Trading Signals: VT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: VT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vanguard Total World Stock ETF)
VT latest price $52.2932 (1.66%) ($50.8856 - $52.2932) on Fri. Oct. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $52.2932(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   VT advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VT declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VUG(92%)    SPY(91%)    VYM(91%)    XLK(90%)    XLY(89%)
Factors Impacting VT price   VT will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-19%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.82(-8.55%)
5 Day Moving Average   $51.12(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.46(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.1(0.37%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. VT price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2015	55.73		51.46	51.12			52.29(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-18	-10000	5	-85	0.71	42%	-0.13	-41.7	1.3%	0	0.2	48	0
2	Oct_1_2015	55.8	52.1	51.48	51.12			51.44(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-25	-10000	0	-99	3.25	40%	-0.13	-52.2	1.28%	0	-0.7	40	0
3	Sep_30_2015	55.87	52.15	51.69	50.96			51.22(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-3	-93	0.73	40%	-0.13	-52.8	1.28%	0	-1	39	0
4	Sep_29_2015	55.94	52.18	51.93	51.04			50.34(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-9	-84	0.37	36%	-0.14	-48.9	1.26%	0	-2	35	0
5	Sep_28_2015	56.02	52.33	52.21	51.34			50.3(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-10000	-15	-68	0.97	36%	-0.14	-32.1	1.3%	0	-2.4	31	0

6	Sep_25_2015	56.1	52.49	52.45	51.84			51.5(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-7	-35	0.61	38%	-0.12	-15.1	1.27%	0	-1.4	54	0
7	Sep_24_2015	56.17	52.6	52.59	52.08			51.46(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-14	-24	0.29	37%	-0.11	-11.7	1.27%	0	-1.6	45	0
8	Sep_23_2015	56.23	52.65	52.72	52.53			51.62(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-9	-10000	-13	2	0.7	37%	-0.11	-15.5	1.27%	0	-1.5	47	0
9	Sep_22_2015	56.29	52.63	52.81	52.96			51.85(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	3	-10000	-7	32	0.55	39%	-0.12	-30.1	1.27%	0	-1	55	0
10	Sep_21_2015	56.36	52.59	52.92	53.2			52.76(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	1	46	0.68	40%	-0.11	-50	1.26%	0	0.2	47	0

11	Sep_18_2015	56.42	52.6	52.81	53.15			52.7(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	-10000	-1	27	0.68	42%	-0.09	-69.6	1.26%	0	0.1	45	0
12	Sep_17_2015	56.47	52.68	52.79	53.17			53.74(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	11	-10000	7	22	0.41	44%	-0.07	-71.4	1.25%	0	1.2	50	0
13	Sep_16_2015	56.51	52.76	52.65	52.95			53.74(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	8	13	0.15	44%	-0.11	-67	1.25%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Sep_15_2015	56.57	52.86	52.65	52.67			53.06(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1	-10000	1	1	0.18	42%	-0.09	-63.5	1.24%	0	0.2	62	0
15	Sep_14_2015	56.62	53.01	52.42	52.63			52.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	7	20	0.26	42%	-0.11	-57.9	1.23%	0	-0.3	61	0

16	Sep_11_2015	56.68	53.19	52.51	52.41			52.78(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	12	0.28	42%	-0.11	-56.9	1.23%	0	-0.2	49	0
17	Sep_10_2015	56.74	53.35	52.57	52.35			52.67(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-10000	2	1	1.91	44%	-0.11	-55.8	1.23%	0	-0.4	42	0
18	Sep_9_2015	56.8	53.52	52.55	52.3			52.34(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	-10000	5	-28	0.44	44%	-0.11	-55.5	1.25%	0	-0.6	37	0
19	Sep_8_2015	56.86	53.72	52.42	52.13			52.83(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-2	-82	0.22	44%	-0.09	-56.9	1.25%	0	-0.4	36	0
20	Sep_4_2015	56.91	53.92	52.24	52.21			51.45(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-10000	-13	-136	0.37	39%	-0.12	-52.2	1.19%	0	-1.2	29	0

21	Sep_3_2015	56.98	54.17	52.39	52.62			52.47(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-7	-145	0.42	41%	-0.11	-49.2	1.17%	0	-0.8	32	0
22	Sep_2_2015	57.04	54.37	52.57	52.84			52.39(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	0	-149	0.3	41%	-0.09	-47.4	1.17%	0	-0.9	33	0
23	Sep_1_2015	57.09	54.6	52.87	52.83			51.53(-3.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-37	-10000	4	-158	1.14	39%	-0.12	-48.3	1.15%	0	-1.5	28	0
24	Aug_31_2015	57.16	54.87	53.32	52.71			53.19(-0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	16	-173	1.02	42%	-0.07	-52.4	1.09%	0	-0.8	31	0
25	Aug_28_2015	57.2	55.05	53.63	52.25			53.53(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-50	-10000	4	-211	1.27	42%		-57.2	1.09%	0	-0.8	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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