Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 6, 2007

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $47.5000 (1.5%) ($46.8800 - $47.6500) on Thu. Sep. 6, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $47.5000(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-32%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.06(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.3(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.02(5.51%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071006

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_6_2007	45	45.02	46.3	47.06			47.5(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	5	132	0.84	51%	0.13	13.4	2.17%	0	1.3	75	0
2	Sep_5_2007	44.94	45	45.99	46.82			46.8(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	44	-10000	10	144	1.69	51%	0.11	12.6	2.17%	0	1	69	0
3	Sep_4_2007	44.89	44.97	45.6	46.3			47.91(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-10000	8	121	0.91	53%	0.2	2.9	2.15%	0	1.6	61	0
4	Aug_31_2007	44.8	44.86	45.11	45.92			47.25(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	6	96	1.21	54%	0.13	-7.4	2.14%	0	1.4	54	0
5	Aug_30_2007	44.74	44.74	44.66	45.63			45.83(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	4	74	0.73	52%	0.11	-15.2	2.11%	0	0.6	51	0

6	Aug_29_2007	44.69	44.78	44.22	45.43			46.29(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	8	43	0.66	52%	0.11	-17.6	2.11%	0	0.9	51	0
7	Aug_28_2007	44.64	44.77	43.77	45.05			44.2(-3.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	4	-10000	7	-5	1.12	49%	0.09	-30.4	2.03%	0	-0.3	37	0
8	Aug_27_2007	44.6	44.91	43.75	44.75			46.03(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	14	-28	0.91	52%	0.02	-37	1.98%	0	0.6	47	0
9	Aug_24_2007	44.59	44.91	43.65	44.15			45.81(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	14	-56	0.73	52%	0.13	-51.6	2%	0	0.4	47	0
10	Aug_23_2007	44.53	44.99	43.55	43.55			44.8(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	17	-78	1.42	50%	0.09	-66.7	2%	0	-0.1	49	0

11	Aug_22_2007	44.49	45.08	43.61	42.83			44.43(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-20	-10000	12	-115	1.25	50%	0.09	-75.5	2%	0	-0.3	41	0
12	Aug_21_2007	44.45	45.31	43.88	42.32			42.7(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-40	-10000	-7	-140	0.95	48%	0.07	-77.2	1.93%	0	-1.2	38	0
13	Aug_20_2007	44.42	45.61	44.25	42.6			43.03(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-12	-139	1.3	48%	0.09	-71.3	1.93%	0	-1.1	36	0
14	Aug_17_2007	44.38	45.97	44.57	43.09			42.78(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-12	-133	1.38	48%	0.07	-63.8	1.93%	0	-1.4	33	0
15	Aug_16_2007	44.35	46.29	44.82	43.58			41.2(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-49	-10000	-22	-131	2.27	45%	0.05	-61.3	1.87%	0	-2.3	36	0

16	Aug_15_2007	44.33	46.7	45.42	44.49			41.91(-4.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-10000	-27	-98	1.48	45%	0.07	-59	1.87%	0	-2.4	36	0
17	Aug_14_2007	44.3	47.07	45.91	45.65			44.08(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-10000	-11	-70	1.27	48%	0.11	-49.9	1.77%	0	-1.8	34	0
18	Aug_13_2007	44.25	47.32	46.24	46.11			45.5(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-4	-61	0.74	51%	0.14	-42.4	1.72%	0	-1.2	39	0
19	Aug_10_2007	44.19	47.49	46.48	46.26			45.23(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	0	-69	1.65	51%	0.14	-39.1	1.75%	0	-1.5	35	0
20	Aug_9_2007	44.13	47.71	46.59	46.24			45.72(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-6	-91	2.68	51%	0.16	-37.6	1.77%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Aug_8_2007	44.06	47.89	46.69	46.49			47.7(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-20	-10000	6	-98	1.12	54%	0.2	-29.5	1.7%	0	-0.1	45	0
22	Aug_7_2007	43.97	47.91	46.82	46.25			46.42(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-112	0.84	52%	0.21	-31.6	1.67%	0	-1.1	42	0
23	Aug_6_2007	43.88	47.98	47.05	46.42			46.25(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10000	-9	-111	0.89	52%	0.21	-26.2	1.67%	0	-1.3	41	0
24	Aug_3_2007	43.79	48.1	47.43	46.76			45.1(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-26	-10000	-5	-89	0.92	50%	0.18	-10.5	1.64%	0	-2.3	37	0
25	Aug_2_2007	43.71	48.27	47.84	46.97			47(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-10000	2	-86	0.52	55%		3.1	1.56%	0	-1.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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