Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 8, 2023

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $269.9800 (0.99%) ($267.2950 - $270.3770) on Thu. Jun. 8, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $269.9800(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(98%)    IVW(97%)    SPY(94%)    XLK(94%)    XLC(87%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-66%)    VIXM(-62%)    UUP(-32%)    TBT(-30%)    USO(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $270.19(-0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $267.89(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $262.81(2.73%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.11%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.56%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -1.61%(64%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.2%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2023	245.23	262.81	267.89	270.19	270.18	269.22	269.98(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-25	-20	-63	90	0.71	71%	0.2	78.1	1.07%	0	1.2	63	2
2	Jun_7_2023	244.75	262.02	266.58	269.85	270.65	270.34	267.33(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	0	-13	106	0.85	71%	0.18	82	1.07%	-1.9	0.9	65	2.2
3	Jun_6_2023	244.32	261.26	265.66	269.4	269.86	271.15	271.41(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	40	56	138	0.89	74%	0.11	79.8	1.06%	0.4	1.6	75	2.4
4	Jun_5_2023	244.04	260.31	264.63	268.44	268.41	270.97	270.91(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	155	70	147	179	1.2	74%	0.19	79.9	1.06%	0.5	1.7	74	2.3
5	Jun_2_2023	243.57	259.34	263.57	267.4	267.44	268.58	271.31(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	190	30	188	196	1.27	76%	0.2	80.2	1.09%	1.3	2.1	76	2.2

6	Jun_1_2023	243.08	258.12	262.51	265.29	265.7	265.86	268.3(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	61	10	38	129	1.16	75%	0.19	70	1.08%	1.6	1.8	71	2
7	May_31_2023	242.61	257.1	261.4	262.83	264.22	266.3	265.06(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	119	70	112	138	1.68	74%	0.2	63.5	1.07%	-0.6	1.5	69	1.2
8	May_30_2023	242.12	256.31	260.35	261.29	261.88	265.54	266.63(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	210	100	223	170	1.01	74%	0.33	62.8	1.09%	0.9	1.9	75	1.3
9	May_26_2023	241.32	255.53	259.13	260.26	259.71	262.13	265.68(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	193	60	205	156	0.92	74%	0.24	69	1.08%	1.4	2.2	71	0.8
10	May_25_2023	240.74	254.8	257.9	259.27	259.09	258.22	260.77(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	-30	39	83	0.8	73%	0.2	75	1.07%	1.1	1.4	68	0.2

11	May_24_2023	240.26	254.26	257.26	259.42	259.21	257.29	255.99(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-111	-50	-156	25	0.66	67%	0.19	74.3	1.06%	-1.1	0.4	70	-0.2
12	May_23_2023	239.8	253.71	257.14	259.71	260.19	259.96	257.4(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-0	-32	91	0.99	67%	0.08	64.1	1.08%	-2.2	0.7	70	0.9
13	May_22_2023	239.62	253.02	256.61	259.08	259.55	261.14	261.44(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	104	50	92	141	0.72	70%	0.21	55.4	1.06%	0.8	1.7	74	1.2
14	May_19_2023	239.12	252.34	255.72	257.72	257.83	260.43	260.74(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	167	70	170	156	0.64	65%	0.09	50.5	1.1%	0.9	1.8	66	1.6
15	May_18_2023	238.9	251.69	254.83	256.3	256.08	257.96	261.52(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	164	50	171	141	0.99	65%	0.23	46.4	1.11%	1.7	2.3	67	2.1

16	May_17_2023	238.35	250.99	253.37	254.9	254.64	255.24	257.43(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	68	10	65	77	0.92	63%	0.21	42.9	1.11%	2	1.8	65	1.6
17	May_16_2023	237.86	250.57	252.44	254.27	254.14	254.19	254.26(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	16	60	0.69	58%	0.07	49.6	1.1%	1.2	1.2	71	1.1
18	May_15_2023	237.69	250.32	251.97	253.75	253.97	254.03	254.64(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	0	14	65	0.68	58%	0.18	52	1.13%	0.9	1.4	73	1.7
19	May_12_2023	237.26	250.03	251.64	253.39	253.42	254.1	253.66(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	20	21	72	0.61	58%	0.18	55.2	1.13%	-0.6	1.2	59	1.2
20	May_11_2023	236.83	249.78	251.45	253.07	253	253.92	254.49(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	20	85	101	0.78	58%	0.16	57.1	1.14%	1.4	1.7	59	1.2

21	May_10_2023	236.45	249.5	250.98	251.56	252.13	252.73	254.3(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	80	20	78	85	0.66	58%	0.18	49.5	1.15%	2.6	1.7	60	1.1
22	May_9_2023	236.03	249.01	250	250.34	250.55	252.08	251.67(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	50	42	47	0.7	58%	0.17	33.7	1.15%	-0.1	1	53	0.7
23	May_8_2023	235.64	248.73	249.19	249.91	249.95	251.53	252.81(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	110	40	125	63	1.28	58%	0.16	24.5	1.15%	1.1	1.6	55	1.2
24	May_5_2023	235.27	248.43	248.69	249.68	249.42	249.01	252.09(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10	20	16	0.6	61%	0.14	18.6	1.18%	1.5	1.5	54	1.1
25	May_4_2023	234.94	248.18	248.29	249.67	249.71	248.38	246.95(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-74	-40	-89	-28	2.66	58%		24.2	1.16%	-1.3	-0.5	46	-0.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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