Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $117.2900 (5.11%) ($111.8500 - $117.6050) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $117.2900(5.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(45%)    XBI(41%)    QQQ(35%)    SPY(34%)    VT(34%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    UUP(-1%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.72(3.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $112.58(4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.84(7.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   38.4%
Market Cap   $30.51b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2014	97.65	108.84	112.58	113.72			117.29(5.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	10	96	1.53	65%	0.54	47.4	2.29%	0	1.9	74	0
2	Nov_5_2014	97.13	108.21	111.64	112.43			111.59(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	3	96	1.1	61%	0.49	44.7	2.22%	0	0.8	71	0
3	Nov_4_2014	96.66	107.96	111.16	112.1			114.1(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	0	106	1.2	61%	0.49	42	2.2%	0	1.5	77	0
4	Nov_3_2014	96.19	107.39	110.55	112.09			112.98(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	2	119	1.05	61%	0.42	33.9	2.2%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Oct_31_2014	95.79	107	109.76	111.81			112.64(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	4	115	1.66	61%	0.41	23.8	2.22%	0	1.6	61	0

6	Oct_30_2014	95.4	106.76	108.76	111.27			110.85(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	-10000	5	104	1.4	61%	0.4	14.2	2.26%	0	1.2	61	0
7	Oct_29_2014	95.02	106.44	107.85	110.71			109.91(-3.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	6	88	2.45	61%	0.38	2.3	2.31%	0	1.1	58	0
8	Oct_28_2014	94.66	106.28	107.01	109.97			114.07(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	10	69	2.17	66%	0.42	-10	2.26%	0	2.3	61	0
9	Oct_27_2014	94.26	106.11	105.96	108.78			111.59(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	11	57	1.2	66%	0.4	-10.3	2.25%	0	1.6	65	0
10	Oct_24_2014	93.88	106.16	105.32	107.42			109.91(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	13	40	0.94	66%	0.4	-9	2.24%	0	1.1	56	0

11	Oct_23_2014	93.51	106.28	104.75	105.91			108.09(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	-10000	12	9	1.26	66%	0.39	-8.6	2.26%	0	0.5	48	0
12	Oct_22_2014	93.15	106.36	104.42	104.54			106.17(-1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	9	-10	1.54	66%	0.37	-3.1	2.25%	0	-0.1	52	0
13	Oct_21_2014	92.81	106.62	104.46	103.53			108.16(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	7	-26	1.9	66%	0.39	10.2	2.24%	0	0.4	51	0
14	Oct_20_2014	92.45	106.46	103.9	102.75			104.77(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	-2	-64	1.18	63%	0.35	17.8	2.21%	0	-0.4	38	0
15	Oct_17_2014	92.13	106.48	103.97	102.98			102.35(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10000	-4	-81	1.83	61%	0.33	34.7	2.22%	0	-1.1	32	0

16	Oct_16_2014	91.83	106.59	104.57	103.45			101.26(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-7	-87	1.82	61%	0.33	47.1	2.24%	0	-1.3	31	0
17	Oct_15_2014	91.53	106.47	104.96	104.25			101.1(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-10000	-10	-90	2.35	61%	0.31	49.7	2.24%	0	-1.1	38	0
18	Oct_14_2014	91.25	106.24	105.6	105.44			104.26(-1.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-10000	3	-82	1.8	66%	0.14	51.3	2.22%	0	-0.4	39	0
19	Oct_13_2014	91.12	105.79	106.36	105.15			105.91(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	0	-72	2.41	66%	0.4	45	2.21%	0	0	53	0
20	Oct_10_2014	90.76	105.18	107.09	105.12			104.73(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-7	-56	2.02	66%	0.38	40.2	2.21%	0	-0.1	52	0

21	Oct_9_2014	90.42	104.65	107.94	105.89			105.27(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	1	-22	1.58	66%	0.43	40.5	2.21%	0	0.1	55	0
22	Oct_8_2014	90.03	104.15	108.46	105.8			107.02(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1	-10000	-0	5	1.47	66%	0.48	40.9	2.23%	0	0.4	65	0
23	Oct_7_2014	89.6	103.56	108.94	105.85			102.83(-2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-16	40	1.24	62%	0.4	41.3	2.19%	0	-0.1	65	0
24	Oct_6_2014	89.24	103.13	109.26	107.74			105.76(-2.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-14	97	1.46	68%	0.46	48.2	2.18%	0	0.3	70	0
25	Oct_3_2014	88.83	102.6	109.25	109.37			108.59(3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-10000	-8	160	1.95	75%		55	2.17%	0	0.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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