Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $40.5900 (-1.65%) ($40.2000 - $40.8300) on Thu. Nov. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $40.5900(-1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.2(-1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.85(-0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.95(1.6%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   17.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091219

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_19_2009	37.02		40.85	41.2			40.59(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	32	-10000	3	118	7.03	67%	0.22	13.4	1.7%	0	0.5	70	0
2	Nov_18_2009	36.94	39.95	40.78	41.1			41.27(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	2	119	15.96	67%	0.24	9.8	1.68%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Nov_17_2009	36.85	39.9	40.55	41.03			41.61(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	5	131	11.37	62%	0.27	5.6	1.68%	0	1.4	68	0
4	Nov_16_2009	36.75	39.84	40.2	40.85			41.76(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	4	106	11.43	62%	0.27	3.7	1.77%	0	1.6	58	0
5	Nov_13_2009	36.65	39.8	39.85	40.69			40.78(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	7	88	9.18	61%	0.25	5	1.76%	0	0.9	52	0

6	Nov_12_2009	36.56	39.78	39.54	40.45			40.07(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	2	54	12.25	60%	0.25	2.1	1.76%	0	0.3	48	0
7	Nov_11_2009	36.47	39.83	39.47	40.38			40.94(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	12	44	8.05	62%	0.3	6.1	1.73%	0	0.9	49	0
8	Nov_10_2009	36.36	39.84	39.14	39.98			40.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	16	4	7.05	62%	0.28	5.8	1.75%	0	0.7	50	0
9	Nov_9_2009	36.26	39.8	39	39.43			40.97(3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	4	-10000	16	-33	11.26	62%	0.28	-3.8	1.75%	0	1	50	0
10	Nov_6_2009	36.16	39.75	38.88	38.9			39.6(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	12	-72	9.51	59%	0.25	-10.6	1.71%	0	-0.1	41	0

11	Nov_5_2009	36.07	39.75	38.94	38.5			39.73(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-23	-10000	2	-98	10.93	59%	0.25	-12.1	1.71%	0	-0	46	0
12	Nov_4_2009	35.98	39.76	39.03	38.43			38.92(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	7	-104	7.47	58%	0.19	-5.6	1.7%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Nov_3_2009	35.91	39.77	39.18	38.19			37.94(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-9	-132	9.46	59%	0.2	-9.5	1.67%	0	-1.6	34	0
14	Nov_2_2009	35.84	39.84	39.45	38.49			38.32(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-11	-112	11.02	59%	0.14	1.1	1.73%	0	-1.4	44	0
15	Oct_30_2009	35.79	39.87	39.75	38.85			37.6(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-17	-90	14.79	59%	0.11	10.1	1.72%	0	-2	40	0

16	Oct_29_2009	35.75	39.9	40.07	39.43			39.35(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-9	-57	13.01	65%	0.2	23.4	1.65%	0	-0.5	49	0
17	Oct_28_2009	35.68	39.82	40.25	39.73			37.75(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-10000	-17	-35	15.08	61%	0.14	29.9	1.59%	0	-1.8	41	0
18	Oct_27_2009	35.63	39.88	40.63	40.29			39.45(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-8	18	9.85	69%	0.2	46.3	1.5%	0	-0.4	57	0
19	Oct_26_2009	35.56	39.83	40.71	40.54			40.11(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	42	6.99	72%	0.23	49.1	1.48%	0	0.2	61	0
20	Oct_23_2009	35.48	39.75	40.72	40.78			40.48(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	75	9.07	74%	0.2	53.1	1.47%	0	0.6	69	0

21	Oct_22_2009	35.41	39.63	40.67	40.8			40.87(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10000	-2	96	7.63	74%	0.25	49.4	1.5%	0	1	77	0
22	Oct_21_2009	35.32	39.47	40.55	40.87			40.55(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-5	121	12.07	74%	0.2	48.9	1.5%	0	0.9	77	0
23	Oct_20_2009	35.25	39.36	40.41	41.03			40.69(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	4	142	11.03	76%	0.2	52.6	1.5%	0	1.1	66	0
24	Oct_19_2009	35.18	39.27	40.27	40.91			41.33(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	8	145	6.08	79%	0.26	55.2	1.52%	0	1.7	72	0
25	Oct_16_2009	35.09	39.11	39.98	40.65			40.58(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	5	135	9.84	77%		58	1.51%	0	1.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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