1.46%	0	1.6	87	0

11	Mar_16_2010	40.28	40.18	41.04	41.35			41.55(1.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	-10000	2	104	7.22	50%	0.02	73.3	1.5%	0	1.4	79	0
12	Mar_15_2010	40.27	40.06	40.89	41.35			41.07(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	0	117	8.36	50%	0.02	86.1	1.49%	0	1	80	0
13	Mar_12_2010	40.26	39.93	40.76	41.28			41.35(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	2	124	8.24	50%	0	88.1	1.48%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Mar_11_2010	40.26	39.8	40.53	41.22			41.46(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	10	124	9.6	50%	0.02	96.7	1.49%	0	1.7	69	0
15	Mar_10_2010	40.25	39.62	40.25	40.91			41.3(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	8	99	7.9	50%	0.02	80.8	1.49%	0	1.7	64	0

16	Mar_9_2010	40.24	39.45	40.01	40.68			41.22(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	8	83	14.9	50%	0	68.9	1.49%	0	1.9	65	0
17	Mar_8_2010	40.24	39.24	39.73	40.45			41.05(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	10	64	11.59	50%	0	48.2	1.49%	0	1.8	65	0
18	Mar_5_2010	40.24	39.06	39.55	40.16			41.06(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	59	11.54	50%	0	38.7	1.5%	0	2.1	72	0
19	Mar_4_2010	40.24	38.88	39.36	39.74			39.9(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	39	29.89	46%	-0.02	24	1.46%	0	1.1	60	0
20	Mar_3_2010	40.25	38.85	39.31	39.48			40.16(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	8	41	14.43	46%	0	19.6	1.46%	0	1.5	69	0

21	Mar_2_2010	40.25	38.81	39.24	39.24			40.06(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	12	43	8.4	46%	0	15.9	1.47%	0	1.5	67	0
22	Mar_1_2010	40.25	38.76	39.15	38.91			39.61(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	2	45	7.48	49%	0	3.4	1.46%	0	1.1	72	0
23	Feb_26_2010	40.25	38.69	39.03	38.86			38.96(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-2	47	10.53	43%	-0.02	-4.5	1.53%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Feb_25_2010	40.26	38.67	39.02	38.93			38.62(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-6	61	12.7	43%	-0.02	-11.1	1.54%	0	-0.1	59	0
25	Feb_24_2010	40.27	38.68	38.96	39.12			38.93(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	60	6.39	43%		-19.1	1.54%	0	0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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