Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2022

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $124.6800 (-2.64%) ($122.6800 - $129.3700) on Wed. May. 18, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $124.6800(-2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VLO advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(80%)    XOP(79%)    VFMO(55%)    USO(51%)    VYM(50%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-20%)    VXX(-10%)    TLT(-10%)    BND(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV -1.8 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $125.13(-0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $124.09(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $118.34(5.36%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   54.6%
Market Cap   $50.839b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 7.55% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(70%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 2.23%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -3.17%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2022	94.99	118.34	124.09	125.13	126.48	127.72	124.68(-2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	100	16	58	5.43	68%	0.54	53.1	3.02%	-1.8	0.7	61	2
2	May_17_2022	94.48	117.52	124.4	124.27	124.89	127.99	128.06(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	80	190	72	102	5.18	68%	0.6	54.2	2.99%	0.6	1.2	69	1.8
3	May_16_2022	93.92	116.49	123.72	122.86	122.99	125.25	127.78(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	93	130	83	121	4.58	68%	0.37	55.7	3%	1.2	1.3	72	2.4
4	May_13_2022	93.57	115.58	122.62	120.99	121.51	121.79	124.7(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	30	16	104	3.8	66%	0.59	55.2	2.98%	1.4	1.1	73	1.6
5	May_12_2022	93.02	114.58	121.38	121.89	121.13	120.73	120.41(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-40	-34	111	3.8	65%	0.54	60.1	2.98%	-1.1	0.7	68	1.6

6	May_11_2022	92.52	113.78	120.96	122.97	123.1	121.23	120.42(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-100	-26	147	5	66%	0.55	64	3%	0.2	0.8	65	1.8
7	May_10_2022	92.01	112.82	119.99	124.53	124.31	121.53	120.97(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-13	-160	-69	154	7.04	66%	0.59	68	3.01%	-0.7	0.9	62	2.4
8	May_9_2022	91.47	111.83	118.54	124.62	125.43	124.97	118.45(-8.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	25	-10	-25	175	8.17	66%	0.56	68.4	3%	-1.8	0.7	61	2
9	May_6_2022	90.96	111.07	116.94	124.25	124.6	127.08	129.18(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	114	150	80	217	4.39	73%	0.69	68.9	2.77%	1.5	2	66	1.4
10	May_5_2022	90.34	109.7	114.31	120.71	121.15	125.9	125.83(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	135	290	116	193	5.79	73%	0.67	65.4	2.78%	0.5	2	69	1.7

11	May_4_2022	89.74	108.51	112.16	118.65	117.83	122.12	128.23(5.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	169	230	161	193	8.33	73%	0.7	67.3	2.78%	1.8	2.8	72	1
12	May_3_2022	89.12	107.09	109.98	114.9	114.64	116.4	121.4(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	117	100	106	148	5.82	71%	0.61	70.7	2.71%	1.4	2.5	71	-0.9
13	May_2_2022	88.58	106.01	108.49	111.65	111.74	113.54	116.6(4.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	120	62	108	6.7	70%	0.54	69.8	2.69%	1.3	2.3	69	-0.1
14	Apr_29_2022	88.1	105.2	107.74	108.51	109.21	112.88	111.48(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	105	250	105	104	5.96	70%	0.48	63.4	2.65%	0	1.6	61	0.2
15	Apr_28_2022	87.68	104.68	107.06	106.82	105.84	109.95	115.53(5.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	116	240	123	96	6.41	72%	0.53	61	2.62%	1.9	2.8	66	0.8

16	Apr_27_2022	87.22	103.89	105.83	104.7	103.76	105.54	109.51(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	71	90	77	54	5.54	70%	0.45	66.6	2.54%	1.3	1.9	60	0.4
17	Apr_26_2022	86.83	103.25	104.97	104.41	103.75	101.74	105.14(4.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-14	-150	-22	11	6.73	69%	0.42	67.6	2.5%	0.8	0.6	58	1.4
18	Apr_25_2022	86.47	102.84	104.58	104.93	104.85	101.98	100.88(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-95	-190	-120	-20	6.63	69%	0.37	69.9	2.45%	-0.7	-0.6	53	1.9
19	Apr_22_2022	86.15	102.7	104.87	106.82	107.19	105.76	103.05(-1.77%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-31	-80	-54	37	3.77	69%	0.38	91.6	2.45%	-1.7	0.1	56	1.1
20	Apr_21_2022	85.82	102.39	104.93	107.19	108.12	107.71	104.91(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-0	-8	65	3.97	66%	0.46	99.2	2.45%	-2.7	0.7	59	1.3

21	Apr_20_2022	85.43	101.94	104.79	106.99	107.42	108.61	108.07(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	90	30	86	3.29	66%	0.49	106.4	2.44%	-1.1	1.5	70	0.7
22	Apr_19_2022	85.01	101.23	104.12	105.54	106.06	108.53	107.74(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	83	180	78	96	5.14	66%	0.48	105.5	2.49%	0.5	1.6	76	0.8
23	Apr_18_2022	84.6	100.55	103.4	104.17	104.32	106.23	110.35(5.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	85	130	83	91	4.8	66%	0.52	102.5	2.48%	1.7	2.4	84	1
24	Apr_14_2022	84.16	99.55	102.43	102.74	102.75	103.6	104.86(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	60	29	63	3.78	65%	0.39	84.3	2.4%	1.4	1.2	74	1.5
25	Apr_13_2022	83.83	98.78	102.08	102.44	102.57	102.42	103.94(3.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10	12	64	3.9	65%		71.3	2.41%	2.1	1	75	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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