Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $39.6000 (-0.33%) ($39.2200 - $39.8100) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $39.6000(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $39.75
5 Day Moving Average   $38.9(1.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.88(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.75(-0.38%)
To recent high   -4.3%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.82% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2009	36.16	39.75	38.88	38.9			39.6(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	12	-72	9.51	59%	0.25	-10.6	1.71%	0	-0.1	41	0
2	Nov_5_2009	36.07	39.75	38.94	38.5			39.73(2.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-23	-10000	2	-98	10.93	59%	0.25	-12.1	1.71%	0	-0	46	0
3	Nov_4_2009	35.98	39.76	39.03	38.43			38.92(2.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	7	-104	7.47	58%	0.19	-5.6	1.7%	0	-0.7	40	0
4	Nov_3_2009	35.91	39.77	39.18	38.19			37.94(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-9	-132	9.46	59%	0.2	-9.5	1.67%	0	-1.6	34	0
5	Nov_2_2009	35.84	39.84	39.45	38.49			38.32(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-10000	-11	-112	11.02	59%	0.14	1.1	1.73%	0	-1.4	44	0

6	Oct_30_2009	35.79	39.87	39.75	38.85			37.6(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10000	-17	-90	14.79	59%	0.11	10.1	1.72%	0	-2	40	0
7	Oct_29_2009	35.75	39.9	40.07	39.43			39.35(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-9	-57	13.01	65%	0.2	23.4	1.65%	0	-0.5	49	0
8	Oct_28_2009	35.68	39.82	40.25	39.73			37.75(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-22	-10000	-17	-35	15.08	61%	0.14	29.9	1.59%	0	-1.8	41	0
9	Oct_27_2009	35.63	39.88	40.63	40.29			39.45(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10000	-8	18	9.85	69%	0.2	46.3	1.5%	0	-0.4	57	0
10	Oct_26_2009	35.56	39.83	40.71	40.54			40.11(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-10000	-8	42	6.99	72%	0.23	49.1	1.48%	0	0.2	61	0

11	Oct_23_2009	35.48	39.75	40.72	40.78			40.48(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-1	75	9.07	74%	0.2	53.1	1.47%	0	0.6	69	0
12	Oct_22_2009	35.41	39.63	40.67	40.8			40.87(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10000	-2	96	7.63	74%	0.25	49.4	1.5%	0	1	77	0
13	Oct_21_2009	35.32	39.47	40.55	40.87			40.55(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-5	121	12.07	74%	0.2	48.9	1.5%	0	0.9	77	0
14	Oct_20_2009	35.25	39.36	40.41	41.03			40.69(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	4	142	11.03	76%	0.2	52.6	1.5%	0	1.1	66	0
15	Oct_19_2009	35.18	39.27	40.27	40.91			41.33(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	8	145	6.08	79%	0.26	55.2	1.52%	0	1.7	72	0

16	Oct_16_2009	35.09	39.11	39.98	40.65			40.58(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	5	135	9.84	77%	0.23	58	1.51%	0	1.3	68	0
17	Oct_15_2009	35.01	39.01	39.71	40.5			41.18(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	10	131	8.45	80%	0.32	62.9	1.49%	0	2.1	77	0
18	Oct_14_2009	34.9	38.87	39.35	40.19			41.36(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	39	-10000	15	110	17.87	80%	0.29	67.1	1.6%	0	2.7	80	0
19	Oct_13_2009	34.8	38.73	39.05	39.72			40.08(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	6	85	25.53	79%	0.14	77.5	1.57%	0	1.8	63	0
20	Oct_12_2009	34.75	38.62	38.87	39.53			40.07(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	10	72	5.06	79%	0.26	79.3	1.57%	0	2	56	0

21	Oct_9_2009	34.66	38.49	38.69	39.21			39.83(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	57	5.21	79%	0.26	81.3	1.58%	0	2	60	0
22	Oct_8_2009	34.57	38.37	38.49	38.78			39.62(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	14	27	6.11	79%	0.26	84.6	1.59%	0	2.1	55	0
23	Oct_7_2009	34.48	38.26	38.29	38.36			39.02(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	3	-7	6.98	79%	0.23	89.5	1.59%	0	1.3	53	0
24	Oct_6_2009	34.4	38.17	38.22	38.27			39.11(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-0	-10000	5	-16	11.21	79%	0.23	103.2	1.62%	0	1.6	50	0
25	Oct_5_2009	34.32	38.06	38.19	38.11			38.48(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	0	-17	6.94	78%		117.3	1.62%	0	0.7	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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