Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ VWO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 10, 2006

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $37.8400 (-0.53%) ($37.6900 - $38.0200) on Wed. May. 10, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $37.8400(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(86%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.8(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.22(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.49(3.7%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2006	33.65	36.49	37.22	37.8			37.84(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	7	119	0.37	59%	0.24	76.5	1.21%	0	1.3	71	0
2	May_9_2006	33.57	36.31	37.07	37.64			38.04(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	9	111	0.33	59%	0.24	67	1.21%	0	1.6	72	0
3	May_8_2006	33.49	36.14	36.84	37.43			38(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	15	96	0.41	59%	0.24	63.9	1.21%	0	1.7	75	0
4	May_5_2006	33.41	35.97	36.65	37.1			37.8(1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	31	-10000	13	86	0.31	59%	0.24	63.7	1.25%	0	1.8	81	0
5	May_4_2006	33.33	35.83	36.49	36.79			37.33(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	11	87	0.35	57%	0.21	67.7	1.25%	0	1.6	81	0

6	May_3_2006	33.26	35.71	36.37	36.55			37.02(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	6	90	0.26	57%	0.21	75.5	1.26%	0	1.5	80	0
7	May_2_2006	33.19	35.6	36.29	36.42			36.99(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	11	108	0.25	54%	0.21	86.5	1.27%	0	1.7	81	0
8	May_1_2006	33.12	35.47	36.18	36.16			36.37(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	1	102	0.33	52%	0.21	87.4	1.29%	0	1.1	71	0
9	Apr_28_2006	33.05	35.34	36.04	36.13			36.25(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	26	-10000	-1	105	0.23	52%	0.21	83.4	1.28%	0	1.1	69	0
10	Apr_27_2006	32.98	35.21	35.87	36.15			36.14(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	-0	101	0.28	54%	0.18	84.6	1.29%	0	1	61	0

11	Apr_26_2006	32.92	35.07	35.71	36.16			36.35(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	1	95	0.22	56%	0.21	82.1	1.3%	0	1.4	63	0
12	Apr_25_2006	32.85	34.91	35.51	36.14			35.71(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-2	89	0.31	54%	0.18	78.2	1.3%	0	0.8	61	0
13	Apr_24_2006	32.79	34.79	35.41	36.19			36.2(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	-10000	12	104	0.26	57%	0.21	76.8	1.28%	0	1.4	71	0
14	Apr_21_2006	32.72	34.64	35.25	35.92			36.33(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	16	99	0.22	59%	0.21	68	1.29%	0	1.7	79	0
15	Apr_20_2006	32.65	34.47	35.11	35.55			36.19(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	15	90	0.46	55%	0.21	57.5	1.3%	0	1.7	79	0

16	Apr_19_2006	32.58	34.32	34.99	35.2			36.27(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	34	-10000	17	85	0.41	58%	0.25	48.2	1.35%	0	2.1	81	0
17	Apr_18_2006	32.5	34.15	34.83	34.8			35.96(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	28	-10000	12	76	0.3	58%	0.22	38.6	1.39%	0	2.1	82	0
18	Apr_17_2006	32.43	34.03	34.67	34.52			34.87(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	69	0.32	53%	0.19	41.9	1.34%	0	1.1	69	0
19	Apr_13_2006	32.37	33.96	34.56	34.48			34.46(0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10000	-6	70	0.22	53%	0.15	49.3	1.36%	0	0.7	68	0
20	Apr_12_2006	32.32	33.91	34.48	34.61			34.44(0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-6	88	0.2	53%	0.19	66	1.36%	0	0.8	70	0

21	Apr_11_2006	32.26	33.87	34.39	34.75			34.25(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	22	-10000	-5	103	0.18	53%	0.16	82.6	1.36%	0	0.5	64	0
22	Apr_10_2006	32.21	33.82	34.27	34.86			34.6(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	30	-10000	1	117	0.21	53%	0.19	93.2	1.35%	0	1.1	71	0
23	Apr_7_2006	32.15	33.72	34.15	34.84			34.66(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	9	117	0.29	53%	0.19	87.6	1.35%	0	1.2	60	0
24	Apr_6_2006	32.09	33.61	34.01	34.63			35.09(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	13	101	0.62	54%	0.22	70.6	1.35%	0	1.9	66	0
25	Apr_5_2006	32.02	33.45	33.79	34.33			35.15(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	16	76	1.37	54%		50.9	1.36%	0	2.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.