Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 22, 2005

Trading Signals: VWO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 10, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF)
VWO latest price $26.7100 (1.37%) ($26.5800 - $26.8600) on Mon. Aug. 22, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $26.7100(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VWO declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VWO declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VWO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(96%)    FXI(85%)    EWY(84%)    SPY(81%)    EWG(79%)
Factors Impacting VWO price   VWO will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-22%)    TIP(-10%)    REMX(-1%)    LQD(16%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $26.74
5 Day Moving Average   $26.63(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.91(-0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.74(-0.11%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VWO price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2005	24.65	26.74	26.91	26.63			26.71(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.1	67%	0.12	34.4	0.94%	0	-0.1	45	0
2	Aug_19_2005	24.62	26.74	26.9	26.73			26.35(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-12	-23	0.11	65%	0.08	42.4	0.94%	0	-0.7	50	0
3	Aug_18_2005	24.6	26.69	26.92	26.88			26.42(-1.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-10000	-15	1	0.06	68%	0.12	56.7	0.94%	0	-0.5	55	0
4	Aug_17_2005	24.57	26.67	26.98	27.07			26.88(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-10000	-5	40	0.07	73%	0.16	69.7	0.95%	0	0.4	57	0
5	Aug_16_2005	24.53	26.63	27.01	27.13			26.78(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-8	72	0.24	73%	0.16	72.4	0.95%	0	0.3	62	0

6	Aug_15_2005	24.49	26.58	27.04	27.23			27.23(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	11	126	0.08	79%	0.12	73.4	0.92%	0	1.1	70	0
7	Aug_12_2005	24.46	26.49	26.97	27.09			27.11(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	10	129	0.63	73%	0.12	67.9	0.92%	0	1	70	0
8	Aug_11_2005	24.43	26.41	26.89	26.97			27.36(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	7	113	0.27	73%	0.16	68.5	0.95%	0	1.5	65	0
9	Aug_10_2005	24.39	26.32	26.8	26.88			27.18(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	1	110	0.12	67%	0.16	75.4	0.95%	0	1.4	64	0
10	Aug_9_2005	24.35	26.23	26.69	26.87			27.29(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	3	111	0.07	67%	0.12	83.6	0.99%	0	1.8	67	0

11	Aug_8_2005	24.32	26.14	26.54	26.83			26.5(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	29	-10000	-1	118	0.09	63%	0.08	90.8	0.92%	0	0.6	64	0
12	Aug_5_2005	24.3	26.07	26.47	26.84			26.5(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	36	-10000	4	131	0.1	63%	0.08	87.8	0.92%	0	0.7	67	0
13	Aug_4_2005	24.28	25.99	26.43	26.79			26.93(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	8	147	0.07	72%	0.12	81.4	0.9%	0	1.4	72	0
14	Aug_3_2005	24.25	25.87	26.35	26.7			27.14(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	-10000	18	140	0.11	72%	0.12	76.4	0.98%	0	1.9	73	0
15	Aug_2_2005	24.22	25.75	26.22	26.47			27.09(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	19	123	0.11	72%	0.08	70.3	0.98%	0	2.1	74	0

16	Aug_1_2005	24.2	25.63	26.07	26.22			26.56(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	-10000	14	96	0.27	69%	0.08	68.9	0.96%	0	1.6	69	0
17	Jul_29_2005	24.18	25.54	25.95	26.04			26.25(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	2	75	0.2	70%	0.04	65.6	0.96%	0	1.3	71	0
18	Jul_28_2005	24.17	25.45	25.88	26.02			26.47(1.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	27	-10000	6	90	0.07	65%	0.08	62.7	0.97%	0	1.8	79	0
19	Jul_27_2005	24.15	25.36	25.79	25.94			26(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	27	-10000	2	100	0.11	62%	0.08	60.3	0.99%	0	1.2	78	0
20	Jul_26_2005	24.13	25.3	25.73	25.92			25.82(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	31	-10000	2	118	0.11	62%	0.08	60.7	0.99%	0	1	76	0

21	Jul_25_2005	24.11	25.24	25.7	25.89			25.68(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	37	-10000	5	131	0.14	62%	0.08	56.8	1%	0	0.8	68	0
22	Jul_22_2005	24.09	25.18	25.65	25.83			26.12(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	-10000	10	141	0.05	67%	0.08	49	0.97%	0	1.8	80	0
23	Jul_21_2005	24.07	25.11	25.51	25.71			26.08(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	39	-10000	8	130	0.18	70%	0.08	43.1	0.98%	0	2	82	0
24	Jul_20_2005	24.05	25.05	25.37	25.61			25.89(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	-10000	7	114	0.2	66%	0.08	47.7	1.01%	0	2	73	0
25	Jul_19_2005	24.03	24.99	25.24	25.52			25.67(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	3	97	0.03	68%		53.2	1.03%	0	1.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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