Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $38.0000 (-3.33%) ($37.4300 - $38.9600) on Thu. Sep. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $38.0000(-3.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(80%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $34.66(-8.79%)
Resistance Level   $41.28
5 Day Moving Average   $39.91(-4.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.52(-6.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.28(-7.95%)
To recent high   -26.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081004

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_4_2008	46.96	41.28	40.52	39.91			38(-3.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-36	-10000	-20	-84	2.41	31%	-0.28	-79.2	1.7%	0	-2.6	27	0
2	Sep_3_2008	47.09	41.6	40.92	40.61			39.31(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-19	-10000	-8	-51	1.77	33%	-0.21	-74.3	1.66%	0	-2	33	0
3	Sep_2_2008	47.19	41.81	41.08	40.89			39.65(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-5	-51	2.56	33%	-0.21	-74.7	1.67%	0	-2	34	0
4	Aug_29_2008	47.29	41.99	41.23	41.07			41.06(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-4	-56	1.04	35%	-0.19	-76.5	1.61%	0	-0.9	39	0
5	Aug_28_2008	47.38	42.15	41.32	41.22			41.53(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-1	-57	1.48	35%	-0.15	-66.8	1.62%	0	-0.5	38	0

6	Aug_27_2008	47.45	42.3	41.4	41.25			41.49(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10000	-2	-60	1.18	35%	-0.15	-60.3	1.62%	0	-0.6	39	0
7	Aug_26_2008	47.52	42.46	41.47	41.32			40.7(0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-18	-10000	1	-73	2.01	32%	-0.19	-57.8	1.6%	0	-1.3	26	0
8	Aug_25_2008	47.61	42.65	41.64	41.3			40.56(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-3	-85	2.24	32%	-0.17	-61	1.61%	0	-1.6	32	0
9	Aug_22_2008	47.69	42.84	41.85	41.39			41.84(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-1	-86	1.45	33%	-0.15	-65.4	1.6%	0	-0.8	42	0
10	Aug_21_2008	47.76	42.96	41.96	41.42			41.64(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-5	-99	1.97	33%	-0.15	-67.8	1.6%	0	-1.1	33	0

11	Aug_20_2008	47.83	43.09	42.08	41.6			41.84(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-3	-104	1.63	31%	-0.15	-68.2	1.6%	0	-1	33	0
12	Aug_19_2008	47.9	43.25	42.3	41.69			40.63(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-37	-10000	-11	-113	1.46	27%	-0.13	-66.4	1.57%	0	-2.1	22	0
13	Aug_18_2008	47.96	43.45	42.6	42.04			41.01(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-32	-10000	-9	-102	1.56	27%	-0.12	-61.1	1.57%	0	-2.1	31	0
14	Aug_15_2008	48.02	43.66	42.82	42.35			41.97(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-6	-99	4.93	31%	-0.1	-58.1	1.56%	0	-1.7	34	0
15	Aug_14_2008	48.07	43.82	43.07	42.56			42.56(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-10000	-2	-85	1.75	31%	-0.08	-51.3	1.58%	0	-1.3	38	0

16	Aug_13_2008	48.11	43.96	43.26	42.63			42.28(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	-10000	-12	-85	2.17	31%	-0.1	-48.6	1.58%	0	-1.8	36	0
17	Aug_12_2008	48.16	44.09	43.53	43.02			42.38(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-7	-65	1.35	31%	-0.08	-34	1.58%	0	-1.9	32	0
18	Aug_11_2008	48.2	44.16	43.73	43.26			42.54(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-3	-56	1.6	31%	-0.12	-35.8	1.59%	0	-2.1	37	0
19	Aug_8_2008	48.26	44.27	43.92	43.36			43.06(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-8	-60	1.21	31%	-0.04	-34.8	1.58%	0	-1.7	36	0
20	Aug_7_2008	48.28	44.33	44.04	43.64			42.9(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-10	-54	2.11	30%	-0.04	-27.2	1.58%	0	-2.2	36	0

21	Aug_6_2008	48.3	44.43	44.19	43.98			44.22(1.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	-5	-47	1.75	32%	-0.04	-11.7	1.57%	0	-0.3	39	0
22	Aug_5_2008	48.32	44.39	44.26	44.14			43.59(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-13	-10000	-4	-38	1.86	32%	-0.02	-20.4	1.56%	0	-1.3	43	0
23	Aug_4_2008	48.33	44.44	44.37	44.28			43.02(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-12	-10000	-8	-25	1.89	32%	-0.06	-32.1	1.55%	0	-2.4	50	0
24	Aug_1_2008	48.36	44.44	44.58	44.55			44.49(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	2	-4	2.7	34%	-0.06	-44.6	1.51%	0	-0	51	0
25	Jul_31_2008	48.39	44.51	44.63	44.49			44.59(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	2	-0	1.78	34%		-63.4	1.52%	0	0.2	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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