Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: VLO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Valero Energy Corporation)
VLO latest price $55.0100 (1.33%) ($54.0100 - $55.2200) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   99
Latest Price   $55.0100(1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   VLO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   VLO advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support VLO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(75%)    XOP(64%)    VYM(60%)    OIH(59%)    XLF(59%)
Factors Impacting VLO price   VLO will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.2(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.82(4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.94(10.15%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.8%
Market Cap   $22.431b

Valero Energy Corp. engages in the manufacture and marketing of transportation fuels and other petrochemical products. It operates through the following business segments: Refining, Ethanol, and Renewable Diesel. The Refining segment comprises of refining operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its refining operations. The Ethanol segment includes its ethanol operations, associated marketing activities, and logistics assets that support its ethanol operations. The Renewable Diesel covers the operations of Diamond Green Diesel Holdings LLC. The company was founded on January 1, 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, TX.

$. VLO price fluctuates within 6.81% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	49.18	49.94	52.82	54.2			55.01(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	-10000	10	217	6.61	55%	0.27	46.4	2.26%	0	1.5	99	0
2	Feb_4_2015	49.05	49.54	52.13	53.61			54.29(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	62	-10000	9	220	7.77	55%	0.22	40.7	2.28%	0	1.5	91	0
3	Feb_3_2015	48.94	49.19	51.44	53.06			54.38(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	-10000	10	214	10.52	55%	0.27	34.7	2.31%	0	1.7	82	0
4	Feb_2_2015	48.81	48.85	50.67	52.43			54.44(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	57	-10000	11	195	9.91	55%	0.27	28.4	2.34%	0	2	72	0
5	Jan_30_2015	48.68	48.61	49.77	51.78			52.88(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	-10000	9	164	10.2	52%	0.23	25.5	2.33%	0	1.7	62	0

6	Jan_29_2015	48.57	48.41	48.9	51.23			52.08(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	14	122	11.39	52%	0.19	21.1	2.35%	0	1.6	54	0
7	Jan_28_2015	48.48	48.26	48.18	50.42			51.51(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	-10000	15	88	12.5	52%	0.14	13.8	2.37%	0	1.5	61	0
8	Jan_27_2015	48.41	48.16	47.6	49.55			51.23(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	16	54	6.59	52%	0.17	5.4	2.4%	0	1.5	59	0
9	Jan_26_2015	48.33	48.08	47.17	48.61			51.19(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	20	24	9.8	52%	0.15	-0.5	2.43%	0	1.6	57	0
10	Jan_23_2015	48.26	47.98	46.85	47.45			50.16(4.5%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	12	-10000	22	-17	11.63	52%	0.12	-12.8	2.45%	0	1.1	48	0

11	Jan_22_2015	48.2	47.93	46.76	46.23			48(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-5	-10000	12	-56	9.02	47%	-0.02	-25.4	2.36%	0	0	45	0
12	Jan_21_2015	48.21	47.96	46.67	45.61			47.19(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-19	-10000	5	-89	6.94	47%	-0.06	-27.4	2.38%	0	-0.4	42	0
13	Jan_20_2015	48.24	48.05	46.71	45.36			46.51(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-30	-10000	-3	-110	8.53	47%	-0.1	-25.2	2.4%	0	-0.8	39	0
14	Jan_16_2015	48.29	48.09	46.87	45.53			45.4(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-10000	-12	-121	9.63	44%	-0.19	-23.3	2.39%	0	-1.4	34	0
15	Jan_15_2015	48.38	48.23	47.35	46.18			44.07(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-43	-10000	-21	-107	11.22	40%	-0.29	-11.9	2.36%	0	-2.3	31	0

16	Jan_14_2015	48.52	48.41	47.92	47.37			44.86(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-24	-10000	-9	-68	13.61	40%	-0.25	3.2	2.38%	0	-2.4	35	0
17	Jan_13_2015	48.64	48.5	48.42	47.86			45.95(-3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-6	-50	10.93	40%	-0.21	7.6	2.39%	0	-2	41	0
18	Jan_12_2015	48.74	48.55	48.84	48.21			47.37(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-3	-35	6.9	43%	-0.08	3.1	2.37%	0	-0.9	45	0
19	Jan_9_2015	48.78	48.53	49.14	48.39			48.65(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-6	-17	8.48	46%	-0.02	-9.5	2.36%	0	0.1	60	0
20	Jan_8_2015	48.79	48.44	49.25	48.72			50.02(5.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3	-10000	2	5	8.94	51%	0.1	-18.5	2.35%	0	1.1	61	0

21	Jan_7_2015	48.74	48.36	49.18	48.62			47.31(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-9	10	8.83	39%	-0.12	-28	2.1%	0	-0.7	55	0
22	Jan_6_2015	48.8	48.41	49.36	49.1			47.68(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	3	-10000	-9	40	8.59	39%	-0.1	-21.8	2.14%	0	-0.5	62	0
23	Jan_5_2015	48.85	48.51	49.5	49.57			48.27(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-7	70	7.73	39%	-0.04	0	2.17%	0	-0.2	64	0
24	Jan_2_2015	48.87	48.66	49.42	49.97			50.34(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	2	97	5.9	47%	0.14	0	2.03%	0	1.2	72	0
25	Dec_31_2014	48.8	48.7	49.17	49.86			49.5(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	1	101	5.93	47%		0	2.05%	0	0.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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