Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 15, 2005

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $28.0900 (-0.88%) ($28.0900 - $28.3800) on Tue. Nov. 15, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.35% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $28.0900(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(85%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-2%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.675% (StdDev 1.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.19(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.04(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.38(2.59%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   9.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 2.92% (three month std-dev: 1.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2005	26.89	27.38	28.04	28.19			28.09(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	4	110	0.11	48%	0.15	41.4	1.35%	0	0.9	67	0
2	Nov_14_2005	26.85	27.3	27.98	28.12			28.34(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	5	119	0.15	48%	0.15	32.5	1.34%	0	1.3	72	0
3	Nov_11_2005	26.81	27.24	27.87	28.02			28.39(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	5	114	0.1	48%	0.15	27.6	1.35%	0	1.6	63	0
4	Nov_10_2005	26.77	27.16	27.7	27.92			28.12(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	-10000	2	110	0.12	48%	0.11	22	1.35%	0	1.4	67	0
5	Nov_9_2005	26.74	27.1	27.5	27.89			28.03(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	1	116	0.09	51%	0.11	19.7	1.35%	0	1.4	72	0

6	Nov_8_2005	26.71	27.1	27.38	27.88			27.7(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	4	119	0.18	51%	0.11	14.3	1.39%	0	1	60	0
7	Nov_7_2005	26.68	27.05	27.26	27.81			27.86(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	7	119	0.1	51%	0.11	5.9	1.38%	0	1.3	61	0
8	Nov_4_2005	26.65	27.03	27.18	27.68			27.9(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	12	109	0.17	50%	0.11	-6.9	1.4%	0	1.4	54	0
9	Nov_3_2005	26.62	27.01	27.04	27.44			27.97(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	-10000	21	85	0.18	50%	0.11	-27.9	1.4%	0	1.6	56	0
10	Nov_2_2005	26.59	27.01	26.81	27.05			27.96(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	13	30	0.14	51%	0.15	-56.6	1.4%	0	1.6	57	0

11	Nov_1_2005	26.55	26.96	26.65	26.81			27.38(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	9	-5	0.14	51%	0.11	-62.7	1.4%	0	0.6	50	0
12	Oct_31_2005	26.52	27.01	26.56	26.64			27.19(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.14	51%	0.11	-59.4	1.41%	0	0.2	44	0
13	Oct_28_2005	26.49	27.08	26.54	26.62			26.68(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-10000	2	-52	0.16	50%	0.11	-52.6	1.39%	0	-0.5	42	0
14	Oct_27_2005	26.46	27.18	26.57	26.58			26.03(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-13	-10000	4	-65	0.11	48%	0.08	-47.1	1.37%	0	-1.3	37	0
15	Oct_26_2005	26.44	27.31	26.66	26.51			26.77(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10000	3	-80	0.09	51%	0.08	-48	1.33%	0	-0.6	46	0

16	Oct_25_2005	26.42	27.39	26.7	26.46			26.54(-2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	-10000	1	-99	0.11	49%	0.11	-49.7	1.33%	0	-1	37	0
17	Oct_24_2005	26.39	27.47	26.82	26.45			27.09(2.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-30	-10000	-1	-115	0.12	51%	0.11	-51.1	1.32%	0	-0.4	36	0
18	Oct_21_2005	26.36	27.52	26.87	26.46			26.49(3.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	-10000	-6	-136	0.16	49%	0.08	-50.2	1.29%	0	-1.2	30	0
19	Oct_20_2005	26.34	27.6	26.98	26.57			25.65(-3.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-51	-10000	-15	-157	0.2	45%	0.08	-49.5	1.23%	0	-2.3	18	0
20	Oct_19_2005	26.32	27.74	27.15	26.82			26.51(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-10000	-10	-165	0.36	49%	0.11	-47.6	1.17%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Oct_18_2005	26.29	27.83	27.3	26.97			26.5(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-16	-157	0.19	49%	0	-42.6	1.17%	0	-2.1	32	0
22	Oct_17_2005	26.29	27.91	27.51	27.23			27.15(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-7	-125	0.21	51%	0.11	-32.3	1.13%	0	-1.4	40	0
23	Oct_14_2005	26.26	27.96	27.66	27.34			27.03(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-8	-110	0.13	51%	0.15	-26.3	1.14%	0	-1.8	36	0
24	Oct_13_2005	26.22	28.02	27.84	27.46			26.89(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-24	-10000	-4	-84	0.14	51%	0.11	-20.6	1.14%	0	-2.3	41	0
25	Oct_12_2005	26.19	28.07	28.03	27.52			27.3(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.15	55%		-16.3	1.12%	0	-1.8	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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