Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $42.0500 (1.25%) ($41.8800 - $42.0800) on Mon. Apr. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $42.0500(1.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-24%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.37(1.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.94(2.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.05(4.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2007	38.64	40.05	40.94	41.37			42.05(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	7	97	0.46	54%	0.13	95.8	1.69%	0	1.9	80	0
2	Apr_13_2007	38.59	39.82	40.67	41.13			41.53(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	26	-10000	5	87	0.28	54%	0.08	84.6	1.69%	0	1.5	77	0
3	Apr_12_2007	38.56	39.62	40.48	40.95			41.39(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	5	82	0.43	55%	0.13	80.2	1.7%	0	1.6	77	0
4	Apr_11_2007	38.51	39.42	40.22	40.77			40.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	68	0.89	56%	0.1	76.8	1.7%	0	1.3	69	0
5	Apr_10_2007	38.47	39.21	40.05	40.67			40.99(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	7	72	1.18	56%	0.13	66.5	1.71%	0	1.4	79	0

6	Apr_9_2007	38.42	39.06	39.88	40.43			40.86(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	8	73	0.53	54%	0.18	74.8	1.71%	0	1.5	81	0
7	Apr_5_2007	38.35	38.9	39.72	40.15			40.62(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	6	76	1.74	52%	0.1	76.6	1.73%	0	1.5	83	0
8	Apr_4_2007	38.31	38.75	39.58	39.93			40.51(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	0.97	51%	0.08	73.4	1.77%	0	1.6	77	0
9	Apr_3_2007	38.28	38.56	39.47	39.59			40.38(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	0.57	51%	0.13	64.6	1.77%	0	1.7	79	0
10	Apr_2_2007	38.23	38.4	39.27	39.34			39.78(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	24	-10000	3	85	0.76	51%	0.08	55.2	1.77%	0	1.2	80	0

11	Mar_30_2007	38.2	38.2	39.1	39.25			39.44(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	0	80	0.97	51%	0.08	36.2	1.78%	0	1.1	59	0
12	Mar_29_2007	38.17	38.06	38.9	39.24			39.54(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	79	0.37	51%	0.1	23.3	1.79%	0	1.3	62	0
13	Mar_28_2007	38.13	37.94	38.71	39.19			38.79(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-4	77	0.5	49%	0.08	11.2	1.77%	0	0.8	59	0
14	Mar_27_2007	38.1	37.89	38.57	39.33			39.14(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	4	92	0.95	50%	0.05	5.5	1.77%	0	1.2	67	0
15	Mar_26_2007	38.08	37.78	38.32	39.18			39.35(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	8	83	0.43	51%	0.11	-10.7	1.77%	0	1.4	64	0

16	Mar_23_2007	38.04	37.79	38.19	38.91			39.37(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	-10000	12	94	0.64	51%	0.13	-16.3	1.78%	0	1.4	73	0
17	Mar_22_2007	37.99	37.8	38.02	38.5			39.29(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	10	83	0.51	49%	0.11	-24.5	1.79%	0	1.2	63	0
18	Mar_21_2007	37.95	37.8	37.84	38.17			39.49(2.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	-10000	13	70	0.73	49%	0.11	-30.1	1.81%	0	1.3	59	0
19	Mar_20_2007	37.91	37.83	37.56	37.72			38.39(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	11	42	1.24	47%	0.11	-36.4	1.77%	0	0.4	52	0
20	Mar_19_2007	37.87	37.9	37.44	37.35			38.02(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	5	-10000	-1	21	0.49	47%	0.08	-38.7	1.76%	0	0.1	55	0

21	Mar_16_2007	37.84	37.98	37.21	37.37			37.31(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.34	45%	0.05	-33.6	1.73%	0	-0.5	39	0
22	Mar_15_2007	37.82	38.1	37.14	37.37			37.62(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-10	-10000	0	-38	0.46	45%	0.08	-30.4	1.75%	0	-0.3	39	0
23	Mar_14_2007	37.79	38.21	37.11	37.46			37.24(1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	2	-61	0.99	47%	0.05	-28.4	1.74%	0	-0.7	37	0
24	Mar_13_2007	37.77	38.31	37.15	37.38			36.56(-4.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-4	-86	1.81	45%	0.05	-31.1	1.74%	0	-1.2	35	0
25	Mar_12_2007	37.75	38.42	37.21	37.52			38.12(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	17	-102	0.45	47%		-31.6	1.65%	0	-0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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