Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $23.0600 (-0.69%) ($23.0000 - $23.5800) on Thu. Mar. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $23.0600(-0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 6.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(83%)    EWY(82%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(77%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-3%)    LQD(14%)    IGOV(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.67(1.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.85(5.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.14(9.08%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 5.11% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2009	22.61	21.14	21.85	22.67			23.06(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	6	114	5.04	51%	0	29.2	3.35%	0	1.8	61	0
2	Mar_18_2009	22.61	21.03	21.53	22.46			23.22(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	11	103	5.01	51%	0	18.3	3.35%	0	2.2	64	0
3	Mar_17_2009	22.61	20.92	21.26	22.07			22.73(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	8	84	2.79	51%	0.13	3.2	3.34%	0	2.1	60	0
4	Mar_16_2009	22.58	20.82	20.93	21.79			22.22(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	14	61	2.84	56%	0.09	-20.8	3.34%	0	1.8	56	0
5	Mar_13_2009	22.56	20.82	20.7	21.29			22.13(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	11	34	5	56%	0	-40.7	3.47%	0	1.6	61	0

6	Mar_12_2009	22.56	20.83	20.56	20.89			21.99(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	12	19	3.08	56%	0	-51.4	3.5%	0	1.3	57	0
7	Mar_11_2009	22.56	20.85	20.4	20.45			21.27(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	3	-8	4.92	56%	-0.18	-58.7	3.47%	0	0.5	51	0
8	Mar_10_2009	22.6	20.89	20.34	20.35			21.33(8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	11	-13	3.47	56%	-0.22	-58.8	3.48%	0	0.5	51	0
9	Mar_9_2009	22.65	20.98	20.3	19.96			19.75(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-35	3.47	51%	-0.26	-53.1	3.41%	0	-1.1	43	0
10	Mar_6_2009	22.71	21.17	20.34	20.01			20.1(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-5	-56	3.38	51%	-0.22	-40.6	3.42%	0	-0.9	35	0

11	Mar_5_2009	22.76	21.29	20.39	20.18			19.82(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-4	-63	3.37	51%	-0.22	-34.2	3.44%	0	-1.2	35	0
12	Mar_4_2009	22.81	21.41	20.52	20.33			20.73(6.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-1	-67	5.04	55%	-0.39	-35	3.46%	0	-0.6	38	0
13	Mar_3_2009	22.9	21.48	20.55	20.35			19.41(-2.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-10	-80	4.81	48%	-0.48	-34.3	3.38%	0	-1.8	32	0
14	Mar_2_2009	23.01	21.59	20.72	20.7			19.98(-4.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-0	-80	6.64	48%	-0.22	-30.2	3.37%	0	-1.5	29	0
15	Feb_27_2009	23.06	21.67	20.99	20.71			20.96(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10000	2	-81	9.58	45%	-0.17	-30.6	3.53%	0	-0.7	31	0

16	Feb_26_2009	23.1	21.71	21.14	20.63			20.59(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-3	-87	4.09	45%	-0.3	-31.1	3.55%	0	-1.2	39	0
17	Feb_25_2009	23.17	21.83	21.34	20.73			20.82(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	-2	-78	8.52	45%	-0.26	-23	3.66%	0	-1	44	0
18	Feb_24_2009	23.23	21.88	21.47	20.79			21.13(5.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	1	-74	4.93	51%	-0.3	-16.5	3.66%	0	-0.8	47	0
19	Feb_23_2009	23.3	21.91	21.69	20.76			20.06(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-14	-68	4.43	46%	-0.51	-20.7	3.71%	0	-2	45	0
20	Feb_20_2009	23.42	21.98	22.05	21.3			20.56(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-10	-30	5.11	51%	-0.47	-8.4	4.04%	0	-1.7	47	0

21	Feb_19_2009	23.53	22.02	22.27	21.72			21.06(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-7	-8	2.71	46%	-0.59	3.6	4.15%	0	-1.2	48	0
22	Feb_18_2009	23.67	22.06	22.39	22.05			21.15(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-4	0	4.56	46%	-0.59	9.7	4.27%	0	-1.2	40	0
23	Feb_17_2009	23.81	22.04	22.49	22.25			20.98(-7.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-6	-10000	-10	7	4.29	46%	-1	5.4	4.27%	0	-1.3	49	0
24	Feb_13_2009	24.05	22.1	22.56	22.74			22.77(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-4	26	4.1	53%	-0.62	14.6	4.25%	0	0.8	60	0
25	Feb_12_2009	24.2	22.05	22.44	22.92			22.64(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	0	34	4.15	49%		8	4.57%	0	0.8	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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