Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Sep. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $110.7900 (-0.35%) ($110.3900 - $110.9200) on Sat. Sep. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $110.7900(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $109.57(-1.1%)
Resistance Level   $111.92
5 Day Moving Average   $110.59(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $111.35(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $111.92(-1.01%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 1.01% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.13%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.19%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.53%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.04%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2016	109.38	111.92	111.35	110.59	110.32	110.65	110.79(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	13	10	31	-42	0.5	51%	0.05	-56.4	0.86%	0	-1	44	0
2	Sep_15_2016	109.33	112.03	111.49	110.36	110.22	110.26	111.18(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-0	9	-61	0.49	51%	0.04	-63	0.86%	0	-0.8	45	0
3	Sep_14_2016	109.29	112.11	111.57	110.64	110.26	109.98	109.97(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-56	-30	-48	-78	0.62	49%	0.03	-56.6	0.85%	0	-1.9	38	0
4	Sep_13_2016	109.26	112.26	111.81	111.27	110.92	110.17	109.6(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-65	-60	-63	-69	0.71	47%	0.02	-46.1	0.85%	0	-2.7	32	0
5	Sep_12_2016	109.24	112.47	112.13	111.98	111.68	110.53	111.4(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-88	-80	-97	-61	0.59	51%	0.04	-29.2	0.83%	0	-1.3	41	0

6	Sep_9_2016	109.2	112.55	112.22	112.22	112.31	111.68	109.66(-2.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.3	-88	-40	-98	-58	0.74	44%	0.02	-20.3	0.82%	0	-3.7	29	0
7	Sep_8_2016	109.18	112.74	112.52	112.73	112.78	112.83	112.55(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1	0	1	-5	0.48	51%	0.05	5.6	0.75%	0	-0.5	45	0
8	Sep_7_2016	109.13	112.75	112.52	112.62	112.62	112.95	113.16(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	23	20	30	0	0.37	51%	0.05	5.6	0.75%	0	1	53	0
9	Sep_6_2016	109.08	112.73	112.51	112.43	112.34	112.73	113.13(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	27	20	37	-2	1.01	51%	0.06	5.7	0.75%	0	1	54	0
10	Sep_2_2016	109.02	112.7	112.48	112.33	112.21	112.29	112.61(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	0	25	-14	0.45	51%	0.05	0	0.74%	0	-0.2	38	0

11	Sep_1_2016	108.97	112.7	112.51	112.26	112.2	111.95	112.2(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-17	-35	0.52	51%	0.05	0	0.74%	0	-1.3	39	0
12	Aug_31_2016	108.92	112.71	112.59	112.28	112.29	112.14	111.98(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-10	-28	-40	0.49	51%	0.05	0	0.74%	0	-1.7	36	0
13	Aug_30_2016	108.87	112.72	112.68	112.38	112.4	112.14	112.22(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	0	-10	-28	0.51	51%	0.06	10.3	0.74%	0	-1.1	47	0
14	Aug_29_2016	108.81	112.71	112.74	112.59	112.51	112.45	112.64(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-7	-10	-3	-18	0.45	51%	0.06	28.9	0.75%	0	-0.2	48	0
15	Aug_26_2016	108.74	112.7	112.82	112.66	112.72	112.35	112.24(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-20	-24	-18	0.54	51%	0.06	44.7	0.75%	0	-1.1	48	0

16	Aug_25_2016	108.68	112.7	112.91	112.81	112.86	112.57	112.3(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-20	-43	-19	0.44	51%	0.05	59	0.75%	0	-0.9	45	0
17	Aug_24_2016	108.63	112.71	113	112.95	112.98	113.1	112.48(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	10	-7	8	0.6	55%	0.06	72.1	0.75%	0	-0.5	56	0
18	Aug_23_2016	108.57	112.68	113.02	113.02	113.01	113.16	113.31(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	10	30	30	0.36	55%	0.06	67.3	0.76%	0	1.1	68	0
19	Aug_22_2016	108.5	112.59	112.97	112.91	112.82	113.16	112.99(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	0	-3	20	0.52	55%	0.05	64.7	0.76%	0	0.7	68	0
20	Aug_19_2016	108.45	112.52	112.94	113	112.84	112.86	112.95(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-0	-2	24	0.37	57%	0.06	69.2	0.77%	0	0.7	54	0

21	Aug_18_2016	108.38	112.45	112.93	113.03	112.99	112.79	113.01(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10	-4	28	0.39	57%	0.06	73.2	0.77%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Aug_17_2016	108.32	112.36	112.85	113.06	113.01	112.82	112.83(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-10	-27	20	0.37	54%	0.06	76.8	0.77%	0	0.7	58	0
23	Aug_16_2016	108.25	112.31	112.77	113.02	113.11	113.19	112.77(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	10	1	33	0.38	56%	0.07	80	0.78%	0	0.7	61	0
24	Aug_15_2016	108.17	112.22	112.67	113.04	113.04	113.21	113.46(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	10	21	43	0.58	56%	0.06	83.6	0.79%	0	1.8	71	0
25	Aug_12_2016	108.11	112.11	112.58	112.86	112.9	113.03	113.1(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	10	13	40	0.37	56%		83.9	0.79%	0	1.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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