Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $122.7400 (1.81%) ($120.0800 - $122.9700) on Tue. Dec. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.84% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $122.7400(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(62%)    XLV(58%)    XBI(55%)    VUG(46%)    IVW(45%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.42% (StdDev 2.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

Resistance Level   $123.19
5 Day Moving Average   $119.26(2.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $118.95(3.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.19(-0.37%)
To recent high   -7.9%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $31.928b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 4.64% (three month std-dev: 2.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160122

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_22_2015	123.48	123.19	118.95	119.26			122.74(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	7	-39	1.53	53%	-0.12	-49.6	2.84%	0	-0.1	39	0
2	Dec_21_2015	123.63	123.63	118.92	118.16			120.56(3.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	-10000	6	-61	1.24	50%	-0.11	-47.5	2.86%	0	-0.5	36	0
3	Dec_18_2015	123.77	124.11	119	117.19			116.51(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-1	-84	2.37	44%	-0.15	-46	2.89%	0	-1.2	31	0
4	Dec_17_2015	123.96	124.81	119.83	117.42			117.94(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-4	-91	1.22	44%	-0.06	-37.7	3.05%	0	-1.2	28	0
5	Dec_16_2015	124.04	125.57	120.25	118.2			118.53(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-2	-98	2.81	44%	-0.08	-23.4	3.06%	0	-1.2	31	0

6	Dec_15_2015	124.14	126.09	121.36	118.62			117.28(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-10000	-7	-102	3.95	44%	-0.05	-15.4	3.06%	0	-1.5	28	0
7	Dec_14_2015	124.2	126.55	122.63	119.83			115.7(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-7	-96	2.28	44%	-0.08	-5	3.05%	0	-2	27	0
8	Dec_11_2015	124.3	127	124.02	121.04			117.64(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-8	-89	2.21	44%	-0.1	6.4	3.05%	0	-2	32	0
9	Dec_10_2015	124.43	127.09	125.56	122.55			121.87(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-10000	-0	-71	1.31	45%	-0.08	10.8	3.03%	0	-1.1	38	0
10	Dec_9_2015	124.53	127.09	126.55	122.59			120.63(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-10	-77	1.56	45%	-0.08	4.7	3.03%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Dec_8_2015	124.63	126.98	127.82	124.54			123.29(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-10000	-7	-54	1.37	48%	-0.08	7.1	3.03%	0	-0.7	45	0
12	Dec_7_2015	124.73	126.82	128.73	125.96			121.79(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-8	-34	1.51	48%	-0.1	7.4	3.09%	0	-0.9	49	0
13	Dec_4_2015	124.86	126.7	129.68	127.47			125.17(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-8	-12	1.66	48%	-0.07	9.4	3.1%	0	-0.3	57	0
14	Dec_3_2015	124.95	126.57	130.22	129.05			122.06(-6.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-10	18	1.77	48%	-0.09	13.8	3.08%	0	-0.8	62	0
15	Dec_2_2015	125.06	126.74	131.42	131.03			130.41(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-3	61	0.93	54%	0.01	27.8	2.98%	0	0.6	73	0

16	Dec_1_2015	125.05	126.61	131.24	131.58			130.36(0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-2	81	1.19	53%	0.05	37.1	3.02%	0	0.7	71	0
17	Nov_30_2015	124.99	126.41	130.81	131.96			129.36(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	23	-10000	-1	95	1.34	50%	0.05	50.2	3.08%	0	0.5	70	0
18	Nov_27_2015	124.93	126.17	130.27	132.2			133.06(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10000	3	110	0.34	51%	0.13	61.2	3.06%	0	1.2	79	0
19	Nov_25_2015	124.77	125.78	128.78	131.6			131.97(-0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	23	-10000	-1	96	0.69	55%	0.03	76.4	3.18%	0	1.2	66	0
20	Nov_24_2015	124.73	125.18	127.47	131.86			133.13(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	94	1.03	52%	0.04	90.5	3.18%	0	1.5	61	0

21	Nov_23_2015	124.68	124.55	126.05	130.89			132.29(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	74	0.97	52%	0.06	95	3.25%	0	1.5	53	0
22	Nov_20_2015	124.61	123.68	124.7	129.49			130.55(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	7	51	1.67	47%	0	86.3	3.32%	0	1.3	53	0
23	Nov_19_2015	124.61	122.87	123.43	127.99			130.08(-2.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	12	31	1.25	47%	0.03	72.3	3.4%	0	1.3	56	0
24	Nov_18_2015	124.57	121.87	122.54	125.43			133.26(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	15	7	1.76	47%	0.08	52	3.39%	0	1.9	58	0
25	Nov_17_2015	124.47	120.69	121.54	122.42			128.26(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	-10000	9	-14	1.5	46%		36.5	3.36%	0	1.3	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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