Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 24, 2018

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $150.7700 (-0.3%) ($150.0000 - $151.7200) on Wed. Jan. 24, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.49% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $150.7700(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(98%)    IVW(93%)    VT(93%)    IWF(92%)    XLY(92%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-2%)    VXX(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.245% (StdDev 0.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $149.97(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $148.59(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $145.97(3.29%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 0.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(52%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.28%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.56%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_24_2018	138.24	145.97	148.59	149.97	150.14	150.99	150.77(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	157	40	121	264	0.85	83%	0.14	67.6	0.49%	0	1.5	86	-1.4
2	Jan_23_2018	138.04	145.49	148.11	149.49	149.46	150.34	151.23(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	208	40	177	299	0.97	81%	0.1	63.9	0.49%	0	1.8	91	0.1
3	Jan_22_2018	137.9	144.98	147.53	148.63	148.71	149.29	150.41(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	158	30	119	273	0.76	80%	0.14	62.7	0.5%	0	1.8	92	0.9
4	Jan_19_2018	137.71	144.52	147	148.04	148.18	148.58	149.15(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	135	20	88	274	0.75	79%	0.13	62.4	0.49%	0	1.6	85	1
5	Jan_18_2018	137.53	144.14	146.48	147.54	147.73	148.12	148.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	20	82	275	0.97	78%	0.13	62.6	0.49%	0	1.5	84	0

6	Jan_17_2018	137.35	143.84	146.01	146.99	147.21	147.78	148.4(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	144	30	98	283	0.85	78%	0.15	64.6	0.49%	0	1.8	85	0
7	Jan_16_2018	137.15	143.48	145.41	146.5	146.56	147.34	146.93(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	151	40	107	282	1.09	77%	0.19	68.7	0.48%	0	1.5	81	0
8	Jan_12_2018	136.89	143.15	144.8	146.25	146.13	146.64	147.46(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	172	20	133	287	0.88	77%	0.14	73.7	0.47%	0	2	84	0
9	Jan_11_2018	136.7	142.79	144.19	145.79	145.71	145.77	146.61(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	99	0	54	235	2	76%	0.13	79.3	0.47%	0	1.9	78	0
10	Jan_10_2018	136.52	142.47	143.63	145.26	145.35	145.62	145.56(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	73	10	30	200	0.93	75%	0.12	83.7	0.46%	0	1.7	72	0

11	Jan_9_2018	136.36	142.2	143.17	144.87	145.03	145.64	145.95(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	150	30	130	210	1.02	75%	0.13	87	0.46%	0	2.1	68	0
12	Jan_8_2018	136.18	141.89	142.67	144.13	144.31	145.08	145.65(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	169	40	163	185	0.81	75%	0.13	87.2	0.46%	0	2.4	72	0
13	Jan_5_2018	136	141.56	142.21	143.13	143.39	144.41	145.18(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	172	60	179	150	1.18	76%	0.13	77.9	0.46%	0	2.7	75	0
14	Jan_4_2018	135.83	141.23	141.82	142.35	142.48	143.53	143.97(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	177	50	194	127	0.82	75%	0.1	72.8	0.45%	0	2.4	69	0
15	Jan_3_2018	135.69	140.95	141.59	141.77	141.79	142.36	143.58(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	138	30	153	93	0.75	75%	0.1	54.4	0.45%	0	2.4	69	0

16	Jan_2_2018	135.55	140.7	141.45	141.24	141.31	141.42	142.25(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	10	46	43	1.24	73%	0.14	40.3	0.44%	0	1.4	64	0
17	Dec_29_2017	135.36	140.56	141.37	141.02	141.08	141.22	140.65(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	10	0	29	0.57	72%	0.09	33.8	0.42%	0	0.1	59	0
18	Dec_28_2017	135.24	140.52	141.36	141.14	141.07	141.19	141.3(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	0	26	56	0.79	74%	0.09	40	0.42%	0	0.7	70	0
19	Dec_27_2017	135.12	140.4	141.3	141.2	141.1	140.94	141.05(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10	-24	59	0.69	75%	0.08	39.8	0.42%	0	0.6	72	0
20	Dec_26_2017	135.01	140.34	141.25	141.38	141.32	140.96	140.95(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-37	-20	-72	70	0.44	75%	0.11	53	0.42%	0	0.5	73	0

21	Dec_22_2017	134.86	140.27	141.21	141.7	141.67	141.26	141.14(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-30	-20	-74	103	0.61	72%	0.08	69.1	0.43%	0	0.8	73	0
22	Dec_21_2017	134.75	140.18	141.09	141.78	141.99	141.68	141.24(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10	-40	128	0.72	72%	0.07	76.8	0.43%	0	0.9	63	0
23	Dec_20_2017	134.65	140.07	140.91	141.6	141.98	142.08	141.64(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	10	5	135	0.62	72%	0.09	82.9	0.43%	0	1.4	61	0
24	Dec_19_2017	134.53	139.94	140.62	141.4	141.64	142.3	141.93(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	40	87	158	0.6	72%	0.08	87.3	0.43%	0	1.8	70	0
25	Dec_18_2017	134.42	139.73	140.28	141.09	141.26	141.87	142.54(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	152	30	151	154	0.72	74%		82.1	0.43%	0	2.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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