Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $41.4500 (0.63%) ($41.0100 - $42.1700) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $41.4500(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.15(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.01(1.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.93(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2009	38	40.93	41.01	41.15			41.45(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	8	3	10.91	64%	0.24	107.7	1.75%	0	0.9	55	0
2	Dec_3_2009	37.91	40.84	40.92	40.85			41.19(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-4	-10000	-1	-11	19.79	65%	0.24	91.4	1.76%	0	0.6	59	0
3	Dec_2_2009	37.82	40.74	40.93	40.9			41.5(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	2	-5	6.1	65%	0.27	86.3	1.77%	0	1	53	0
4	Dec_1_2009	37.72	40.57	40.92	40.82			41.31(2.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	1	-2	7.35	65%	0.29	59.8	1.77%	0	0.8	54	0
5	Nov_30_2009	37.61	40.43	40.96	40.8			40.3(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	-1	2	22.17	64%	0.24	46.3	1.77%	0	-0.1	46	0

6	Nov_27_2009	37.52	40.31	41.01	40.85			39.93(-3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	-4	12	9.21	64%	0.43	30.5	1.77%	0	-0.3	55	0
7	Nov_25_2009	37.36	40.29	41.05	40.98			41.44(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	1	24	6.44	68%	0.3	26.3	1.69%	0	0.9	63	0
8	Nov_24_2009	37.25	40.11	41	40.95			41.1(-0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-3	38	7.8	68%	0.24	16.1	1.69%	0	0.8	66	0
9	Nov_23_2009	37.16	40.02	40.96	41.05			41.24(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-3	66	5.97	68%	0.11	14.5	1.69%	0	1	72	0
10	Nov_20_2009	37.12	39.96	40.93	41.16			40.55(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-1	95	5.74	67%	0.27	12.9	1.69%	0	0.5	66	0

11	Nov_19_2009	37.02	39.96	40.85	41.2			40.59(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-10000	3	118	7.03	67%	0.22	13.4	1.7%	0	0.5	70	0
12	Nov_18_2009	36.94	39.95	40.78	41.1			41.27(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	2	119	15.96	67%	0.24	9.8	1.68%	0	1.1	59	0
13	Nov_17_2009	36.85	39.9	40.55	41.03			41.61(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	5	131	11.37	62%	0.27	5.6	1.68%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Nov_16_2009	36.75	39.84	40.2	40.85			41.76(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	4	106	11.43	62%	0.27	3.7	1.77%	0	1.6	58	0
15	Nov_13_2009	36.65	39.8	39.85	40.69			40.78(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	7	88	9.18	61%	0.25	5	1.76%	0	0.9	52	0

16	Nov_12_2009	36.56	39.78	39.54	40.45			40.07(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	54	12.25	60%	0.25	2.1	1.76%	0	0.3	48	0
17	Nov_11_2009	36.47	39.83	39.47	40.38			40.94(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	12	44	8.05	62%	0.3	6.1	1.73%	0	0.9	49	0
18	Nov_10_2009	36.36	39.84	39.14	39.98			40.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	16	4	7.05	62%	0.28	5.8	1.75%	0	0.7	50	0
19	Nov_9_2009	36.26	39.8	39	39.43			40.97(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	16	-33	11.26	62%	0.28	-3.8	1.75%	0	1	50	0
20	Nov_6_2009	36.16	39.75	38.88	38.9			39.6(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	12	-72	9.51	59%	0.25	-10.6	1.71%	0	-0.1	41	0

21	Nov_5_2009	36.07	39.75	38.94	38.5			39.73(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-23	-10000	2	-98	10.93	59%	0.25	-12.1	1.71%	0	-0	46	0
22	Nov_4_2009	35.98	39.76	39.03	38.43			38.92(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	7	-104	7.47	58%	0.19	-5.6	1.7%	0	-0.7	40	0
23	Nov_3_2009	35.91	39.77	39.18	38.19			37.94(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-9	-132	9.46	59%	0.2	-9.5	1.67%	0	-1.6	34	0
24	Nov_2_2009	35.84	39.84	39.45	38.49			38.32(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-11	-112	11.02	59%	0.14	1.1	1.73%	0	-1.4	44	0
25	Oct_30_2009	35.79	39.87	39.75	38.85			37.6(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-17	-90	14.79	59%		10.1	1.72%	0	-2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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