Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: VRTX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc)
VRTX latest price $97.7400 (1.48%) ($95.7500 - $98.0800) on Tue. Jul. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.59% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $97.7400(1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VRTX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VRTX declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VRTX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(44%)    XBI(41%)    QQQ(35%)    SPY(34%)    VT(34%)
Factors Impacting VRTX price   VRTX will decline at least -2.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-2%)    UUP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.795% (StdDev 5.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $96.51(1.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $97.21(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.18(1.62%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   53.2%
Market Cap   $25.425b

Vertex Pharmaceuticals, Inc. engages in the business of discovering, developing, manufacturing and commercializing small molecule drugs for patients with serious diseases. It focuses on development and commercializing therapies for the treatment of cystic fibrosis, infectious diseases including viral infections such as influenza and bacterial infections, autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, cancer, inflammatory bowel disease and neurological disorders including pain and multiple sclerosis. The company was founded by Joshua S. Boger in 1989 and is headquartered in Boston, MA.

$. VRTX price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 5.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2014	75.15	96.18	97.21	96.51			97.74(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	1	-2	1.5	79%	0.35	341.7	5.59%	0	0.7	55	0
2	Jul_21_2014	74.89	94.77	96.95	96.27			96.31(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-2	-5	1.15	79%	0.32	113.8	5.61%	0	0.2	56	0
3	Jul_18_2014	74.65	93.35	97.02	96.69			97.2(2.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-1	1	1.96	79%	0.35	80.5	5.61%	0	0.4	60	0
4	Jul_17_2014	74.39	91.85	97.16	97.06			94.49(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-2	9	1.63	79%	0.31	65.5	5.64%	0	0.2	57	0
5	Jul_16_2014	74.16	90.5	97.54	97.73			96.83(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-1	22	1.62	79%	0.37	57.1	5.63%	0	0.5	70	0

6	Jul_15_2014	73.89	89.03	97.46	97.98			96.53(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	27	1.56	79%	0.37	51.4	5.63%	0	0.6	58	0
7	Jul_14_2014	73.62	87.63	97.32	97.68			98.38(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	1	56	1.25	79%	0.41	46.3	5.62%	0	0.8	87	0
8	Jul_11_2014	73.32	86.39	96.88	97.37			99.07(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	22	-10000	0	88	1.76	75%	0.42	46.1	5.62%	0	0.9	88	0
9	Jul_10_2014	73.01	85.09	96.3	97.32			97.82(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	-10000	-0	124	1.33	71%	0.43	47.2	5.66%	0	0.9	88	0
10	Jul_9_2014	72.7	83.88	95.54	97.36			98.1(3.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	159	1.91	73%	0.44	49	5.72%	0	1	88	0

11	Jul_8_2014	72.38	82.64	95.07	96.91			95.04(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	0	196	2.75	73%	0.39	50.2	5.77%	0	0.9	85	0
12	Jul_7_2014	72.1	81.58	92.51	96.84			96.84(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	-10000	2	208	2.15	73%	0.45	52.4	5.77%	0	1.2	85	0
13	Jul_3_2014	71.78	80.36	89.53	96.23			98.8(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	54	-10000	4	204	1.3	67%	0.49	54.7	5.75%	0	1.5	75	0
14	Jul_2_2014	71.43	79	86.24	95.1			98.03(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	-10000	6	194	3.18	67%	0.49	55.7	5.79%	0	1.6	74	0
15	Jul_1_2014	71.08	77.65	82.99	93.47			95.85(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	2	177	2.15	67%	0.47	56.3	5.78%	0	1.7	72	0

16	Jun_30_2014	70.75	76.42	79.99	93			94.68(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	-10000	22	180	2.49	68%	0.45	59.8	5.76%	0	1.8	72	0
17	Jun_27_2014	70.43	75.22	77.17	87.39			93.77(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	-10000	24	124	2.18	66%	0.46	47.9	5.79%	0	2	71	0
18	Jun_26_2014	70.11	74.05	74.96	81.63			93.17(3.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	-10000	26	78	5.51	65%	0.46	33.6	5.79%	0	2.3	71	0
19	Jun_25_2014	69.79	72.93	72.78	75.92			89.86(-3.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2	26	-10000	24	32	7	65%	0.42	19.7	5.78%	0	2.4	70	0
20	Jun_24_2014	69.5	71.93	70.97	70.96			93.53(40.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	3.8	21	-10000	29	-4	25.24	65%	0.49	4.6	5.76%	0	3.7	74	0

21	Jun_23_2014	69.16	70.79	68.72	65.43			66.61(2.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-1	-121	2.17	48%	-0.06	-28	2.83%	0	-1.2	29	0
22	Jun_20_2014	69.2	71.03	69.49	65.54			64.96(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-18	-121	2.69	45%	-0.09	-20.7	2.87%	0	-1.8	22	0
23	Jun_19_2014	69.26	71.38	70.36	67.24			64.63(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-37	-10000	-18	-93	2.18	44%	-0.1	0.7	2.87%	0	-2.2	23	0
24	Jun_18_2014	69.33	71.57	71.26	69.02			65.08(-1.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-30	-10000	-18	-66	2.21	45%	-0.09	17.8	2.87%	0	-2.3	23	0
25	Jun_17_2014	69.39	71.66	72.08	70.82			65.89(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-21	-10000	-16	-35	1.58	45%		34.9	2.88%	0	-2.1	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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