Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $26.9000 (1.01%) ($26.7400 - $26.9600) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $26.9000(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(85%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.44(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.42(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.66(0.9%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2005	24.86	26.66	26.42	26.44			26.9(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.11	61%	0.12	-24	1.01%	0	0.6	46	0
2	Aug_31_2005	24.83	26.65	26.36	26.35			26.63(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	9	-72	0.07	59%	0.12	-24.7	1.01%	0	-0	40	0
3	Aug_30_2005	24.8	26.68	26.38	26.23			26.12(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-4	-101	0.49	57%	0.08	-20.1	0.99%	0	-1.4	36	0
4	Aug_29_2005	24.78	26.73	26.45	26.28			26.4(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-5	-107	0.12	59%	0.12	-2.7	0.99%	0	-0.8	37	0
5	Aug_26_2005	24.75	26.74	26.52	26.35			26.15(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-3	-86	0.06	60%	0.08	11.3	0.99%	0	-1.5	48	0

6	Aug_25_2005	24.73	26.74	26.62	26.39			26.44(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	-10000	1	-69	0.08	63%	0.12	16.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	51	0
7	Aug_24_2005	24.7	26.75	26.7	26.38			26.05(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-13	-69	0.07	61%	0.08	19.6	0.97%	0	-1.7	41	0
8	Aug_23_2005	24.68	26.76	26.82	26.55			26.38(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-6	-46	0.1	64%	0.12	31.1	0.95%	0	-0.9	41	0
9	Aug_22_2005	24.65	26.74	26.91	26.63			26.71(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.1	67%	0.12	34.4	0.94%	0	-0.1	45	0
10	Aug_19_2005	24.62	26.74	26.9	26.73			26.35(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-12	-23	0.11	65%	0.08	42.4	0.94%	0	-0.7	50	0

11	Aug_18_2005	24.6	26.69	26.92	26.88			26.42(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-10000	-15	1	0.06	68%	0.12	56.7	0.94%	0	-0.5	55	0
12	Aug_17_2005	24.57	26.67	26.98	27.07			26.88(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	0.07	73%	0.16	69.7	0.95%	0	0.4	57	0
13	Aug_16_2005	24.53	26.63	27.01	27.13			26.78(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-8	72	0.24	73%	0.16	72.4	0.95%	0	0.3	62	0
14	Aug_15_2005	24.49	26.58	27.04	27.23			27.23(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	11	126	0.08	79%	0.12	73.4	0.92%	0	1.1	70	0
15	Aug_12_2005	24.46	26.49	26.97	27.09			27.11(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	10	129	0.63	73%	0.12	67.9	0.92%	0	1	70	0

16	Aug_11_2005	24.43	26.41	26.89	26.97			27.36(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	7	113	0.27	73%	0.16	68.5	0.95%	0	1.5	65	0
17	Aug_10_2005	24.39	26.32	26.8	26.88			27.18(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	1	110	0.12	67%	0.16	75.4	0.95%	0	1.4	64	0
18	Aug_9_2005	24.35	26.23	26.69	26.87			27.29(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	3	111	0.07	67%	0.12	83.6	0.99%	0	1.8	67	0
19	Aug_8_2005	24.32	26.14	26.54	26.83			26.5(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	29	-10000	-1	118	0.09	63%	0.08	90.8	0.92%	0	0.6	64	0
20	Aug_5_2005	24.3	26.07	26.47	26.84			26.5(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	36	-10000	4	131	0.1	63%	0.08	87.8	0.92%	0	0.7	67	0

21	Aug_4_2005	24.28	25.99	26.43	26.79			26.93(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	8	147	0.07	72%	0.12	81.4	0.9%	0	1.4	72	0
22	Aug_3_2005	24.25	25.87	26.35	26.7			27.14(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	-10000	18	140	0.11	72%	0.12	76.4	0.98%	0	1.9	73	0
23	Aug_2_2005	24.22	25.75	26.22	26.47			27.09(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	19	123	0.11	72%	0.08	70.3	0.98%	0	2.1	74	0
24	Aug_1_2005	24.2	25.63	26.07	26.22			26.56(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	14	96	0.27	69%	0.08	68.9	0.96%	0	1.6	69	0
25	Jul_29_2005	24.18	25.54	25.95	26.04			26.25(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	2	75	0.2	70%		65.6	0.96%	0	1.3	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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