Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $35.0800 (2.66%) ($35.0000 - $35.4500) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $35.0800(2.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(13%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.82(0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.48(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.02(6.24%)
To recent high   -0%
To recent low   26.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 5.09% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2009	29.44	33.02	34.48	34.82			35.08(2.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	1	125	6.67	69%	0.48	44.8	2.22%	0	1.2	86	0
2	Jul_29_2009	29.3	32.88	34.26	34.8			34.17(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	37	-10000	1	143	7.26	70%	0.45	51	2.2%	0	0.8	78	0
3	Jul_28_2009	29.17	32.76	34.14	34.77			34.91(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	4	160	5.64	70%	0.52	56.7	2.27%	0	1.4	87	0
4	Jul_27_2009	29.02	32.61	33.78	34.62			35.09(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	5	160	5.51	66%	0.55	64.6	2.27%	0	1.7	83	0
5	Jul_24_2009	28.86	32.45	33.37	34.43			34.86(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10000	9	149	6.34	66%	0.52	69.2	2.32%	0	1.7	72	0

6	Jul_23_2009	28.71	32.28	32.96	34.09			34.96(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	-10000	11	131	8.89	66%	0.49	71.5	2.32%	0	2.1	73	0
7	Jul_22_2009	28.57	32.08	32.56	33.65			34.05(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	6	102	7.04	65%	0.53	69.6	2.31%	0	1.7	59	0
8	Jul_21_2009	28.42	31.88	32.21	33.4			34.12(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	16	87	8.95	65%	0.53	60.6	2.31%	0	2	64	0
9	Jul_20_2009	28.27	31.67	31.87	32.81			34.16(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	18	51	8.01	60%	0.46	40.5	2.33%	0	2.4	60	0
10	Jul_17_2009	28.14	31.51	31.59	32.15			33.14(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	13	17	9.44	58%	0.46	18.3	2.4%	0	1.9	57	0

11	Jul_16_2009	28.01	31.4	31.42	31.65			32.79(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	-10000	9	-8	5.17	58%	0.43	-10.9	2.4%	0	1.8	56	0
12	Jul_15_2009	27.89	31.31	31.36	31.3			32.79(5.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	6	-10000	12	-13	6.96	58%	0.43	-36.1	2.4%	0	2.1	62	0
13	Jul_14_2009	27.77	31.23	31.24	30.85			31.17(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	1	-27	3.54	53%	0.4	-68.3	2.33%	0	-0.1	60	0
14	Jul_13_2009	27.66	31.26	31.33	30.8			30.87(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-4	-16	7.28	53%	0.4	-74.6	2.34%	0	-0.6	60	0
15	Jul_10_2009	27.55	31.36	31.44	30.95			30.65(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-4	3.64	53%	0.36	-60.1	2.34%	0	-1	48	0

16	Jul_9_2009	27.45	31.49	31.57	31.13			31.03(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-8	9	5.32	57%	0.37	-44.7	2.35%	0	-0.6	51	0
17	Jul_8_2009	27.35	31.57	31.58	31.42			30.54(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-7	22	5.94	57%	0.37	-31.9	2.4%	0	-1.2	47	0
18	Jul_7_2009	27.25	31.67	31.57	31.68			30.89(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-7	26	4.85	57%	0.11	-29.9	2.4%	0	-0.9	48	0
19	Jul_6_2009	27.22	31.74	31.51	31.94			31.63(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	28	4.37	57%	0.52	-29.4	2.39%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	Jul_2_2009	27.08	31.8	31.47	32.01			31.56(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	19	5.35	61%	0.33	-24.6	2.38%	0	-0.3	39	0

21	Jul_1_2009	26.99	31.86	31.42	32.06			32.49(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	7	8	15.01	66%	0.41	-19.4	2.44%	0	0.7	41	0
22	Jun_30_2009	26.88	31.85	31.27	31.77			31.82(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-16	9.86	61%	0.3	-21.4	2.45%	0	-0	42	0
23	Jun_29_2009	26.8	31.92	31.22	31.45			32.19(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	11	-35	8.37	61%	0.34	-20	2.53%	0	0.3	47	0
24	Jun_26_2009	26.71	31.99	31.16	31.01			31.99(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	4	-61	10.68	61%	0.38	-19.9	2.57%	0	0	46	0
25	Jun_25_2009	26.61	32.02	31.23	30.85			31.82(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	-10000	4	-67	5.15	61%		-16.5	2.58%	0	-0.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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