Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: VUG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 24, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Growth ETF)
VUG latest price $111.6400 (0.55%) ($111.0800 - $111.7400) on Wed. Jul. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $111.6400(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VUG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VUG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VUG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(97%)    IVW(93%)    VT(93%)    IWF(92%)    XLY(92%)
Factors Impacting VUG price   VUG will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-13%)    IPO(-8%)    IBUY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $111.12(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.45(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.41(2.98%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VUG price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.75%(64%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.05%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.71%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.54%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160820

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_20_2016	106.63	108.41	110.45	111.12	111.09	111.17	111.64(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	0	21	137	0.44	56%	0.08	46	0.84%	0	1.3	85	0
2	Jul_19_2016	106.54	108.17	110.07	110.86	110.97	110.98	111.03(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	0	3	144	0.79	56%	0.11	45.6	0.84%	0	1.2	88	0
3	Jul_18_2016	106.42	107.95	109.69	110.77	110.89	111.01	111.24(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	10	13	177	0.4	56%	0.1	46.4	0.84%	0	1.4	92	0
4	Jul_15_2016	106.31	107.69	109.33	110.52	110.76	110.96	110.75(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	20	26	198	0.49	56%	0.09	42.2	0.84%	0	1.3	75	0
5	Jul_14_2016	106.21	107.48	108.98	110.28	110.51	110.76	110.96(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	20	42	195	0.46	56%	0.11	37.5	0.84%	0	1.6	57	0

6	Jul_13_2016	106.09	107.25	108.5	109.66	110.04	110.56	110.32(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	85	40	54	177	0.4	56%	0.11	26.3	0.84%	0	1.5	59	0
7	Jul_12_2016	105.97	107.06	107.91	109.14	109.35	110.26	110.59(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	105	60	88	156	0.47	56%	0.1	15.5	0.85%	0	1.9	59	0
8	Jul_11_2016	105.86	106.86	107.11	108.44	108.52	109.53	109.97(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	102	70	99	110	0.47	56%	0.11	1.3	0.85%	0	1.9	58	0
9	Jul_8_2016	105.74	106.73	106.53	107.98	107.79	108.45	109.56(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	79	40	80	75	0.44	56%	0.1	-8.4	0.85%	0	1.8	59	0
10	Jul_7_2016	105.63	106.68	106.32	107.51	107.39	107.51	107.88(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	0	41	50	0.44	53%	0.09	-16.4	0.83%	0	0.8	53	0

11	Jul_6_2016	105.54	106.73	106.19	107.15	107.1	107.14	107.69(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	0	20	29	0.64	55%	0.1	-19.7	0.84%	0	0.6	53	0
12	Jul_5_2016	105.43	106.77	106.1	106.48	106.73	107.28	107.12(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	62	22	0.62	55%	0.11	-29.6	0.86%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Jul_1_2016	105.31	106.84	106.05	105.52	105.92	107.07	107.64(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	82	90	108	3	0.42	55%	0.14	-43.9	0.86%	0	0.5	51	0
14	Jun_30_2016	105.16	106.87	105.88	104.84	104.74	106.18	107.2(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	64	90	97	-37	0.49	55%	0.12	-52.2	0.85%	0	0.2	47	0
15	Jun_29_2016	105.03	106.93	105.83	105.01	104.25	104.76	106.09(1.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	34	10	65	-58	0.59	56%	0.11	-46.6	0.85%	0	-0.5	39	0

16	Jun_28_2016	104.91	107.04	105.88	105.15	104.76	103.3	104.34(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-81	-110	-67	-123	1.21	52%	0.1	-42.2	0.84%	0	-1.6	31	0
17	Jun_27_2016	104.8	107.25	106.14	105.69	105.57	103.73	102.32(-1.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.1	-208	-130	-217	-182	1.78	47%	0.06	-28.8	0.8%	0	-3	23	0
18	Jun_24_2016	104.74	107.57	106.66	106.6	106.63	106.23	104.26(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-111	-30	-109	-118	1.02	52%	0.06	-9.1	0.77%	0	-2.8	28	0
19	Jun_23_2016	104.68	107.76	107.03	106.98	107.25	107.4	108.06(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	25	20	52	-57	0.48	66%	0.09	15.5	0.63%	0	0.3	45	0
20	Jun_22_2016	104.59	107.74	107.1	106.75	106.92	107.03	106.79(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	10	3	-89	3.12	63%	0.09	20.2	0.62%	0	-1.1	32	0

21	Jun_21_2016	104.5	107.77	107.33	106.73	106.75	107.1	107.02(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	20	26	-76	0.43	63%	0.07	29.3	0.62%	0	-0.9	39	0
22	Jun_20_2016	104.43	107.72	107.5	106.69	106.72	106.81	106.86(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	10	37	-70	0.59	63%	0.07	21.7	0.62%	0	-0.9	38	0
23	Jun_17_2016	104.36	107.67	107.68	106.75	106.59	106.41	106.19(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	-20	-41	-97	0.48	61%	0.08	23	0.62%	0	-1.4	30	0
24	Jun_16_2016	104.28	107.63	107.92	107.09	106.86	106.63	106.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-20	-45	-78	0.53	64%	0.1	24.3	0.61%	0	-0.6	43	0
25	Jun_15_2016	104.18	107.56	108.11	107.53	107.26	106.78	106.71(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-62	-40	-64	-56	0.5	64%		29.2	0.62%	0	-0.7	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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