Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $29.1300 (-3.16%) ($29.0200 - $30.1400) on Mon. Jun. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $29.1300(-3.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.16(-30.79%)
Resistance Level   $30.96
5 Day Moving Average   $29.31(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.68(-1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.96(-5.91%)
To recent high   -23.4%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 4.97% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060719

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_19_2006	33.67	30.96	29.68	29.31			29.13(-3.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-34	-10000	2	-143	0.43	37%	-0.15	-78.1	1.92%	0	-1.2	39	0
2	Jun_16_2006	33.72	31.2	29.93	29.25			30.08(-0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-39	-10000	3	-164	0.92	39%	-0.09	-83.1	1.89%	0	-0.7	35	0
3	Jun_15_2006	33.75	31.36	30.2	29.18			30.27(4.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-40	-10000	3	-168	1.2	39%	-0.06	-91.5	1.89%	0	-0.7	37	0
4	Jun_14_2006	33.77	31.55	30.43	29.11			28.92(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-14	-183	0.79	37%	-0.12	-98	1.79%	0	-1.5	37	0
5	Jun_13_2006	33.81	31.86	30.75	29.49			28.16(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-59	-10000	-23	-168	0.75	34%	-0.12	-97.3	1.79%	0	-2.1	32	0

6	Jun_12_2006	33.85	32.22	31.11	30.11			28.84(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10000	-21	-141	0.34	35%	-0.09	-102.1	1.77%	0	-2	35	0
7	Jun_9_2006	33.88	32.58	31.56	30.68			29.72(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-25	-118	0.94	39%	-0.09	-99.4	1.75%	0	-1.7	31	0
8	Jun_8_2006	33.91	32.93	31.9	31.36			29.91(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-10000	-21	-83	1.13	39%	-0.06	-85.9	1.75%	0	-1.7	34	0
9	Jun_7_2006	33.93	33.32	32.13	31.94			30.82(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-10	-69	0.43	39%	-0.03	-70.7	1.71%	0	-1.3	34	0
10	Jun_6_2006	33.94	33.67	32.28	32.21			31.25(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-78	0.6	38%	-0.09	-60.7	1.76%	0	-1.2	32	0

11	Jun_5_2006	33.97	34	32.38	32.26			31.7(-4.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-11	-106	0.38	38%	-0.03	-54.6	1.76%	0	-1.1	34	0
12	Jun_2_2006	33.98	34.3	32.59	32.57			33.13(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-27	-10000	1	-110	0.37	40%	0.03	-47	1.69%	0	-0.5	35	0
13	Jun_1_2006	33.97	34.51	32.61	32.54			32.8(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-31	-10000	6	-143	0.28	42%	0	-44.2	1.69%	0	-0.8	30	0
14	May_31_2006	33.97	34.71	32.73	32.37			32.17(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-10000	-0	-189	0.33	38%	0	-45.2	1.7%	0	-1.1	24	0
15	May_30_2006	33.97	34.96	33.02	32.38			31.5(-5.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-58	-10000	-4	-219	0.64	35%	0	-43.9	1.68%	0	-1.5	19	0

16	May_26_2006	33.97	35.22	33.38	32.49			33.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-69	-10000	-5	-261	0.28	40%	0.06	-46.4	1.55%	0	-1	22	0
17	May_25_2006	33.95	35.38	33.64	32.62			32.99(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-10000	-4	-270	0.42	40%	0.03	-46.6	1.56%	0	-1.2	22	0
18	May_24_2006	33.94	35.54	34.01	32.72			31.97(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-85	-10000	-18	-284	0.63	36%	0.03	-47.6	1.52%	0	-1.8	18	0
19	May_23_2006	33.93	35.78	34.58	33.16			32.18(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-82	-10000	-24	-256	0.92	36%	-0.06	-46.3	1.52%	0	-2	22	0
20	May_22_2006	33.95	35.98	35.17	33.78			32.09(-5.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-70	-10000	-23	-212	0.98	36%	0.03	-43.2	1.52%	0	-2.5	22	0

21	May_19_2006	33.94	36.21	35.77	34.37			33.89(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-60	-10000	-19	-182	0.42	41%	0.12	-35.7	1.36%	0	-1.8	35	0
22	May_18_2006	33.9	36.34	36.17	34.81			33.49(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-57	-10000	-28	-143	0.51	41%	0.09	-22.3	1.36%	0	-2.5	33	0
23	May_17_2006	33.87	36.49	36.57	35.49			34.15(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-10000	-30	-89	0.44	43%	0.12	0.4	1.35%	0	-2.4	38	0
24	May_16_2006	33.83	36.62	36.89	36.23			35.27(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-26	-10000	-23	-33	0.3	49%	0.06	36.6	1.28%	0	-1.6	43	0
25	May_15_2006	33.81	36.66	37.08	36.78			35.05(-2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-13	-10000	-24	20	0.65	49%		60.8	1.3%	0	-1.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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