Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $141.9300 (-0.43%) ($141.7700 - $142.5700) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $141.9300(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(98%)    IVW(93%)    VT(93%)    IWF(92%)    XLY(92%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    TLT(-14%)    IGOV(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $141.4(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $140.62(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $139.94(1.42%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.8%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.78%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2017	134.53	139.94	140.62	141.4	141.64	142.3	141.93(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	105	40	87	158	0.6	72%	0.08	87.3	0.43%	0	1.8	70	INF
2	Dec_18_2017	134.42	139.73	140.28	141.09	141.26	141.87	142.54(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	152	30	151	154	0.72	74%	0.09	82.1	0.43%	0	2.6	62	INF
3	Dec_15_2017	134.3	139.48	139.87	140.66	140.79	140.98	141.54(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	77	10	71	94	0.9	73%	0.08	81.2	0.42%	0	2.1	61	INF
4	Dec_14_2017	134.19	139.3	139.65	140.33	140.51	140.65	140.37(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	10	28	59	0.6	71%	0.07	83.9	0.41%	0	1.2	55	INF
5	Dec_13_2017	134.1	139.13	139.59	140.11	140.32	140.6	140.61(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	74	20	74	75	0.91	71%	0.07	59.7	0.41%	0	1.5	60	INF

6	Dec_12_2017	134	138.97	139.4	139.72	139.9	140.36	140.38(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	83	30	91	57	0.48	71%	0.07	49.3	0.41%	0	1.4	58	INF
7	Dec_11_2017	133.91	138.84	139.34	139.33	139.38	140.04	140.41(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	99	30	111	63	0.83	73%	0.07	42.6	0.41%	0	1.7	65	INF
8	Dec_8_2017	133.81	138.7	139.23	138.97	139.02	139.45	139.87(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	85	20	96	53	0.52	73%	0.07	34.8	0.42%	0	1.3	64	INF
9	Dec_7_2017	133.72	138.59	139.19	138.89	138.93	138.72	139.29(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10	10	27	0.59	72%	0.06	42.2	0.42%	0	0.8	58	INF
10	Dec_6_2017	133.64	138.53	139.16	139.01	138.97	138.58	138.64(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-62	-20	-88	18	0.8	71%	0.07	54.7	0.42%	0	0.1	63	INF

11	Dec_5_2017	133.55	138.49	139.21	139.03	139.28	139.13	138.43(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-23	-0	-47	50	0.98	71%	0.07	60.9	0.42%	0	-0.1	56	INF
12	Dec_4_2017	133.46	138.45	139.17	139.35	139.4	139.36	138.6(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	7	-0	-17	80	0.84	71%	0.07	75.8	0.43%	0	0.2	55	INF
13	Dec_1_2017	133.37	138.38	139.1	139.51	139.46	139.43	139.5(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-0	-7	97	0.86	75%	0.08	82.6	0.42%	0	1.2	60	INF
14	Nov_30_2017	133.27	138.22	138.96	139.52	139.53	139.44	139.9(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-0	4	109	0.79	78%	0.09	87.7	0.42%	0	1.7	63	INF
15	Nov_29_2017	133.15	138.06	138.65	139.33	139.47	139.5	138.71(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	0	-14	79	0.98	77%	0.08	95.8	0.42%	0	0.7	53	INF

16	Nov_28_2017	133.04	137.95	138.54	139.41	139.43	139.62	140.02(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	72	10	57	117	0.61	83%	0.1	104.1	0.4%	0	2	65	INF
17	Nov_27_2017	132.91	137.76	138.31	138.96	139.17	139.45	139.41(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	20	70	100	0.53	83%	0.09	105.7	0.4%	0	1.7	63	INF
18	Nov_24_2017	132.79	137.6	138.13	138.61	138.76	139.24	139.54(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	86	30	84	91	0.21	83%	0.14	102.9	0.4%	0	2.1	66	INF
19	Nov_22_2017	132.6	137.34	137.93	138.32	138.36	138.89	138.98(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	116	30	120	102	0.48	84%	0.05	71.6	0.4%	0	1.4	69	INF
20	Nov_21_2017	132.53	137.11	137.83	137.87	138.02	138.27	139.08(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	94	20	98	81	0.49	84%	0.09	57.8	0.42%	0	1.6	66	INF

21	Nov_20_2017	132.41	136.9	137.68	137.56	137.54	137.83	137.81(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	10	14	41	0.56	82%	0.08	48.9	0.41%	0	0.7	61	INF
22	Nov_17_2017	132.3	136.75	137.65	137.56	137.43	137.78	137.66(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	10	69	77	0.47	71%	0.08	47.3	0.41%	0	0.7	63	INF
23	Nov_16_2017	132.19	136.63	137.61	137.57	137.37	137.25	138.09(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10	25	63	0.56	71%	0.08	47.8	0.46%	0	1.2	66	INF
24	Nov_15_2017	132.09	136.48	137.61	137.48	137.31	137.08	136.69(-0.63%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-38	-20	-65	44	0.66	69%	0.08	47.3	0.44%	0	0.2	72	INF
25	Nov_14_2017	131.99	136.41	137.43	137.78	137.45	137.48	137.55(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-10	-15	103	0.48	75%		54.3	0.44%	0	0.9	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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