Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 9, 2021

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $320.3900 (-0.5%) ($319.2000 - $322.9700) on Tue. Nov. 9, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $320.3900(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(97%)    VT(93%)    XLY(92%)    XLC(89%)    IVW(83%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-68%)    UUP(-37%)    VXX(-21%)    TBT(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV -1.5 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $320.44(-0.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $317.07(1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $311.18(2.96%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   11.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 24 Average positive next day return: 2%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(67%) Sample size 24 Average positive next three day return: 2.75%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(54%) Sample size 24 Average positive next weekly return: 3.24%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20211209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2021	299.49	311.18	317.07	320.44	321.21	321.71	320.39(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	70	20	39	161	0.61	57%	0.14	83.1	0.84%	-1.5	1.1	83	0.9
2	Nov_8_2021	299.07	309.81	316	319.41	319.92	321.95	322.01(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	164	50	151	202	0.62	57%	0.15	77.3	0.84%	0.9	1.4	85	1
3	Nov_5_2021	298.61	308.34	314.68	317.87	318.09	320.71	321.48(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	244	60	248	233	0.73	58%	0.14	76.2	0.84%	0.6	1.5	87	1
4	Nov_4_2021	298.18	306.97	313.17	316.4	316.17	317.89	320.97(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	222	40	223	217	0.95	58%	0.15	74.9	0.84%	1.5	1.7	88	1.3
5	Nov_3_2021	297.72	305.67	311.87	314.76	314.3	315.46	317.36(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	134	20	119	178	0.68	56%	0.14	75	0.83%	2.8	1.4	88	1.3

6	Nov_2_2021	297.3	304.42	310.73	313.21	313.01	314.45	315.23(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	144	30	128	190	0.65	56%	0.13	71.3	0.83%	1.3	1.3	90	1.3
7	Nov_1_2021	296.92	303.2	309.87	312.04	311.92	313.13	314.3(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	156	30	137	214	0.61	56%	0.13	65	0.83%	0.9	1.3	91	1.2
8	Oct_29_2021	296.53	301.85	308.89	310.96	310.96	311.57	314.15(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	130	10	102	214	0.56	56%	0.14	56.1	0.84%	1.3	1.5	90	1.2
9	Oct_28_2021	296.13	300.78	307.65	309.42	309.89	310.71	312.74(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	100	20	66	200	0.73	56%	0.14	46.6	0.84%	1.3	1.5	82	1.2
10	Oct_27_2021	295.72	299.63	306.33	308.57	308.83	310.35	309.61(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	140	40	113	222	0.6	53%	0.13	39.6	0.83%	0.1	1.3	76	1.1

11	Oct_26_2021	295.33	298.73	304.87	307.87	307.97	309.08	309.39(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	166	30	144	232	0.66	53%	0.13	35.3	0.84%	0.7	1.5	79	1.2
12	Oct_25_2021	294.95	297.84	303.21	307.35	307.01	307.31	308.92(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	86	0	49	195	0.7	53%	0.13	32	0.84%	1.6	1.6	80	1.4
13	Oct_22_2021	294.57	297.37	301.57	306.49	306.57	306.87	306.44(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	91	10	55	199	0.7	55%	0.14	29.4	0.85%	-0.6	1.4	82	1.5
14	Oct_21_2021	294.17	297.16	300.36	305.54	305.52	306.7	308.51(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	121	30	92	208	0.73	55%	0.13	24.5	0.85%	2.4	1.8	69	1.8
15	Oct_20_2021	293.78	296.69	299	303.71	304.03	306.27	306.11(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	216	50	206	244	0.6	58%	0.13	14.4	0.85%	0.2	1.6	70	1.7

16	Oct_19_2021	293.41	296.22	297.62	301.35	301.97	304.33	306.79(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	269	60	277	243	0.61	55%	0.04	-1.6	0.87%	1.2	2	67	1.9
17	Oct_18_2021	293.28	295.67	295.97	298.4	298.86	301.78	304.6(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	214	70	225	181	0.56	55%	0.12	-25.2	0.88%	1.9	1.9	65	2.1
18	Oct_15_2021	292.93	295.49	294.19	295.93	296.42	299.61	301.67(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	251	80	286	145	0.6	54%	0.11	-43	0.88%	1.1	1.3	48	2
19	Oct_14_2021	292.6	295.63	293.26	294.46	294.5	295.93	299.37(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	154	30	184	63	0.62	54%	0.1	-49.4	0.88%	1.5	0.7	42	1.9
20	Oct_13_2021	292.31	295.88	292.29	293.68	293.8	293.22	294.31(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10	-8	-48	0.6	51%	0.09	-51.6	0.85%	1.2	-0.3	41	1.5

21	Oct_12_2021	292.06	296.31	292.04	293.34	294.34	293.08	292.07(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-59	-20	-51	-84	0.55	51%	0.08	-56	0.85%	-1.2	-0.7	43	1.4
22	Oct_11_2021	291.82	296.9	292.06	293.08	293.69	294.38	292.25(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	20	-32	-92	0.7	51%	0.1	-60.5	0.85%	-1.6	-0.8	44	1.3
23	Oct_8_2021	291.54	297.51	292.87	292.03	292.77	295.61	294.3(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	155	80	211	-13	0.47	51%	0.1	-67.2	0.85%	-0	-0.5	40	1.9
24	Oct_7_2021	291.26	298.13	293.72	291.81	291.19	293	295.46(0.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	164	40	224	-17	0.67	51%	0.12	-65.7	0.85%	1.1	-0.4	37	1.4
25	Oct_6_2021	290.91	298.73	294.17	290.75	290.17	289.94	292.64(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-18	-10	18	-127	0.68	49%		-66.8	0.84%	1.1	-0.9	35	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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