Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $40.8700 (0.79%) ($40.0500 - $40.9500) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $40.8700(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.8(0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.67(0.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.63(3.13%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2009	35.41	39.63	40.67	40.8			40.87(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10000	-2	96	7.63	74%	0.25	49.4	1.5%	0	1	77	0
2	Oct_21_2009	35.32	39.47	40.55	40.87			40.55(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10000	-5	121	12.07	74%	0.2	48.9	1.5%	0	0.9	77	0
3	Oct_20_2009	35.25	39.36	40.41	41.03			40.69(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	4	142	11.03	76%	0.2	52.6	1.5%	0	1.1	66	0
4	Oct_19_2009	35.18	39.27	40.27	40.91			41.33(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	8	145	6.08	79%	0.26	55.2	1.52%	0	1.7	72	0
5	Oct_16_2009	35.09	39.11	39.98	40.65			40.58(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-10000	5	135	9.84	77%	0.23	58	1.51%	0	1.3	68	0

6	Oct_15_2009	35.01	39.01	39.71	40.5			41.18(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	10	131	8.45	80%	0.32	62.9	1.49%	0	2.1	77	0
7	Oct_14_2009	34.9	38.87	39.35	40.19			41.36(3.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	39	-10000	15	110	17.87	80%	0.29	67.1	1.6%	0	2.7	80	0
8	Oct_13_2009	34.8	38.73	39.05	39.72			40.08(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	6	85	25.53	79%	0.14	77.5	1.57%	0	1.8	63	0
9	Oct_12_2009	34.75	38.62	38.87	39.53			40.07(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	10	72	5.06	79%	0.26	79.3	1.57%	0	2	56	0
10	Oct_9_2009	34.66	38.49	38.69	39.21			39.83(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	57	5.21	79%	0.26	81.3	1.58%	0	2	60	0

11	Oct_8_2009	34.57	38.37	38.49	38.78			39.62(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	-10000	14	27	6.11	79%	0.26	84.6	1.59%	0	2.1	55	0
12	Oct_7_2009	34.48	38.26	38.29	38.36			39.02(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	3	-7	6.98	79%	0.23	89.5	1.59%	0	1.3	53	0
13	Oct_6_2009	34.4	38.17	38.22	38.27			39.11(1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	-0	-10000	5	-16	11.21	79%	0.23	103.2	1.62%	0	1.6	50	0
14	Oct_5_2009	34.32	38.06	38.19	38.11			38.48(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-4	-10000	0	-17	6.94	78%	0.26	117.3	1.62%	0	0.7	55	0
15	Oct_2_2009	34.23	37.96	38.17	38.1			37.65(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-2	-12	6	71%	0.26	103.4	1.61%	0	-0.5	54	0

16	Oct_1_2009	34.14	37.87	38.27	38.15			37.56(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-0	-10000	-1	2	8.73	71%	0.26	83.7	1.66%	0	-0.4	53	0
17	Sep_30_2009	34.05	37.75	38.38	38.17			38.53(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	1	11	27.79	76%	0.24	64.7	1.64%	0	0.7	59	0
18	Sep_29_2009	33.97	37.56	38.41	38.15			38.35(-0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-4	24	5.03	76%	0.27	49.9	1.65%	0	0.6	63	0
19	Sep_28_2009	33.88	37.4	38.36	38.28			38.4(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	1	41	3.87	76%	0.24	46.5	1.65%	0	0.7	64	0
20	Sep_25_2009	33.8	37.27	38.28	38.26			37.93(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-5	50	4.61	76%	0.27	45.1	1.64%	0	0.5	67	0

21	Sep_24_2009	33.71	37.16	38.25	38.41			37.65(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-6	76	5.51	77%	0.21	49.1	1.66%	0	0.4	70	0
22	Sep_23_2009	33.64	37.07	38.26	38.59			38.41(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-3	113	7.14	81%	0.27	55.6	1.67%	0	0.9	81	0
23	Sep_22_2009	33.55	36.95	38.14	38.69			39.01(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	7	151	5.77	74%	0.27	63.6	1.65%	0	1.5	88	0
24	Sep_21_2009	33.46	36.79	37.94	38.46			38.32(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	42	-10000	5	153	7.18	73%	0.3	69.9	1.72%	0	1.2	78	0
25	Sep_18_2009	33.36	36.66	37.74	38.3			38.68(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	7	155	4.48	73%		70.5	1.71%	0	1.6	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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