Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $32.7900 (0%) ($32.2900 - $33.0000) on Thu. Jul. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $32.7900(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(95%)    FXI(82%)    EWY(81%)    EWG(76%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(13%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.65(3.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.42(4.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.4(4.43%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090816

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2009	28.01	31.4	31.42	31.65			32.79(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	5	-10000	9	-8	5.17	58%	0.43	-10.9	2.4%	0	1.8	56	0
2	Jul_15_2009	27.89	31.31	31.36	31.3			32.79(5.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	6	-10000	12	-13	6.96	58%	0.43	-36.1	2.4%	0	2.1	62	0
3	Jul_14_2009	27.77	31.23	31.24	30.85			31.17(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	1	-27	3.54	53%	0.4	-68.3	2.33%	0	-0.1	60	0
4	Jul_13_2009	27.66	31.26	31.33	30.8			30.87(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10000	-4	-16	7.28	53%	0.4	-74.6	2.34%	0	-0.6	60	0
5	Jul_10_2009	27.55	31.36	31.44	30.95			30.65(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-4	3.64	53%	0.36	-60.1	2.34%	0	-1	48	0

6	Jul_9_2009	27.45	31.49	31.57	31.13			31.03(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-8	9	5.32	57%	0.37	-44.7	2.35%	0	-0.6	51	0
7	Jul_8_2009	27.35	31.57	31.58	31.42			30.54(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-7	22	5.94	57%	0.37	-31.9	2.4%	0	-1.2	47	0
8	Jul_7_2009	27.25	31.67	31.57	31.68			30.89(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-7	26	4.85	57%	0.11	-29.9	2.4%	0	-0.9	48	0
9	Jul_6_2009	27.22	31.74	31.51	31.94			31.63(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-2	28	4.37	57%	0.52	-29.4	2.39%	0	-0.1	49	0
10	Jul_2_2009	27.08	31.8	31.47	32.01			31.56(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-10000	-1	19	5.35	61%	0.33	-24.6	2.38%	0	-0.3	39	0

11	Jul_1_2009	26.99	31.86	31.42	32.06			32.49(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	7	8	15.01	66%	0.41	-19.4	2.44%	0	0.7	41	0
12	Jun_30_2009	26.88	31.85	31.27	31.77			31.82(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	8	-16	9.86	61%	0.3	-21.4	2.45%	0	-0	42	0
13	Jun_29_2009	26.8	31.92	31.22	31.45			32.19(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	-10000	11	-35	8.37	61%	0.34	-20	2.53%	0	0.3	47	0
14	Jun_26_2009	26.71	31.99	31.16	31.01			31.99(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	4	-61	10.68	61%	0.38	-19.9	2.57%	0	0	46	0
15	Jun_25_2009	26.61	32.02	31.23	30.85			31.82(2.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-14	-10000	4	-67	5.15	61%	0.34	-16.5	2.58%	0	-0.2	41	0

16	Jun_24_2009	26.52	32.04	31.35	30.7			31.05(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-0	-73	4.34	61%	0.38	-17.4	2.57%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Jun_23_2009	26.42	32.05	31.52	30.71			30.19(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-6	-73	4.48	64%	0.34	-18.1	2.58%	0	-1.8	33	0
18	Jun_22_2009	26.33	32.13	31.75	30.95			30(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-8	-67	5.72	64%	0.3	-10.6	2.79%	0	-2.2	26	0
19	Jun_19_2009	26.25	32.2	32.01	31.3			31.19(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-8	-64	4.29	67%	0.38	9.3	2.74%	0	-1.2	28	0
20	Jun_18_2009	26.15	32.19	32.18	31.66			31.06(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-10	-51	4.72	67%	0.31	27.1	2.75%	0	-1.3	41	0

21	Jun_17_2009	26.07	32.22	32.37	32.12			31.12(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	4.72	67%	0.39	55.7	2.75%	0	-1.3	47	0
22	Jun_16_2009	25.97	32.24	32.51	32.45			31.36(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-5	-9	3.87	67%	0.39	74.1	2.76%	0	-1	55	0
23	Jun_15_2009	25.87	32.23	32.72	32.67			31.78(-3.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-3	12	3.92	67%	0.43	86.2	2.75%	0	-0.5	55	0
24	Jun_12_2009	25.76	32.12	32.93	32.79			32.97(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	0	35	3.9	71%	0.47	67.6	2.69%	0	0.8	64	0
25	Jun_11_2009	25.64	31.95	32.89	32.78			33.37(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-10000	2	48	4.73	71%		61.8	2.7%	0	1.2	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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