Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.9000 (-0.65%) ($39.7500 - $40.2400) on Thu. Mar. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $39.9000(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.74(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.36(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.88(2.62%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2010	40.24	38.88	39.36	39.74			39.9(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	39	29.89	46%	-0.02	24	1.46%	0	1.1	60	0
2	Mar_3_2010	40.25	38.85	39.31	39.48			40.16(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	8	41	14.43	46%	0	19.6	1.46%	0	1.5	69	0
3	Mar_2_2010	40.25	38.81	39.24	39.24			40.06(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	12	43	8.4	46%	0	15.9	1.47%	0	1.5	67	0
4	Mar_1_2010	40.25	38.76	39.15	38.91			39.61(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	2	45	7.48	49%	0	3.4	1.46%	0	1.1	72	0
5	Feb_26_2010	40.25	38.69	39.03	38.86			38.96(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10000	-2	47	10.53	43%	-0.02	-4.5	1.53%	0	0.4	61	0

6	Feb_25_2010	40.26	38.67	39.02	38.93			38.62(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-10000	-6	61	12.7	43%	-0.02	-11.1	1.54%	0	-0.1	59	0
7	Feb_24_2010	40.27	38.67	38.96	39.12			38.93(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	60	6.39	43%	0	-19.1	1.54%	0	0.3	46	0
8	Feb_23_2010	40.27	38.68	38.87	39.23			38.45(-2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-6	53	10.39	45%	0	-35.7	1.53%	0	-0.3	43	0
9	Feb_22_2010	40.27	38.73	38.74	39.41			39.33(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	7	47	11.12	48%	0.05	-40.2	1.52%	0	0.8	49	0
10	Feb_19_2010	40.25	38.72	38.56	39.21			39.31(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	3	28	8.42	48%	0.05	-63.7	1.52%	0	0.7	57	0

11	Feb_18_2010	40.23	38.76	38.39	39.11			39.57(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	12	17	21.93	48%	0.02	-74.4	1.53%	0	1	55	0
12	Feb_17_2010	40.22	38.83	38.35	38.77			39.49(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	10	2	8.93	48%	0.02	-75.8	1.54%	0	0.7	53	0
13	Feb_16_2010	40.21	38.95	38.33	38.47			39.34(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	-10000	17	-6	9.06	50%	0.07	-68.4	1.53%	0	0.3	52	0
14	Feb_12_2010	40.18	39.05	38.31	37.97			38.36(-1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	5	-42	8.31	47%	0.02	-74.9	1.54%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Feb_11_2010	40.17	39.23	38.3	37.81			38.79(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	8	-60	9.56	47%	0.02	-72.3	1.55%	0	-0.3	46	0

16	Feb_10_2010	40.16	39.4	38.27	37.57			37.86(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-10000	-11	-97	8.53	44%	-0.05	-72.9	1.52%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Feb_9_2010	40.18	39.61	38.36	37.88			37.98(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-11	-104	15.14	48%	0	-67.8	1.52%	0	-1	30	0
18	Feb_8_2010	40.18	39.84	38.46	38.19			36.85(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-43	-10000	-17	-121	9.58	45%	-0.05	-60.4	1.54%	0	-1.7	19	0
19	Feb_5_2010	40.2	40.13	38.75	38.69			37.55(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10000	-5	-110	22.36	49%	-0.02	-51	1.52%	0	-1.5	27	0
20	Feb_4_2010	40.21	40.38	38.93	38.83			37.62(-4.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-7	-129	16.2	52%	-0.02	-46.9	1.54%	0	-1.6	26	0

21	Feb_3_2010	40.22	40.65	39.19	39.03			39.42(-0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-10000	4	-140	12.06	58%	0.02	-40.4	1.47%	0	-0.8	31	0
22	Feb_2_2010	40.21	40.8	39.36	38.91			39.53(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-35	-10000	5	-156	19.96	59%	0.05	-38	1.47%	0	-0.8	33	0
23	Feb_1_2010	40.19	40.94	39.62	38.78			39.34(2.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-10000	-2	-168	10.5	59%	0.05	-35.9	1.49%	0	-1	28	0
24	Jan_29_2010	40.17	41.04	39.84	38.85			38.24(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-48	-10000	-7	-171	16.91	55%	0.02	-34.3	1.55%	0	-1.7	19	0
25	Jan_28_2010	40.16	41.19	40.23	39.05			38.64(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-47	-10000	-10	-157	18.58	51%		-32.9	1.64%	0	-1.7	24	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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